The XAU/USD gold chart today indicates that the price of the metal has exceeded USD 2,250 per ounce.
Causes:
→ Geopolitical tensions. Military conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East do not subside, the threat of terrorist attacks is growing, and new hot spots may appear on the world map.
→ Concerns about a new round of inflation due to rising commodity prices.
In both cases, gold acts as a safe-haven asset.
Since the beginning of 2024, the price of XAU/USD has risen by 12%. How much longer can the rally last?
In terms of technical analysis of the gold price, there are two tools to take into account:
→ ascending channel (shown in blue). Today XAU/USD is in its upper half, the price has tested (shown by the arrow) the support of the median line. And from the first days of April it has been demonstrating dynamics that direct it towards the upper border of the channel.
→ Fibonacci proportions. If we take the A→B impulse as 100%, then the decrease in B→C finds support in the zone of levels 0.5-0.618, which confirms the relevance of using proportions. Then the target for impulse price growth from point C may be the level of 1.618.
Thus, these technical analysis tools for the XAU/USD chart indicate that the price of gold may rise to the 2,333-2,380 zone if the current bullish sentiment continues.
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