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Technical Outlook and Review

DXY:

On the H4 timeframe, prices are on bullish momentum and abiding by our daily ascending trendline. We see the potential for a bounce from our 1st support at 95.568 in line with 50% Fibonacci retracement and graphical overlap towards our 1st resistance at 95.695 in line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and 50% Fibonacci retracement. Our bullish bias is further supported by our RSI portraying bullish momentum.

Areas of consideration:

  • H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 95.693
  • H4 time frame, 1st support at 95.366

XAU/USD (GOLD):

On the H4 chart, prices are at a pivot and strong graphical overlap resistance. We see potential for a pullback from our 1st resistance at 1836.379 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci extension towards our 1st support at 1824.397 in line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. RSI are at levels where dips previously occurred.

Areas of consideration:

  • 4h 1st support at 1824.397
  • 4h 1st resistance at 1829.265

GBP/USD

In the H4 chart , price is trading in an ascending channel and near 1st support level of 1.35043 which is also 50% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Price can potentially continue its bullish momentum to the 1st resistance level of 1.36461 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci projection and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Our bullish bias is supported by the ichimoku cloud indicator as price is trading above it.

Areas of consideration:

  • H4 1st resistance 1.36461
  • H4 1st support 1.35043

USD/CHF:

On the H4 timeframe,in reference to last week’s analysis price indeed bounced at the 1st Support level. Price is abiding to the daily ascending channel signifying an overall bullish momentum. We can expect the price to bounce from 1st Support in line with 78.6% Fibonacci projection and 61.8% fibonacci retracement towards 1st Resistance in line with 61.8% Fibonacci projection and previous swing high. Our bullish bias is further supported by the RSI indicator where it is at the support level. Traders should wait for prices to swing higher or lower before entering.

Areas of consideration:

  • Watch 1st Support at 0.91750
  • Watch 1st Resistance at 0.93175

EUR/USD :

On the H4 chart, price is near the 1st resistance level of 1.14816 which is also 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Price can potentially dip to the 1st support level of 1.13523 in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Our bearish bias is supported by the RSI indicator as it is abiding by a descending trendline

Areas of consideration :

  • H4 1st support at 1.13523
  • H4 1st resistance at 1.14816

USD/JPY:

On the H4 chart,in reference to last week’s analysis, price indeed bounced at 1st Support and it is reaching our potential 1st Resistance level @ 115.598.

Price is trading in an ascending channel signifying an overall bullish momentum, however, we can expect a short-term bearish drop from 1st Resistance level in line with horizontal resistance and 78.6% Fibonacci projection towards 1st Support in line with previous swing low and 100% Fibonacci projection. Our bearish bias is further supported by the stochastic indicator where the %K line is at the resistance level.

Areas of consideration:

  • H4 1st support at 114.025
  • H4 1st resistance at 115.598

AUD/USD:

Price broke out of the descending channel, signifying an overall bullish momentum. We can expect price to bounce from 1st Support in line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and graphical overlap support towards 1st Resistance in line with previous swing high and 100% Fibonacci projection. Our bullish bias is further supported by the Ichimoku indicator where the prices are holding above the cloud.

Areas of consideration:

  • H4 1st Support level 0.71631
  • H4 1st resistance level 0.72584

NZD/USD:

On the H4 timeframe, prices were on bearish momentum and are abiding to our descending trendline. We see potential for prices to dip from our 1st resistance at 0.67005 in line with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 78.6% Fibonacci extension towards our 1st support at 0.65916 in line with 161.8% Fibonacci retracement. Our bias is further supported by RSI being at levels where dips previously occurred. Alternatively, our stop loss will be placed at 2nd resistance at 0.67567 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.

Areas of consideration:

  • H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 0.67005
  • H4 time frame, 1st support at 0.65942

USD/CAD:

On the H4, with prices moving below the ichimoku cloud, we see a potential drop to our 1st support at 1.25644 in line with horizontal overlap support and 161.8% Fibonacci projection from our 1st resistance at 1.26664 in line with horizontal overlap resistance. Alternatively, price may break 1st resistance structure and head for 2nd resistance at 1.27779, in line with the horizontal swing high resistance.

Areas of consideration:

  • H4 time frame, 1st support at 1.25644
  • H4 time frame, 1st resistance at 1.26664

OIL:

On the H4, with prices moving above the ichimoku cloud, we see the potential for a bounce from our 1st support at 90.15 in line with horizontal overlap support towards our 1st resistance at 95.76 in line with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and -61.8% Fibonacci expansion. Alternatively, price may break 1st support structure and head for 2nd support at 86.09, in line with the horizontal swing low support and 127.2% Fibonacci extension.

Areas of consideration:

  • H4 time frame, 1st resistance of 95.76
  • H4 time frame, 1st support of 90.15

Dow Jones Industrial Average:

On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku cloud, signifying an overall bullish momentum. We can expect price to rise to our 1st resistance at 36251 in line horizontal graphical swing high resistance and 161.8% Fibonacci extension from our 1st support in line with horizontal overlap support at 35680. Alternatively, price may break 1st support structure and head for 2nd support, which coincides with horizontal swing low support at 34978.

Areas of consideration:

  • H4 time frame, 1st resistance of 36251
  • H4 time frame, 1st support of 35680

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