Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7755; (P) 0.7794; (R1) 0.7864; More…
AUD/USD’s rally is still in progress and edges higher to 0.7838. Intraday bias remains on the upside at this point. Firm break of 0.7833 resistance will confirm resumption of whole rebound from 0.6826 bottom. In such case, AUD/USD would target 61.8% projection of 0.6826 to 0.7833 from 0.7328 at 0.7950 next. On the downside, below 0.7801 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 0.7570 support holds.
In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rebound from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rise. There is no confirmation of trend reversal yet and we’ll continue to treat such rebound as a corrective pattern. But in any case, further rise is now expected to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8100) or even further to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451. Break of 0.7328 support is needed to confirm completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rise is now in favor.
