Last Tuesday, the Australian dollar experienced its steepest drop of the year, falling by 1.18%, following higher-than-expected US inflation figures, which boosted the US dollar. However, the Aussie has since rebounded and is now trading at a two-week high against the US dollar. Investors are eagerly awaiting the release of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s meeting minutes on Tuesday, after the RBA opted to maintain the cash rate at 4.35% in February. Despite speculation about future rate cuts, the RBA has expressed concerns about persistent inflation not reaching the target range of 2%-3% until 2025. With last week’s employment report disappointing expectations, attention now turns to Wednesday’s wage price index report, which could influence the likelihood of RBA interest rate hikes.
GBPAUD – H4 Timeframe
GBPAUD has recently been rejected off the supply zone on the weekly timeframe, and following this, the price action has created a break of structure to the downside. In light of this, I will be waiting for the price action to complete a retest of the trendline, and then the bearish move can resume. The Fibonacci retracement levels and the trendline resistance are my confirmations for this sentiment.
Analyst’s Expectations:
- Direction: Bearish
- Target: 1.90905
- Invalidation: 1.95313
EURAUD – D1 Timeframe
EURAUD has just been rejected from the 76% of the Fibonacci retracement level, with the trendline resistance serving as additional confirmation for the bearish direction. I expect to see price drop all the way to 23% as the initial target for this sentiment.
Analyst’s Expectations:
- Direction: Bearish
- Target: 1.62871
- Invalidation: 1.67623
AUDCHF – D1 Timeframe
AUDCHF on the daily timeframe is currently approaching the 76% Fibonacci retracement level. The notable confluences in this case are the trendline resistance, supply zone, as well as the 200-day moving average resistance. My initial target here is the 23% of the Fibonacci retracement.
Analyst’s Expectations:
- Direction: Bearish
- Target: 0.56816
- Invalidation: 0.58681
CONCLUSION
The trading of CFDs comes at a risk. Thus, to succeed, you have to manage risks properly. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.
