AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7396; (P) 0.7431; (R1) 0.7454; More…

No change in AUD/USD’s outlook as corrective recovery from 0.7382 extends. While further rise cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited below 0.7555 resistance and bring fall resumption. Below 0.7388 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.7382. Break there will extend the fall from 0.7748 and target 0.7144/7158 support zone. On the upside, firm break of 0.7555 will argue that fall from 0.7748 is completed and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8115) and above.

AUD/USD 4 Hours Chart

AUD/USD Daily Chart

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