In its monthly report, Germany’s Bundesbank said “Germany’s economic output could have shrunk again slightly in the third quarter of 2019”. And, “the decisive factor here is the continued downturn in the export-oriented industry.”
Bundesbank doesn’t expect an outright recession. It still warned, “early indicators currently provide few signs of a sustainable recovery in exports and a stabilization of the industry.” “This raises the risk that the slowdown extends to a greater extent to more domestically oriented sectors.”