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Indian Bond Prices Rise As Oil Moves Lower

General Trend:

  • Asian equity markets trade mostly higher amid renewed hopes for June US/North Korea summit and US holiday; Kospi outperforms
  • Energy prices extend losses seen on Friday’s session amid production increase speculation based on comments from Russia and Saudi Arabia; WTI Crude Futures lower by over 2%, Brent Crude Futures down over 1%
  • Hang Seng Utilities index declines over 1%; China announced increase in gas prices
  • Indonesian assets rally as central bank announces ‘additional’ meeting: 10-year bond yield declines over 15bps, Rupiah (IDR) rallies
  • Indian bond prices rise as oil moves lower
  • Japanese Yen (JPY) trades generally weaker, JPY/KRW -0.5%: US President Trump noted ‘productive talks’ about reinstating June 12 summit with North Korea
  • EUR/JPY and EUR/USD trade higher: Italy’s President rejected Savona for economy minister position
  • PBoC raised rates on 28-day reverse repo operation (in line with increases in the 7 and 14-day rates)
  • Analysts continue to push back BoJ rate hike calls into 2019
  • US May jobs report due for release on Friday, June 1st
  • MSCI expected to add China large-cap A-shares to EM index at the end of this week
  • US Commerce Sec Ross scheduled to visit China from June 2-4th to discuss trade

Headlines/Economic Data

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened +0.2%; closed +0.1%
  • TOPIX Real Estate index +1.1%, Electric Appliances +0.3%; Marine Transportation -1.4%, Securities -0.5%, Info & Communications -0.5%
  • (JP) JAPAN APR PPI SERVICES Y/Y: 0.9% V 0.5%E
  • (JP) Japan PM Abe cabinet approval rating flat at 42% – Nikkei
  • Nomura, 8604.JP Said to consider delaying EPS target of ¥100/share, cites markets – press
  • Kansai Electric, 9503.JP Exec: To cut spot purchases of LNG and will likely not sign any long term LNG contracts as it moves to make nuclear power the largest part of its mix – financial press
  • (JP) Japan PM Abe: Automakers have created jobs and made huge contributions to US economy; TPP is best trade format for japan and US and will keep explaining it to President Trump

Korea

  • Kospi opened +0.2%
  • (KR) North Korea state news: leader Kim expressed “his fixed will” for a summit with Pres Trump; Kim and S Korea Pres Moon agreed to high level talks on June 1st
  • (KR) Pres Trump tweets that US is having “productive” talks about reinstating June 12 summit with North Korea; says no disagreement in the White House about how to deal with North Korea
  • (KR) Follow Up: US Senior Diplomat Sung King said to be in North Korea for meetings related to the coordination of US/North Korea summit – US financial press
  • (KR) South Korea President Moon met with N. Korea leader Kim in a surprise meeting over the weekend; Kim affirms commitment to complete denuclearization and meeting with Trump – press
  • (KR) South Korea President Moon may join President Trump for a 3-way summit with N. Korea Kim – Korean press; Follow up: South Korea Govt: Trilateral meeting depends on result of meeting between N. Korea Kim and President Trump
  • (KR) South Korea to require tougher mortgage rules in H2 of this year as part of govt effort to reduce household debt – Korean press
  • (KR) Bank of Korea (BOK) sells 1-yr Monetary Stabilization Bonds (MSB) at 1.89% v 1.88% prior
  • (KR) South Korea sells KRW1.65T v KRW1.65T indicated in 3-yr govt bonds at 2.235%

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened +0.6%, Shanghai Composite -0.1%
  • Hang Seng Industrial Goods index +1.5%, Services +1.4%, Consumer Goods +1.3%, Financials +0.5%; Utilities -0.7%, Energy -0.3%
  • 763.HK Pres Trump defends his strategy on ZTE and says the company will pay a $1.3B fine
  • (CN) US pressuring China to sign long term import agreements – FT
  • Alibaba, Tencent, Baidu to each hold 3.7% stakes in Foxconn Industrial Internet – SCMP
  • (CN) Yuan to remain stable with two way fluctuations – China Securities Journal
  • (CN) CHINA APR INDUSTRIAL PROFITS Y/Y: 21.9% V 3.1% PRIOR (6-month high)
  • (CN) China should prevent bond default’s market impact; gov’t said to examine rules aimed at limiting bond default risk – Chinese press
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Injects CNY30B in 7-day and 28-day reverse repos v skips prior; Net: injects CNY30B v CNY0B prior
  • (CN) PBOC RAISES OPEN MARKET OPERATION (OMO ) RATE ON 28-DAY REVERSE REPO BY 5BPS TO 2.85% FROM 2.80% (AS EXPECTED)
  • (CN) China PBoC sets yuan reference rate at 6.3962 v 6.3867 prior

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened -0.2%, closed -0.5%
  • ASX 200 Energy index -3%, Resources -2.2%, Telecom -1%, Financials -0.3%; Utilities +1%, REIT +0.7%
  • Wesfarmers, WES.AU In exclusive talks with KKR about hotel and retail liquor portfolio – Australian
  • IGO.AU Announces agreement to divest Jaguar operations for A$73.2M cash to unit of Washington H. Soul Pattinson, Copperchem
  • APN Outdoor, APO.AU Guides FY18 (A$) EBITDA 92-96M; CAPEX 25-30M; Guides H1 Rev tracking mid-single digit growth y/y
  • Investa office Fund,[+11%], IOF.AU Receives A$5.25/share cash proposal from Blackstone (~13.4% premium to prior close)
  • (AU) Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Harper: Wage ‘hot spots’ are not obvious, wage growth ‘is all slow’; RBA has ‘steady as she goes’ policy approach

Europe

  • (UK) UK government is said to not have a plan for a Brexit ‘no deal’ – FT
  • (UK) Foreign Sec Johnson Op Ed reiterates call for UK to leave the customs union – Telegraph
  • (IT) Italy President Mattarella on Sunday blocked the formation of a new government amid concerns that the coalition could hurt the country’s membership in the Euro; Italy President and Cottarelli expected to meet on Monday – US financial press
  • (IT) Moody’s puts Italy’s Baa2 rating on downgrade review (Fri, after the close)

Levels as of 02:00ET

  • Hang Seng +0.7%; Shanghai Composite -0.1%; Kospi +0.7%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.4%; Nasdaq100 +0.6%, Dax +0.4%; FTSE100 +0.3%
  • EUR 1.1727-1.1652; JPY 109.83-109.31; AUD 0.7581-0.7547;NZD 0.6957-0.6915
  • Jun Gold -0.5% at $1,297/oz; Jul Crude Oil -2.5% at $66.22/brl; Jul Copper +0.5% at $3.09/lb
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