‘According to our long-term fair value model G10 VALFex, the USD already looks quite overvalued vs SEK, EUR, JPY and GBP and that should limit any future gains.’ – Credit Agricole (based on PoundSterlingLive)
Pair’s Outlook
The Cable mostly behaved in accordance with expectations on Monday, with the only exception being that the pair was able to reach beyond the 1.26 major level. Nevertheless, trade closed with British currency appreciating 64 pips against the Buck, thus, reaching its four-week high. The bullish trend remains intact, with the Pound expected to outperform the US Dollar once more. Technical indicators are also giving bullish signals, confirming the possibility of the positive outcome today. However, due to lack of strong market movers, the upside development is likely to be very limited, with the immediate resistance cluster around 1.2630 preventing the Sterling from edging higher.
Traders’ Sentiment
Today 63% of traders are bulls (previously 60%), while 53% of all pending orders are to sell the British currency (down from 55%).