Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4526; (P) 1.4583; (R1) 1.4617; More…
EUR/AUD continues to lose upside moment, as seen in 4 hour MACD, ahead of 1.4721 key resistance. At this point, further rise is still expected as long as 1.4334 support holds. We’re holding on to the case of trend reversal after defending 1.3671 key support. Decisive break of 1.4721 will confirm our bullish view. However, break of 1.4334 will suggest rejection from 1.4721 and turn bias back to the downside for 1.3980 support instead.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction could be completed after defending 1.3671 key support. Break of 1.4721 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.4756) should confirm this case and target 61.8% retracement at 1.5455 and above. Overall, we’d expect the up trend from 1.1602 to resume later. However, sustained break of 1.3671 will invalidate our bullish view and would turn extend the fall from 1.6587 towards 1.1602 long term bottom.
