Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7639; (P) 0.7678; (R1) 0.7702; More…
AUD/USD’s decline continues today and reaches as low as 0.7624 so far. 0.7628 fibonacci level is met and there is no sign of bottoming yet. Intraday bias remains on the downside. Sustained trading below 0.7628 will pave the way to 0.7322/38 cluster support next. On the upside, 0.7718 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.7826 resistance holds.
In the bigger picture, rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is seen as corrective pattern. Current development suggests that it might be completed with three waves up to 0.8124 already. Break of 38.2% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7628 will affirm this bearish case. And, decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement at 0.7322) will confirm and bring retest of 0.6826 low. In case rise from 0.6826 resumes and extends, strong resistance should be seen at 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside.
