General Trend:
- Financial press headline says Asia stocks rise as trade war concerns ease amid comments from US officials
- Market participation limited amid holidays in China, Taiwan, Hong Kong
- South Korean chipmakers gain as a local press report suggested direct sanction impact could be limited
- Samsung Electronics expected to report prelim Q1 figures on Friday
- Net Foreign purchases of Japanese equities rise for first time since Feb (weekly data)
- Australia Feb Trade Surplus above ests: Little initial impact on bond and currency markets
- Australia March services surveys signal further expansion
- Australia 3-month bank bill rate fixed lower for the first time since early Feb; Banks rise amid lower funding costs
- Malaysia Feb Exports to China decline
- Market closures expected on Friday include China, Taiwan and Thailand
- Philippines Central Bank chief said will evaluate appropriateness of measured policy response; March CPI data above ests
Headlines/Economic Data
Japan
- Nikkei 225 opened +1%: closed +1.5%
- TOPIX Real Estate index +2.6%
- Japanese mega-banks rise over 1%
- (JP) Former Bank of Japan (BOJ) member Hideo Hayakawa: BOJ likely to raise its yield target within a year after gains in consumer prices ex-fresh food and energy reach 1% (currently ~0.5%) – financial press
- (JP) Japan Investors Net Buying of Foreign Bonds: -ÂĄ774.3B v +ÂĄ790.1B prior week; Foreign Net Buying of Japan Stocks: +ÂĄ228.8B v -ÂĄ2.2T prior week
- (JP) Japan said to plan first step towards legalizing initial coin offerings (ICOs) – US financial press
Australia/New Zealand
- ASX 200 opened +0.2%; closed +0.5%
- ASX 200 Financials index +1.3%, REIT +0.8%, Energy +0.6%; Resources -0.5%
- Bluescope Steel [BSL.AU]: S&P raises credit rating 1 notch to BBB- (investment grade) from BB+; Outlook Stable
- (AU) AUSTRALIA FEB TRADE BALANCE (A$): 825M V 725ME
- (AU) Australia Mar CBA PMI Services: 55.6 v 54.2 prior; Composite: 55.4 v 54.3 prior
- (AU) Australia Mar AIG Performance of Services Index: 56.9 v 54.0 prior
- Constellation Brands and Champ Private Equity said to sell Accolade Wines to Carlyle Group for ~A$1.0B – US financial press
- (NZ) New Zealand sells NZ$100M in 2.5% Sept 2040 Bonds, avg yield: 2.1584%; implied bid to cover: 1.84x
China/Hong Kong
- Shanghai Composite and Hang Seng are closed for holidays
- (CN) US govt spokesperson: Chinese agricultural tariffs don’t comply with WTO rules
- (CN) China govt to begin retaliatory duties on US goods whenever US implements its tariffs – Chinese press
- (CN) Financial press article comments on how China has held back from targeting US Treasuries amid trade dispute
Korea
- Kospi opened +0.8%
- (KR) South Korea chipmakers not immediately or directly impacted by US tariffs on products from China – Yonhap
- (KR) There is speculation that North Korea may have shut down a nuclear reactor – Local Media
- (KR) South Korea Finance Min Kim: Will stabilize FX markets if needed regardless of whether decides to disclose intervention details; Disclosing intervention does not mean losing FX sovereignty.
Other Asia
- (PH) Philippines Mar CPI M/M: 0.6% v 0.8% prior; Y/Y: 4.3% v 4.2%e
- (PH) Philippines Central Bank (BSP) chief Espenilla comments on March inflation data: Will carefully evaluate appropriateness of a measured policy response to firmly anchor inflation expectations
- (MY) Malaysia is seeking exemptions from the US tariffs on steel and aluminum – US financial press
- (TH) Thailand Central Bank Chief Veerathai: Thailand is ‘definitely not a currency manipulator’; focusing more on impact of Baht volatility
- Looking Ahead: Reserve Bank of India (RBI) rate decision expected later today (unchanged expected)
North America
- US equity markets closed higher: Dow +1%, S&P500 +1.2%, Nasdaq +1.5%, Russell 2000 +1.3%
- S&P500 Consumer Discretionary +1.8%, Consumer Staples +1.6%
- Boeing and Apple may get ‘hurt by accident in trade war’ – Xinhua
- (US) President Trump tweets “We are not in a trade war with China, that war was lost many years ago by the foolish, or incompetent, people who represented the U.S. Now we have a Trade Deficit of $500B a year, with Intellectual Property Theft of another $300B. We cannot let this continue!”
- (CN) White House spokesperson: we are going through review period on China tariffs; will be a couple months before they are implemented
- (US) White House Econ Adviser Kudlow: ‘It’s possible’ China tariffs are a negotiating tactic but ‘I would take the president seriously’
- (US) Fed’s Mester (FOMC voter, hawk): Does not comment on monetary policy in prepared remarks
- (US) DOE CRUDE: -4.6M V +1ME
- (BZ) Brazil Court rules that Former President Lula can be imprisoned while going through appeal process (making him unable to run again for President this Oct)
Europe
- Fidessa Group [FDSA.UK]: SS&C is one of the two unnamed parties that have made approaches to Fidessa at a premium to the standing offer from Temenos – FT
Levels as of 02:00ET
- Kospi +1.5%
- Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.4%; Nasdaq100 +0.7%, Dax +0.5%; FTSE100 +0.5%
- EUR 1.2274-1.2291 ; JPY 106.70-107.04 ; AUD 0.7685-0.7728 ;NZD 0.7288-0.7323
- Jun Gold -0.6% at $1,332/oz; May Crude Oil +0.5% at $63.66/brl; May Copper -0.1% at $3.021/lb