BTC/USD Analysis: Price Approaching Key Resistance

Analysing the long-term BTC/USD chart on 16th May, we created a “roadmap” for Bitcoin’s price, which looked like an expanding fan and consisted of a median line with support levels below it and resistance levels above it.

Today, when analysing the BTC/USD chart, we will remove the fan lines to shift the focus to Bitcoin’s price action within the context of two trend channels:

→ Blue ascending channel. Its median coincides with the median of the previously mentioned fan.

→ Red descending channel. This appears to be a correction within the larger ascending channel.

Bitcoin’s price today is approaching the resistance formed by the upper boundary of the red channel. The price action relative to this resistance will provide crucial information – has the leading cryptocurrency indeed been going through a correction phase?

An optimistic scenario is not out of the question – there could be a bullish breakout of the upper boundary of the red channel by the end of July, paving the way to the median of the blue channel, along which the price has been rising since last autumn.

From a technical analysis perspective, supporting this scenario is the fact that the median of the red channel has switched roles from resistance to support (indicated by an arrow).

From a fundamental perspective, market participants’ optimism is bolstered by the approval of the Ethereum ETF and the upcoming Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville, scheduled for 25-27 July. It is expected that Donald Trump and Elon Musk will speak at the event, potentially making significant announcements.

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