The common European currency is trading against the Norwegian Krone in a channel up valid since mid-July. The latest test of its upper line occurred on October 31. Along the way, the rate entered another patter—a descending triangle. The general characteristics of this pair suggest that the rate should break out to the upside. The rate hindering near the upper triangle boundary might serve as an early indication of such a move. This scenario would set the Euro towards the upper boundary of a junior channel circa 9.54. However, the rate has been stranded between the 55– and 200-hour SMAs for two sessions. A breach of one of these lines is likely to set the tone for the subsequent movement. In case the 200-hour SMA is breached, the aforementioned scenario should occur. Conversely, a breach of the former should guide the pair towards the 9.43 mark in the short-term and possibly even lower.
