Market Movers ahead
- In the euro area, we expect the ECB to announce a QE extension by nine months at a pace of EUR30bn. Apart from a scaling down of QE purchases, we do not expect the ECB to make any changes to its forward guidance at the upcoming meeting. For more, see ECB Preview: Ready to scale back QE, 18 October 2017.
- We do not expect changes to the Swedish repo rate forecast when the Riksbank meets.
- In Norway, we expect Norges Bank to stay on hold as it is one of the intermediate meetings without a Monetary Policy Report and a press conference.
- The Chinese 19th Congress of the Communist Party continues and the new Standing Committee (SC) of the Politburo is presented on Wednesday.
- The first estimates of Q3 GDP growth are due out in both the UK and US next week.
Global macro and market themes
- Risk assets are supported by a long list of favourable factors – not least strong profit growth and cautious central banks.
- A moderate slowdown in China will cause some headwind for EM assets but should not derail the global recovery.
- Bond yields and EUR/USD are set to stay range bound in the short term.