HomeContributorsFundamental AnalysisHKMA Intervenes In Currency Market Amid Press Report On HKD Peg

HKMA Intervenes In Currency Market Amid Press Report On HKD Peg

General Trend:

  • Shanghai Composite rises during morning session after lower open, the index is on track for the 7th straight session of gains; IT and Brokerage firms rise, banks lag
  • Tencent trades at new record high in HK, train operator MTR drops on guidance
  • Decliners in Japan include Transports, financials track the earlier weakness in the US; Retail sector outperforms ahead of upcoming earnings
  • Japanese companies expected to report earnings after the market close include Seven & I, FamilyMart, Aeon and Aeon Financial.
  • Australian equities underperform, declining sectors include Consumer Discretionary and Financials
  • Alumina drops over 5% in Australia on tax ruling
  • Asian LCD makers move on report that Apple may use OLED displays in all new iPhone models; Japan Display declines, LG Display rises
  • Another quiet Asian session for US Treasury FUTs

Headlines/Economic Data

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened -0.1%
  • (AU) Victoria state reports 134 additional coronvirus cases v 191 prior
  • (AU) Australia Capital Territory (Located in NSW) reports 3 additional coronavirus cases, first cases in 1-month
  • (AU) Australia PM Morrison: Victoria state outbreak a test for Australia; There is a need to slow international arrivals into Australia [may slow arrival of people returning to Australia by air]
  • Apple said to close all stores in Victoria state effective July 9th (Thursday)
  • (AU) Australia ABS (Stats Bureau): Free Childcare will subtract 1.1% from headline CPI in Q2; also expects re-negotiations of rents and rent reductions to result in CPI decline [Q2 CPI data due on Wed July 29th]
  • (AU) Australia Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA): Announces extension of temporary capital treatment for bank loans with repayment deferrals; this regulatory approach will be extended to cover a maximum period of 10 months from the start of a repayment deferral, or until 31 March 2021 (whichever comes first)
  • (AU) Australia Treasurer Frydenberg: Australia will announce more income support beyond Sept; Details to come on July 23rd (Thursday)
  • (HK) Australia could seek to end its extradition treaty with Hong Kong amid the recent passage of the new national security law – Aussie press
  • (AU) Australia sells A$2.0B v A$2.0B indicated in 2.50% May 2030 bonds, avg yield 0.8759% v 0.8919% prior, bid to cover 3.7 v 3.39x prior
  • (NZ) Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) buys NZ$320M v NZ$370M prior in government bonds as part of QE v NZ$320M sought
  • (NZ) New Zealand Debt Management Office (DMO): To offer NZ$950M in government bonds due 2023, 2029 and 2033 at auction on July 9th (Thursday)
  • (NZ) New Zealand Treasury affirms 2041 Bond Syndication offering for next week

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened +0.4%, Shanghai Composite opened -0.2%
  • (HK) US President Trump aides reported to propose ideas on undermining USD/HKD peg, the HKD peg idea was raised in talks held by advisers to US Sec of State Pompeo – US financial press
  • (HK) HKMA said to sell HK$8.14B to defend peg as currency hits strong end of trading band; HKMA said to later sell an additional HK$2.2B to defend the currency peg
  • (CN) US State Dept to ban China officials that restrict access to Tibet – NYT
  • (CN) US President Trump admin warns Railroad retirement fund to avoid China- NYT [in line with prior developments]
  • (CN) China PBOC sets Yuan reference rate: 7.0207 v 7.0310 prior (Strongest since Mar 17th)
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Skips reverse repos v Skips prior; Net drain CNY0B v Net drain CNY110B prior (8th straight skip)
  • (CN) CHINA JUN FOREIGN RESERVES: $3.112T V $3.120TE (3rd straight increase) [released on July 7th]
  • (CN) China to require banks to prioritize employment
  • (CN) China reported to be seeking additional private investment in Railroad and Airport construction
  • (CN) China to auction 20Kt of Frozen Pork from State reserves on July 10th (Friday)

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened -0.6%
  • (JP) Japan May Current Account (BoP): ÂĄ1.18T v -ÂĄ639Be; Adj Current Account: ÂĄ821.1B v ÂĄ252.4B prior; Trade Balance (BoP): -ÂĄ556.8B v ÂĄ966.5B prior
  • (JP) Japan Jun Bank Lending Ex-Trusts Y/Y: 6.2% v 5.1% prior; Incl Trusts Y/Y: 6.2% v 4.8% prior
  • (JP) Japan Jun Bankruptcies Y/Y: +6.3% v -54.8% prior
  • (JP) JAPAN JUN ECO WATCHERS CURRENT SURVEY: 38.8 V 24.3E; OUTLOOK SURVEY: 44.0 V 39.3E
  • (JP) Japan METI Forecasts Q3 Crude Steel Output at -27.9% y/y
  • (JP) Japan Chief Sec Suga: Japan will reduce coronavirus restrictions related to events on July 10th (Friday) as planned

Korea

  • Kospi opened +0.1%
  • (KR) South Korea President Moon: Urges High level officials to sell homes – Yonhap (as expected)
  • (KR) On Tuesday (July 7th) South Korea Court ordered North Korea Leader Kim to compensate 2 prisoners of war who were in forced labor camps during the Korean War – Press
  • (KR) US issues no antidumping duty on steel products from South Korea, said Hyundai Steel and POSCO did not sell cold-rolled steel in the US at prices below ‘normal’ – Yonhap

North America

  • National General Holdings [NGHC]: Allstate agrees to acquire co. for $4.0B in cash or $34.50/shr (includes closing dividends of $2.50/share), ~69% premium to prior close; Allstate expects to maintain current share buyback program
  • (US) Supreme Court Chief Justice Roberts was Hospitalized in June after a fall which led to a head injury – Press; Supreme Court Spokesperson said Roberts was later discharged from the hospital after 1 night
  • (CA) Canada Govt forecasts C$300B federal Deficit for current FY20/21; The deficit is expected to be revealed by Finance Min Morneau on Wed (July 8th) – Canada Press

Europe

  • Boohoo.com [BOO.UK]: Amazon Drops Boohoo products due to labor abuse concerns – Press

Levels as of 1:20 ET

  • Nikkei 225, -0.6%, ASX 200 -1.3% , Hang Seng +0.3%; Shanghai Composite +0.5% ; Kospi -0.1%
  • Equity S&P500 Futures: flat; Nasdaq100 flat, Dax +0.3%; FTSE100 -0.7%
  • EUR 1.1282-1.1265 ; JPY 107.71-107.51 ; AUD 0.6955-0.6931 ;NZD 0.6563-0.6535
  • Gold -0.2% at $1,805/oz; Crude Oil -0.4% at $40.45/brl; Copper +0.3% at $2.7938/lb
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