HomeContributorsFundamental AnalysisAussie Yields Jump As RBA Gov Signals Rate Stability

Aussie Yields Jump As RBA Gov Signals Rate Stability

General Trend:

  • Sectors moving higher in Shanghai include Telecom Services, IT, Consumer Discretionary and Industrials
  • Chinese automakers rise amid speculation about possible industry support, BYD up over 8%
  • Airlines trade generally higher in HK, track earlier gains in the US
  • Gaming companies trade mixed in HK after earlier gains in the US
  • Sectors moving higher in Japan include Insurance, Electric Appliances and Iron/Steel.
  • Japanese companies expected to report earnings later today include Mazda, Subaru, AGC and Square Enix
  • Toyota Motor is due to report its earnings on Feb 6th
  • Gainers in Australia include Resource and Energy companies
  • Taiwanese DRAM maker Nanya Technology rises over 4%, Jan sales +5.7% y/y (first rise since 2018)
  • Singapore Dollar (SGD) weakens over 0.5% as central bank signaled there is room to ease policy
  • PBOC skipped today’s reverse repo operation, noted ample liquidity
  • Indonesia Central Bank: Policy adjustments are not limited to lowering key rate
  • Thailand Central Bank due to hold policy meeting later today
  • Companies expected to report earnings during the NY morning include GM, Merck and Spotify.

Headlines/Economic Data

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened +0.6%
  • (NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q4 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 4.0% V 4.2%E; Employment Change Q/Q: 0.0% v +0.3%e ; Y/Y: 1.0% v 1.2%e
  • (AU) Reserve Bank of Australia Gov Lowe: Further cuts would put pressure on Australian Dollar – The Year Ahead at the National Press Club
  • (AU) Australia Jan Final CBA PMI Services: 50.6 v 48.9 prelim
  • (AU) ANZ sees Australia Q1 GDP -0.1% due to coronavirus and bushfires
  • (AU) Australia sells A$2.5B v A$2.5B indicated in 1.25% May 2032 bonds, avg yield 1.0892% v 1.2394% prior, bid to cover 2.97x v 3.29x prior
  • (NZ) New Zealand Jan ANZ Commodity Price Index m/m: -0.9% v -3.4% prior (2nd consecutive decline); index did not capture the impact of the coronavirus
  • RIO.AU Launches new Australian payment terms; will immediately begin transitioning small Australian suppliers to shorter payment terms that will see them paid within 20 days of receipt of a valid invoice

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened +1.2%
  • (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) Dep Gov Wakatabe: Coronavirus raising uncertainties for global economy, given current situation need to be mindful of chance downside economic risks materialize and affect prices
  • 6758.JP Reports 9M Net ÂĄ569.6B v ÂĄ828.4B y/y; Op ÂĄ810.0B v ÂĄ811.5B y/y; Rev ÂĄ6.51T v ÂĄ6.54T y/y (yesterday after the close)
  • 6753.JP Reports 9M Net ÂĄ52.4B v ÂĄ63.1B y/y; Op ÂĄ66.4B v ÂĄ68.3B y/y; Rev ÂĄ1.76T v ÂĄ1.77T y/y (yesterday after the close)
  • (JP) Japan Jan Final PMI Services: 51.0 v 52.1 prelim

Korea

  • Kospi opened +0.9%
  • (KR) South Korea Jan Foreign Reserves: $409.7B v $408.8B prior (fresh record high)
  • (KR) South Korea and Japan to hold working level talks this week on trade and history dispute – Yonhap
  • 003490.KR South Korean airlines said to have halted a combined 57% of their flights to China – Yonhap

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened +0.7%; Shanghai Composite opened +0.3%
  • (CN) China Hubei Corona virus update for Feb 4th: 3,156 additional cases v 2,345 prior; additional deaths 65 v 64 prior
  • (CN) China National Health Commission: Confirmed cases 24,324 v 20,438 prior; Death toll of 490 v 425 prior
  • (HK) Hong Kong Jan PMI: 46.8 v 42.1 prior (highest reading since June 2019)
  • (CN) CHINA JAN CAIXIN PMI SERVICES: 51.8 V 52.0E
  • (CN) China PBOC Official: Digital currency to be issued soon – US financial press
  • (CN) China PBOC sets Yuan Reference Rate: 6.9823 v 6.9779 prior (weakest fix since Dec 27)
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Skips Reverse Repo operations v injects CNY500B in 7-day, 14-day repos prior; Net drain CNY30B v injections CNY400B prior

Other

  • (SG) Singapore Jan PMI: 51.4 v 51.0 prior (highest reading since May 2019, 3rd consecutive month of expansion)
  • (SG) Singapore Central Bank (MAS): Policy stance remains unchanged, there is sufficient room within the band to accommodate S$NEER easing, will not move up April policy meeting
  • 2317.TW Chairman Liu: Cutting FY20 Rev to 1-3% y/y (prior 3-5% y/y), noted current conditions – text

North America

  • (US) PETE BUTTIGIEG LEADS DEMOCRATIC IOWA CAUCUS RESULTS WITH 62% PRECINCTS REPORTING: Buttigieg 26.9%; Sanders 25.1%; Warren 18.3%; Biden 15.6%
  • Follow Up: PETE BUTTIGIEG LEADS DEMOCRATIC IOWA CAUCUS RESULTS WITH 71% PRECINCTS REPORTING
  • NKE Provides update on impact of Coronavirus in Greater China; we expect the situation to have a material impact on our operations in Greater China
  • BA Will not cancel CEO Calhoun bonus due to 737 Max – US financial press
  • (US) President Trump: Tariff strategy on China has worked; price transparency will cut healthcare costs, I am taking on Big Pharma companies – State of the Union

Europe

  • OPEC+ Delegate: OPEC+ Joint Technical Committee did not discuss oil cuts today but will revisit matter tomorrow; studied 200-400K bpd virus impact on oil demand
  • RNO.FR Korea unit may halt production for a week beginning on Feb 10th due to parts shortage [amid coronavirus impact] – South Korean press

Levels as of 12:15ET

  • Hang Seng +1.4%; Shanghai Composite +1.5%; Kospi +0.6%; Nikkei225 +1.7%; ASX 200 +0.4%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 -0.2%; Nasdaq100 -0.1%, Dax -0.3%; FTSE100 -0.1%
  • EUR 1.1047-1.1033; JPY 109.53-109.37; AUD 0.6746-0.6724; NZD 0.6501-0.6478
  • Commodity Futures: Gold +0.4% at $1,562/oz; Crude Oil +1.2% at $50.20/brl; Copper +0.9% at $2.57/lb
Trade The News
Trade The Newshttp://www.tradethenews.com/
All information provided by Trade The News (a product of Trade The News, Inc. "referred to as TTN hereafter") is for informational purposes only. Information provided is not meant as investment advice nor is it a recommendation to Buy or Sell securities. Although information is taken from sources deemed reliable, no guarantees or assurances can be made to the accuracy of any information provided. 1. Information can be inaccurate and/or incomplete 2. Information can be mistakenly re-released or be delayed, 3. Information may be incorrect, misread, misinterpreted or misunderstood 4. Human error is a business risk you are willing to assume 5. Technology can crash or be interrupted without notice 6. Trading decisions are the responsibility of traders, not those providing additional information. Trade The News is not liable (financial and/or non-financial) for any losses that may arise from any information provided by TTN. Trading securities involves a high degree of risk, and financial losses can and do occur on a regular basis and are part of the risk of trading and investing.

Featured Analysis

Learn Forex Trading