Japan’s core private-sector machinery orders fell notably by -4.9% mom in November, significantly below expectation of -0.8% mom. This decline marks the first downturn in three months and points to a potential slowdown in business investment. On a year-on-year basis, core machinery orders decreased -4.0% yoy, falling short of the anticipated 0.2% yoy increase.
The Japanese government has maintained its assessment that machinery orders have “stalled” for 13 consecutive months. This continued stagnation in machinery orders is particularly concerning as they are often regarded as a leading indicator of capital spending over the next six to nine months. The implication is that businesses might be exercising caution in their investment decisions, possibly due to uncertainty in the economic outlook or other external factors impacting their spending plans.
Breaking down the orders by sector, manufacturing industry saw substantial reduction in orders, with -7.8% mom drop. Service sector also recorded a slip in orders, down -0.4% mom.