The EUR/USD increased in the morning and resumes in the last two day’s bullish movement. Price rallies and tries to take out a dynamic resistance as the USD is punished by the USDX’s drop. The index is at the third decreasing day and is pressuring an important dynamic support.
A USDX’s drop somewhere below the 93.30 level will confirm a further drop in the upcoming period and a USD depreciation. USDX could come down only to retest a support level before will climb higher again, is still expected to reach new highs as the FED is expected to hike the rate in December. I’ve said in the previous week that the USDX could develop an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, a retest of the 92.49 will signal that the pattern is developing, but only a valid breakout above the 93.81 will confirm it.
Price has managed to jump above the median line (ml) of the descending pitchfork and could approach the median line (ml) of the minor ascending pitchfork. EUR/USD should increase further after the failure to close below the 1.1712 horizontal support and after the failure to reach and retest the median line (ML) of the major ascending pitchfork. The pair could still develop a Head and Shoulders pattern if will stay within the descending pitchfork’s body. A further increase will be confirmed only after a valid breakout above the 1.2041 major resistance