HomeContributorsTechnical AnalysisUSD/JPY at a Crossroads Ahead of US CPI Inflation

USD/JPY at a Crossroads Ahead of US CPI Inflation

  • USDJPY slips toward key support region of 156.65.
  • Technical signs reflect falling buying appetite.
  • US CPI inflation figures due for release at 13:30 GMT.

USDJPY is feeling the heat again after its soft upturn on Tuesday couldn’t surpass the 158.00 level, and with the US CPI inflation figures coming up later in the day, things could get interesting.

The pair pulled lower and is currently trading slightly above its 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the lower boundary of a short-term bullish channel, both seen around 156.65. If that base cracks, the bears could forcefully squeeze the price toward the 154.30-154.70 zone formed by the 50-day EMA and the broken resistance trendline drawn from July’s top. The 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the latest uptrend is adding extra credence to this region, though a break below the tentative support trendline at 153.30 could be a bigger concern for the bulls. In fact, it could cause another steep downfall toward the 200-day EMA and the 38.2% Fibonacci mark of 151.50.

According to the falling technical indicators, the risk is skewed to the downside, though if the 156.65 floor stands firm, the bulls may stage another battle within the 158.00-158.75 zone. A victory there would brighten the outlook, likely fueling more buying toward the 160.20 number, and then if the 161.00 mark proves easy to pierce, the focus could turn to the 162.00 area.

In brief, the upward trend in USDJPY seems to be losing power, with sellers eyeing the 156.65 region for more downside. Yet, a real bearish signal could come once below 153.30.

XM.com
XM.comhttp://clicks.pipaffiliates.com/c?c=231129&l=en&p=0
XM is a fully regulated next-generation financial services provider of online trading on currency exchange, commodities, equity indices, precious metals and energies, with services to clients from over 196 countries worldwide. Founded in 2009 by market experts with extensive knowledge of the global forex and capital markets and with the aim to ensure fair and reliable trading conditions for every client, XM has reached international recognition by virtue of its unbeatable execution of orders, spreads as low as zero pips on over 50 currency pairs, gold and silver, flexible leverage up to 888:1, and personalized customer engagement to foster clients’ success.

Featured Analysis

Learn Forex Trading