General Trend:
- Asian equity markets trade mixed following Tuesday’s gains: Trade remains on the radar, along with Syria and US politics
- Energy shares gain, track Tuesday’s rise in oil prices
- Softbank rises over 4% amid renewed merger speculation between Sprint and T-Mobile
- PBoC Gov Yi Gang suggests yuan depreciation will not be used as trade tool, gives date for previously announced moves to open up financial sector; comments on US/China interest rate differential
- China announced plans to expand daily quota for China/Hong Kong stock link program
- China aims to start Shanghai-London stock connect within 2018.
- China Vice Fin Min says previously announced cuts in import tariffs on autos and other products to be implemented ‘as early as possible’
- China March CPI and PPI slow amid easing of Lunar New Year impact
- Japan March Banking Lending slows to 5-year low; Feb machine orders unexpectedly rise
- RBA Gov Lowe reiterates no strong case for near-term policy adjustment, next rate move likely to be up; notes potential trade risks
- US March CPI and Fed FOMC Minutes due for release later on Wednesday
Headlines/Economic Data
Japan
- Nikkei 225 opened +0.1%; closed -0.5%
- TOPIX Retail Trade index -2%; Securities +1.6%, Iron & Steel +0.9%
- (JP) Moody’s Report: Japan aging population poses both near-term and long-term credit challenges
- (JP) Japan Feb Core Machine Orders M/M: +2.1% v -2.5%e; Y/Y: 2.4% v 0.0%e
- (JP) JAPAN MAR PPI (CGPI) M/M: -0.1% V -0.1%E; Y/Y: 2.1% V 2.0%E
- (JP) Japan Mar Bank Lending Ex-Trusts Y/Y: 1.9% v 2.1% prior; Incl Trusts Y/Y: 2.0% v 2.1% prior
- (JP) Japan researchers find 16M tons of rare earth deposits, equivalent to a few hundred years of global consumption – Nikkei
- Looking ahead: Bank of Japan (BoJ) Gov Kuroda may speak on Thursday
- (JP) Former Japan lawmaker Shizuka Kamei plans to visit North Korea in May in order to hold talks with top leaders – Japanese Press
Korea
- Kospi opened +0.2%
- (KR) South Korea Mar Unemployment Rate: 4.0% v 3.6%e (prior 3.6%)
- (KR) South Korea Feb M2 Money Supply m/m: 0.5% v 1.3% prior; y/y: 6.2% v 5.5% prior; L Money Supply m/m: 0.5% v 1.0% prior; y/y: 6.8% v 6.8% prior
- Looking Ahead: Bank of Korea (BoK) interest rate decision expected on Thursday (unchanged expected)
China/Hong Kong
- Hang Seng opened +0.1%, Shanghai Composite +0.2%
- Hang Seng Energy index +2.4%, Financials +1.4%, Info Tech +0.8%; Telecom -0.9%, Consumer Goods -0.8%
- Shanghai Composite Property Sub-index rises over 1%
- (CN) China Researcher: Need to be wary of structural inflation risks – China Daily
- (CN) PBoC Gov Yi Gang: Will not allow yuan to depreciate
- (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Skips reverse repo operations for 2nd consecutive day; Net: CNY20B drain v CNY30B drain prior
- (CN) China PBoC sets yuan reference rate at 6.2911 v 6.3071 prior
- (CN) PBoC Gov Yi Gang: Interest rate differential with the US is in ‘comfortable range’; to implement opening policies by June 2018
- (CN) China Commerce Ministry (MOFCOM) sees Q1 retail sales up ~10% y/y – financial press
- Rusal, 486.HK Said to have asked customers to pay in Euros and not Dollars in order to get around US sanctions – financial press
- (CN) CHINA MAR CPI M/M: -1.1% V 1.2% PRIOR; Y/Y: 2.1% V 2.6%E; PPI Y/Y:3.1% V 3.3%E
