HomeContributorsFundamental AnalysisCommodity Currencies Decline Vs. Yen Amid Focus On Trade And Upcoming RBNZ...

Commodity Currencies Decline Vs. Yen Amid Focus On Trade And Upcoming RBNZ Decision

General Trend:

  • Toyota Motor guides FY21 Op profit below ests, maintained dividend
  • Declining sectors in Japan include Marine Transportation, Real Estate, Iron/Steel and Banks
  • Shanghai Composite declines 0.6% during morning session, Telecom Services and IT firms are among the losers
  • Property, Gaming and Energy firms trade generally lower in Hong Kong
  • Sectors moving lower in Australia include Resources, Energy and Financials
  • CSR (building products) rises over 9% in Australia on better earnings
  • Australia Trade Min: Do not think suspension of [meat] exports [to China] is related to virus inquiry
  • South Korean Press: South Korea struggles to contain club-linked coronavirus cases
  • BoJ Gov commented on the local real estate market, second wave of coronavirus and regional gov’t bonds
  • NY Fed: To start previously announced purchases of corporate bond ETFs on Tuesday (May 12th)
  • RBNZ to hold monetary policy meeting on Wed (May 13th), there has been some press focus on the possibility for negative interest rates and expanded QE in the future

Headlines/Economic Data

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened -0.1%
  • (AU) Australia Treasurer Frydenberg: Unemployment will reach 10% in Q2; Australia GDP will decline 10% in H2 of 2020
  • (NZ) New Zealand Apr Heavy Truckometer M/M: -45.0% v -8.6% prior
  • CSR.AU Reports FY20 (A$) adj Net 134.8M v 181.7M y/y; Rev 2.21B v 2.32B y/y
  • (AU) Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA): Excess cash at exchange settlement (ES) accounts at A$66.2B v A$62.9B prior
  • (AU) Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) adds A$405M to banking system through repos v A$785M prior
  • (AU) Australia Apr NAB Business Confidence: -46.0 v -65 prior; Business Conditions: -34 v -22 prior
  • (AU) China imposes import ban on four of Australia Abattoirs [slaughterhouses]; 4 plants have not been officially delisted or lost their licenses in China yet – ABC

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened +0.1%
  • (JP) Japan Apr Official Reserve Assets: $1.369T v $1.366T prior
  • Toyota Motors, 7203.JP Reports FY19/20 Net ÂĄ2.08T v ÂĄ1.88T y/y; Op ÂĄ2.44T v ÂĄ2.47T y/y; Rev ÂĄ29.93T v ÂĄ30.23T y/y; Guides initial FY20/21 Op ÂĄ500B; Rev ÂĄ24.0T (does not give net due to virus
  • (JP) Japan Ministry of Finance (MOF) Jan-March Foreign Exchange Intervention Operations: Total amount of foreign exchange intervention operations for the period from January through March 2020 at ÂĄ0
  • (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) Gov Kuroda: Reiterates Japan Economy likely to remain in a severe state, inflation likely to weaken; Global economy is rapidly worsening due to coronavirus; won’t hesitate to add easing if needed; do not think BOJ needs to buy regional bonds now
  • (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) Senior Official Uchida: No preset idea on how long the BOJ will continue buying ETFs at ÂĄ12T/yr pace, will continue as long as needed
  • (JP) Japan MoF sells ÂĄ2.1T v ÂĄ2.1T indicated in 0.1% 10-year JGBs: avg yield: -0.001% v -0.042% prior, bid to cover 4.09x v 3.28x prior

Korea

  • Kospi opened +0.2%
  • (KR) Reports 4.0 magnitude earthquake in North Korea appears to be a natural occurrence – South Korean press
  • (KR) South Korea President Moon: Urging South Korea Cabinet to put together 3rd extra budget soon
  • (KR) South Korea President Moon: Remain committed to pushing for another inter-Korea summit with North Korea leader Kim within the year – Cheong Wa Dae
  • (KR) North Korea official newspaper, Rodong Sinmun, stressed the importance of self-reliance, claiming hostile forces are bent on trying to “economically suffocate” the country
  • (KR) Bank of Korea (BOK) provides KRW260B in liquidity via weekly repo operations v KRW180B prior

