General Trend:
- Japanese equities decline, banks outperform after recent rise in Treasury yields
- Nissan plans to resume production in Hubei (China) this week
- Shanghai Composite rises less than 0.5% in early trading; Sectors moving higher include Telecom Services and Property; IT and Financial companies decline
- Cathay Pacific reported higher FY19 profit amid lower fuel costs, issued cautious outlook for H1
- Australian equities weighed down by Financial and Consumer sectors
- RBA Dep Gov commented on unconventional monetary policy, said would aim to keep yields low rather than set a target for bond buying [comments come amid speculation that the RBA could adopt a yield curve control policy (YCC) later in 2020]
- Australia consumer confidence declines in March to lowest level since late 2014, confidence declined despite recent RBA rate cut
- Australia is expected to disclose stimulus package on Thursday (March 12th), a package of A$10-20B has been speculated
- Australia AAA rating affirmed by S&P despite expected stimulus, ratings agency sees recession for the country in 2020
Headlines/Economic Data
Australia/New Zealand
- ASX 200 opened +0.5%
- (AU) AUSTRALIA JAN HOME LOANS M/M: 4.6% V 3.0%E; INVESTMENT LENDING M/M: 3.6% V 2.3%E
- (NZ) New Zealand Feb Retail Card Spending M/M: +0.6% -0.3%e; Total Card Spending M/M: 0.0% v 0.2% prior
- (AU) Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Deputy Gov DeBelle: Too uncertain to assess virus impact beyond Q1; economy will be well placed with rebound arrives; rates and fiscal stimulus will help the economy through period ahead; no indication of material disruption to iron ore or coal exports
- (AU) Australia expected to announce A$1.56B health package to deal with the coronavirus – Australian press
- (AU) Australia Mar Westpac Consumer Confidence Index: 91.9 v 95.5 prior (lowest levels since Dec 2014); M/M: -3.8% v 2.3% prior
- (AU) Australia PM Morrison: To announce economic response Thursday, to boost coronavirus response, health package by A$2.4B
- (AU) Australia Port Hedland Feb Total Iron ore Exports: 38.8Mt v 40.4Mt prior; iron ore shipments to China: 33.3Mt v 33.98Mt prior
- (AU) Australia sells A$1.0B v A$1.0B indicated in 1.50% June 2031 bonds, avg yield 0.7874%, bid to cover 2.11x
- (AU) Former Treasury Sec Parkinson: Australia should go big on stimulus or not bother; Q2 GDP outlook is grim, the economy is leaning towards recession
- (AU) Australia fiscal stimulus now said to be A$15-20B; Will target payments to pensioners and small businesses – Local press
Japan
- Nikkei 225 opened -0.6%
- (JP) Some in the ruling Japan LDP party said to believe extra budget of ÂĄ30T is needed to avoid ‘economic depression’ – US financial press
- 7203.JP Workers agree to avg annual wage icrease of ÂĄ8.6K/month v ÂĄ10.1K sought by union and ÂĄ10.7K in 2019 – Nikkei
- (JP) Tokyo Olympic Committee Member Takakashi: If Olympics are not possible this summer the most realistic option would be to delay for 1-2 years
- (JP) Japan Coronavirus update March 10th: Additional cases 59 (largest 1 day increase); Total cases 1,278, total deaths 19 (7 from cruise ship)
- (JP) Japan Trade Ministry: Agrees with South Korea to continue dialogue on export controls in Korea (no time frame given)
- (JP) Japan Ministry of Finance (MOF) Official: Volatility remains high in FX market; FX stability is important, rapid yen swings whether up or down are undesirable
- 7201.JP Will restart production in Hubei province this week
Korea
- Kospi opened +0.1%
- (KR) South Korea regulator bans short-selling of ‘overheated’ stocks, new regulation in places for the next 3-months
- 003490.KR Offered a voluntary leave program to its employees amid coronavirus impact on demand, which has seen it suspend more than 90% of its current flights
- (KR) South Korea Feb Unemployment Rate: 3.3% v 4.1%e; Jobs added 492K v 568K prior
- (KR) South Korea Ruling Party Official Lee: Govt and Parties to discuss expanding extra budget – Yonhap
- (KR) South Korea March 1-10th Exports y/y: +21.9% v +69.4% prior; Chip Exports y/y: +22.0% v +37.8% prior
- (KR) South Korea reports 242 additional coronavirus cases in the last 24-hours; total now 7,755
China/Hong Kong
- Hang Seng opened +0.3%; Shanghai Composite opened +0.2%
- (CN) China National Health Commission Coronavirus Update for March 10th: 24 additional cases v 19 prior; Additional deaths 22 v 17 prior; Hubei: 13 additional cases v 17 prior; additional deaths 22 v 17 prior
- 300298.CN Coronavirus testing strip is qualified to enter EU market
- (CN) China Industry Ministry (MIIT): Nonferrous metals still facing overcapacity risks in 2020; to keep strict control on electrolytic aluminium capacity
- (CN) China PBOC sets Yuan reference rate: 6.9612 v 6.9389 prior
- (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Skips reverse repo operations for the 17th consecutive session, Net CNY0B v CNY0B prior
- 293.HK Reports FY19 (HK$) Net +1.7B v +2.3B y/y (2nd consecutive year of profit); Rev 106.9B v 111.1B y/y
Other
- (TW) Taiwan Financial Supervisory Commission: Looking at circumstances under which may ban short selling, watching for irrational falls on stock market
- (SG) Singapore Central Bank (MAS) Economist Survey: Cuts 2020 GDP to 0.6% (prior 1.5%)
North America
- (US) March 10th Avg Traffic Intensity Index in Select US cities -16.8% y/y
- (US) Democratic primary Results: Biden leads in early results
- (US) Treasury expected to push back April 15th tax filing deadline – financial press
- Sen Graham (R-SC) confirms Republican senators had mixed reaction to the payroll tax cut idea; did discuss the idea of a shale industry bailout
- (US) Weekly API Crude Oil Inventories: +6.4M v +1.7M prior
- (US) VP Pence: Bringing full resources of Fed Govt to virus efforts; got proposal from cruise line industry which includes screening and care at the expense of the cruise line
- (US) Oil Lobbyists call on President Trump to snap up barrels for oil reserve
Europe
- (DE) Reportedly Chancellor Merkel tells legislators that Germany does not need classic stimulus, it needs liquidity to counter coronavirus impacts – press
- (UK) First UK Official, MP Nadine Dorries, diagnosed with coronavirus
Levels as of 12:15ET
- Hang Seng -0.9%; Shanghai Composite -0.3%; Kospi -2.7%; Nikkei225 -1.9%; ASX 200 -3.6%
- Equity Futures: S&P500 -2.8%; Nasdaq100 -2.7%, Dax -3.6%; FTSE100 -0.6%
- EUR 1.1348-1.1277; JPY 105.67-104.17; AUD 0.6518-0.6481; NZD 0.6293-0.6257
- Commodity Futures: Gold +0.2% at $1,663/oz; Crude Oil +1.5% at $34.87/brl; Copper -0.4% at $2.53/lb