General Trend:
- Shanghai Composite index tested the 3,000 psychological level for the first time since March amid easing by the PBOC, sectors moving higher include Consumer Discretionary and Property
- Japanese equities lag amid the stronger Yen; Declining sectors include Real Estate, Insurance and Transportation
- Consumer Discretionary sector rises in Australia, energy sector lags
- FedEx rose over 8% in afterhours trading on better than expected results
- Japan 30-yr JGB yield rises to highest level since March 2019, BoJ’s July bond purchase plan has led to speculation that the central bank may seek to steepen the yield curve; US 30-year Treasury Bond FUTs decline amid the new month and quarter
- Bank of Korea (BOK) plans to conduct outright purchase of KRW1.5T worth of gov’t bonds on Thursday (July 2nd)
Headlines/Economic Data
Australia/New Zealand
- ASX 200 opened +0.1%
- (AU) Australia Victoria state reports 73 additional coronavirus cases v 64 prior (over 2 month high)
- (AU) Australia Jun Final CBA PMI Manufacturing: 51.2 v 49.8 prelim (Move into expansion territory after 3 Months of contraction)
- (AU) Australia Jun AiG Performance of Manufacturing Index: 51.5 v 41.6 prior (Highest since July 2019)
- (AU) AUSTRALIA MAY BUILDING APPROVALS M/M: -16.4% V -7.8%E; Y/Y: -11.6% V -7.8%E
- (AU) Australia May Private Sector Houses Approvals M/M: -4.4% v +2.7% prior
- (AU) Australia May CoreLogic House Prices M/M: -0.8% v -0.5% prior
- (AU) Australia sells A$2.0B v A$2.0B indicated in 2.75% Nov 2028 bonds, avg yield 0.7959%, bid to cover 3.6x
- Air New Zealand [AIR.NZ]: Announces Auckland to Melbourne passenger flights will be suspended from July 1-14 [citing govt restrictions]
- (NZ) Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Gov Orr: There is ‘nothing magic’ about 50% of QE ceiling [relates to indemnity agreement with NZ government]; By August RBNZ will have clarity on LSAP program on delivery stimulus
- (NZ) Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) buys NZ$390M v NZ$146M prior in government bonds as part of QE v NZ$390M sought
China/Hong Kong
- Hang Seng closed for holiday, Shanghai Composite opened +0.2%
- (CN) China may announce restrictions on US media – Global Times
- (CN) CHINA JUN CAIXIN PMI MANUFACTURING: 51.2 V 50.5E
- (CN) FCC designates Huawei and ZTE as national security threats – press
- (CN) China PBoC said to cut the Relending rate by 25bps to 2.00% on July 1st; to also cut interest rates related to financial stability refinancing loans by 50bps to 1.75% – financial press
- (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Skips reverse repos v Skips prior; Net drain CNY180B v Net drain CNY90B prior (3rd straight skip)
- (CN) China PBOC sets Yuan reference rate: 7.0710 v 7.0795 prior
- (CN) China to strengthen rules on selling bonds related to coronavirus relief
- (HK) China briefing on Hong Kong national security law: New Law will plug loopholes in Hong Kong legal systems
- (HK) Hong Kong Police Spokesman: People who display pro-independence material will face arrest and prosecution under Hong Kong National Security Law
- (HK) Macau Jun Gaming Rev (MOP): 716M v 1.76B prior; Y/Y: -97.0% v -93.2% prior
Japan
- Nikkei opened +0.2%
- (JP) JAPAN Q2 TANKAN LARGE MANUFACTURING INDEX: -34 V -31E (lowest level since 2009); OUTLOOK SURVEY: -27 V -24E
- (JP) JAPAN JUN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX: 28.4 V 28.0E
- (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) announces Bond purchases for month of July (June 30th)
- (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) announcement related to daily bond buying operation: raises purchases of 3-5 year JGBs (as expected)
- (JP) BoJ Dep Gov Wakatabe: Central banks must consider price stability during coronavirus pandemic – Column in Nikkei
- (JP) Japan Chief Cabinet Suga: Current coronavirus situation does not require emergency declaration currently
- (JP) Japan Dep PM Aso: Snap election in autumn is preferable – financial press (from June 30th)
- (JP) Japan govt reportedly considering loosening travel restrictions with China and South Korea – Japanese press
- (JP) Japan PM Abe said to plan to attend G7 meeting in late Aug, the meeting will be held in the US – Japanese press
- (JP) Tokyo reports >60 cases of coronavirus (3rd straight day of >50 cases)
Korea
- Kospi opened +1%
- (KR) South Korea Jun PMI Manufacturing: 43.4 v 41.3 prior
- (KR) South Korea Jun Trade Balance: $3.7B v $4.1Be
Other Asia
- (IN) India Jun PMI Manufacturing: 47.2 v 30.8 prior (3rd straight contraction)
- (PH) Philippines Central Bank (BSP): To issue BSP securities for the first time in Q3 via auction; notes the need for greater flexibility to manage liquidity
- (TW) Taiwan Jun Manufacturing PMI: 46.2 v 41.9 prior
North America
- (US) US Senate passes Paycheck Protection Program extension bill, also passes bill which gives companies more time to apply for relief
- Alphabet [GOOGL]: Google to delay reopening of offices due to coronavirus concerns related to western and southern US states; all of the company’s US offices to remain closed until at least early Sept – Press
- Apple [AAPL]: Looking to reduce production delays for its 5G iPhones – Nikkei
- BOC Aviation [2588.HK]: Confirms cancellation of orders for 30 Boeing 737 Max planes, deferred delivery of other 737 Max jets
Europe
- Airbus [AIR.FR}: Plans to cut 15K jobs (~11% of workforce)
- SocGen [GLE.FR]: Australia regulator ASIC: SocGen Australia pleads guilty to client money offences
Levels as of 1:20 ET
- Nikkei 225, -1.1%, ASX 200 +0.2% , Hang Seng closed; Shanghai Composite +0.9% ; Kospi +0.1%
- Equity S&P500 Futures: -0.4%; Nasdaq100 -0.3%, Dax -0.2%; FTSE100 -0.3%
- EUR 1.1240-1.1215 ; JPY 108.16-107.58 ; AUD 0.6918-0.6885 ;NZD 0.6466-0.6440
- Gold flat at $1,800/oz; Crude Oil +1.3% at $39.79/brl; Copper +0.6% at $2.732/lb