HomeContributorsTechnical AnalysisEUR: German CPI Leaves Euro Weaker

EUR: German CPI Leaves Euro Weaker

Germany’s inflation rate is expected to be 2.4% in May 2024, measured by the year-on-year change in the consumer price index (CPI). Consumer prices are anticipated to rise by 0.1% compared to April 2024. Core inflation, excluding food and energy, is projected at 3.0%. Despite the removal of the energy price brake, a higher carbon price, and the end of the temporary VAT reduction for gas and district heating, energy prices in May 2024 were 1.1% lower than a year earlier. Food prices increased by 0.6%, which is significantly lower than the overall rate of price increase.

EURAUD – H4 Timeframe

EURAUD on the 4-hour timeframe has recently broken above the previous high, indicating a bullish trend. I expect to see price sweep the liquidity from the immediate low before the bullish trend resumes around the 88% of the Fibonacci retracement tool. The trendline support is also an additional confluence to the bullish sentiment.

Analyst’s Expectations:

  • Direction: Bullish
  • Target: 1.63669
  • Invalidation: 1.62030

EURGBP – D1 Timeframe

The Daily timeframe of EURGBP seems to be printing a QMR pattern. The previous low was swept just before the break of structure. In line with the break of structure, the plotted Fibonacci retracement presents an ample opportunity for a bullish entry from the 88% of the Fibonacci tool. The drop-base-rally serves as the final confirmation for the bullish entry.

Analyst’s Expectations:

  • Direction: Bullish
  • Target: 0.90255
  • Invalidation: 0.83284

EURNZD – D1 Timeframe

On the Daily timeframe of EURNZD, we see price break above the previous high, creating an opportunity to plot a Fibonacci retracement. The 76% and 88% of the Fibonacci present the most reliable areas of entry for the bullish sentiment based on the presence of the rally-base-rally demand, and the trendline support.

Analyst’s Expectations:

  • Direction: Bullish
  • Target: 1.80247
  • Invalidation: 1.74310

CONCLUSION

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