The record high of about USD 2,130 an ounce was set just after the weekend in low-liquid Asian markets. By the nature of the movement, it looked more like a cascading triggering of sellers’ stop losses, rather than finding a stable balance between supply and demand, since after the candle with a long upper tail, the quote began to fall. During the European session it fell to 2,060, and during the American session it fell to 2,030. So in less than a day, the price of gold fell about USD 100, making Monday’s close further from the record top than Friday’s close — essentially similar to a change in market sentiment, in which a bearish engulfing pattern is formed.
From a fundamental point of view, the gold market is influenced by:
→ Jerome Powell’s words that expectations of a rate cut may be “premature”;
→ positioning traders at the beginning of the working week. Important news on the US labor market is expected on Friday.
From a technical point of view, the gold price chart has a structure of trend lines that resemble a Gann fan. The price found support near one of them (shown in double thickness), thereby stopping Monday’s fall. It is possible that if the bounces from this line are weak, the downward momentum may resume. In this case, the bears may try to break through the psychological level of USD 2,000 to test the next line from the mentioned structure.
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