EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5592; (P) 1.5672; (R1) 1.5720; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains mildly on the downside at this point. The rebound from 1.5271 could have completed at 1.5888 already. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.5271 to 1.5888 at 1.5507. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.5271 low. On the upside, break of 1.5749 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.5888 instead.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 1.5271 was somewhat weaker than expected. EUR/AUD also failed to sustain above 55 day EMA and hints on some underlying bearishness. Though, for now, as long as 1.5271 support holds, medium term rise from m 1.3624 (2017 low) is still mildly in favor to extend through 1.6189 high, to 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 1.5271 will complete a head and shoulder top pattern (ls: 1.5770, h: 1.6189, rs: 1.5888). That would indicate medium term reversal and turn outlook bearish.

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