- (CN) Asia Development Bank (ADB): Raises China 2018 GDP growth forecast to 6.6% v 6.4% in Dec
Australia/New Zealand
- ASX 200 opened +0.1%
- ASX 200 Utilities index -1.6%, Telecom -1.3%, Consumer Discretionary -1.1%, Financials -1%, REIT -0.7%; Energy +1.3%, Resources +1.1%
- (AU) RBA Gov Lowe: Reiterates next rate move likely to be up not down, may come as a shock as it will be first one in 7-yrs; no argument to change policy currently
- (AU) Australia buys back A$600M in 2019 and 2020 bonds
- South32, S32.AU Colombia court ruled that water emissions from Cerro Matoso nickle project cause locals to suffer health issues including cancer – AFR
- (AU) Australia Apr Westpac Consumer Confidence Index: 102.4 v 103.0 prior; M/M: -0.6% 0.2% prior
- (AU) Australia to implement new laws on cryptocurrency
- (AU) Australia sells A$600M v A$600M indicated in 2.75% Nov 2028 bonds, avg yield 2.7069% v 2.7124% prior, bid to cover 4.25x v 4.46x prior
- (AU) Australia Mar TD Inflation Gauge m/m: +0.1% v -0.1% prior
- (NZ) New Zealand to probe steel dumping allegations related to China and Malaysia
- Looking Ahead: RBNZ Assistant Gov McDermott expected to give speech on inflation targeting on Thursday
North America
- US equity markets ended higher: Dow +1.8%, S&P500 +1.7%, Nasdaq +2.1%, Russell 2000 +1.9%
- S&P500 Energy +3.3%, Technology +2.5%
- VirnetX [VHC] Texas Court rules Apple to pay $502.6M to VirnetX in Patent case; +41% after hours
- Hilton [HLT] Prices upsized offering of $1.50B (prior $500M) in 5.125% senior notes due 2026 (6.2% of market cap)
- (US) US President Trump said to consider firing Deputy AG Rosenstein – US Media
- (US) Fed’s Bostic (FOMC voter, dove): Does not comment on monetary policy in initial remarks
- (US) White House press sec Sanders: Encouraged by President Xi comments on trade but want to see concrete actions
- (CN) Pres Trump: “Very thankful for President Xi of China’s kind words on tarrifs and automobile barriers…also, his enlightenment on intellectual property and technology transfers. We will make great progress together!”
- (US) Trade officials in the US are concerned that some companies are enabling steel producers in China to avoid the US tariffs – US financial press
- (US) TREASURY’S $30B 3-YEAR NOTE AUCTION DRAWS: 2.450%; BID-TO-COVER RATIO: 2.85 V 3.94 PRIOR AND 2.91 OVER THE LAST 12 AUCTIONS
- (US) Weekly API Oil Inventories: Crude: +1.8M v -3.3M prior
Europe
- (EU) ECB spokesperson: Nowotny’s views are his own and do not represent the view of the Governing Council [Note: Nowotny stated that it was too early to say when rate hikes would begin but could start the process with 20bps hike in Deposit Rate to -0.20%]
- (FR) France Fin Ministry: sees 2018 GDP growth at 2%, 2019 at 1.9%, and 2020-2022 at 1.7%
- 21st Century Fox [FOXA]: European Commission reportedly raids Fox HQ in London; Fox says it is cooperating – press
- Rusal [RUALR.RU]: Reportedly to begin asking customers to pay in Euros – press
- Looking Ahead: ECB President Draghi is expected to speak
Levels as of 02:00ET
- Hang Seng +0.8%; Shanghai Composite +0.8%; Kospi -0.2%; ASX 200 -0.5%
- Equity Futures: S&P500 -0.5%; Nasdaq100 -0.4%, Dax -0.2%; FTSE100 -0.0%
- EUR 1.2370-1.2353; JPY 107.23-106.97; AUD 0.7769-0.7748;NZD 0.7375-0.7346
- Jun Gold -0.0% at $1,345/oz; May Crude Oil -0.2%at $65.36/brl; May Copper -0.8% at $3.11/lb