Eurozone Sentix Investor confidence dropped to -16.8, down from -11.1 and missed expectation of -13.0. That’s the lowest level since April 2013. Current Situation dropped from -9.5 to -15.5, 5th decline in a row, lowest since December 2014. Expectation index dropped from -12.8 to -18.0.
Sentix noted “there is no positive reaction to the central banks’ aid measures, and economic assessments are broadly negative in October”. The data have the effect of a “cold shower: there is no sign of a trend reversal, all subcomponents are in a descent.” “Particularly worrying is the dynamics of the deterioration of the situation, which signals a downward thrust of -6 points. Fears of recession are and remain immanent. The central bankers have not succeeded in breaking the downward spiral with the measures taken so far.”
Germany’s Overall Index dropped from -12.8 to -19.4, lowest since July 2009. German Current Situation dropped from -10.5 to -18.0, lowest since November 2009. German Expectations dropped from -15.0 to -20.8.
US Overall Index dropped from 5.5 to -4.1, turned negative and lowest since August 2012. US Current Situation dropped from 25.8 to 13.0, lowest since March 2013. US Expectations dropped from 013.0 to -19.8, lowest since January 2019.