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened -1.0%; Shanghai Composite opened 0.0%
  • (CN) CHINA APR CPI M/M: -0.9% V -1.2% PRIOR; Y/Y: 3.3% V 3.7%E (slowest annual CPI since 2019); Food CPI y/y: 14.8% v 18.3% prior; PPI Y/Y: -3.1% v -2.6%e
  • (CN) Reports of hawkish voices within China have emerged on the phase one trade deal with Washington: sources – Global Times
  • (CN) China National Health Commission Coronavirus Update for May 11th: 1 additional cases (1 imported v 7 prior) v 17 prior; Additional deaths: 0 v 0 prior; Additional Asymptomatic cases: 15 v 12 prior
  • (CN) China PBOC sets Yuan reference rate: 7.0919 v 7.0769 prior
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Skips Reserve Repo Operations for the 26th consecutive session; Net CNY0B v CNY0B prior
  • (HK) Hong Kong Chief Exec Lam: Expands scope of job security program; subsidy to be given out as early as late June
  • (CN) CHINA APR AGGREGATE FINANCING (CNY): 3.09T V 2.278TE
  • (CN) CHINA APR NEW YUAN LOANS (CNY): 1.70T V 1.300TE
  • (CN) CHINA APR M2 MONEY SUPPLY Y/Y: 11.1% V 10.3%E
  • (CN) China Premier Li: Reiterates view that development facing unprecedented difficulties and challenges

Other

  • (TW) Taiwan March Avg salary declines m/m (1st decline in 39 years) – Taiwan Press

North America

  • (US) NY Fed: Announces Start of Certain Secondary Market Corporate Credit Facility Purchases on May 12
  • (US) White House Trade adviser Navarro: Fact China hid virus for 2-months; flights could not go from Wuhan to other parts of China but they could go overseas during that time- CNBC
  • (US) Pres Trump: not in favor of reopening the China trade deal
  • BA CEO: Likely that a US airline will shutdown by Sept, sees US air traffic levels at less than 25% by Sept
  • (US) Speaker Pelosi (D-CA): Next aid package must focus on re-opening the economy
  • (US) US Health Advisor Fauci: Reported to tell Senate there are risks to reopening too early, It can lead to ‘needless suffering and death’ – US Press

Levels as of 1:15ET

  • Hang Seng -1.7%; Shanghai Composite -0.6%; Kospi -0.4%; Nikkei225 +0.1%; ASX 200 -1.1%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 -0.5%; Nasdaq100 -0.1%, Dax -0.5%; FTSE100 +0.0%
  • EUR 1.0812-1.0784; JPY 107.70-107.34; AUD 0.6494-0.6432; NZD 0.6083-0.6041
  • Commodity Futures: Gold +0.4% at $1,705/oz; Crude Oil +1.0% at $24.39/brl; Copper -0.2% at $2.38/lb
Trade The News
Trade The Newshttp://www.tradethenews.com/
All information provided by Trade The News (a product of Trade The News, Inc. "referred to as TTN hereafter") is for informational purposes only. Information provided is not meant as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to Buy or Sell securities. Although information is taken from sources deemed reliable, no guarantees or assurances can be made to the accuracy of any information provided. 1. Information can be inaccurate and/or incomplete 2. Information can be mistakenly re-released or be delayed, 3. Information may be incorrect, misread, misinterpreted or misunderstood 4. Human error is a business risk you are willing to assume 5. Technology can crash or be interrupted without notice 6. Trading decisions are the responsibility of traders, not those providing additional information. Trade The News is not liable (financial and/or non-financial) for any losses that may arise from any information provided by TTN. Trading securities involves a high degree of risk, and financial losses can and do occur on a regular basis and are part of the risk of trading and investing.

Featured Analysis

Learn Forex Trading