HomeContributorsFundamental AnalysisEquities Track US Declines, 2nd Straight Contraction In US ISM Manufacturing Data...

Equities Track US Declines, 2nd Straight Contraction In US ISM Manufacturing Data Eyed

General Trend:

  • North Korea may have fired submarine-launched ballistic missile (Yonhap)
  • South Korean chipmakers decline, Samsung may report prelim Q3 results on Friday (Oct 4th)
  • Hang Seng returns from Tuesday’s holiday to continued protests; Protestors vowed to step up action after police shooting of teenager (SCMP); Various bank branch closures reported
  • Chinese markets will return from holiday on Oct 8th (Tuesday)
  • NAB disclosed ~A$1.2B in added provisions, weighs on banking sector
  • Banks, Marine/Transportation and Iron/Steel firms are among the decliners in Japan
  • Fast Retailing is expected to report Sept SSS after Tokyo close
  • JGB Futures rise, on Tuesday’s session (Oct 1st) JGB Futures had their largest daily drop in 3-years

Headlines/Economic Data

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened -0.2%
  • NAB.AU Reports additional A$1.18B costs related to remediation, will reduce H2 cash earnings by ~A$1,12B
  • (AU) Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Gov Lowe: Can’t ignore global easing trends; Board recognizes that monetary policy still works, Cutting rates as insurance against possibility of noticeable slowdown – speaking at RBA Board Dinner with the business community, Melbourne (overnight)
  • (AU) Australia Labor is intensifying its demands for the PM Morrison to release the transcript of a conversation with Trump, accusing Morrison of cosying up to the US President at the expense of Australia’s national interest – Aussie press
  • MYX.AU Signs 20-year license agreement for novel oral contraceptive
  • (AU) Australia sells A$1.2B v A$1.2B indicated in 1.50% June 2031 bonds, avg yield 1.0054% v 1.1779% prior, bid to cover 2.2x v 2.0x prior

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened -0.6%
  • (JP) Japan Chief Cabinet Sec Suga: North Korea ballistic missile may have landed in Japan EEZ off Shimane Prefecture and one outside of EEZ
  • (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) Q3 Tankan Company Survey of CPI Expectations: Maintains outlook from Q2
  • (JP) Japan PM Abe: Confirms North Korea launched 2 ballistic missiles on Wed (Oct 2nd); Strongly condemn North Korea missile launches, they breach UN resolution
  • (JP) Japan LDP official Amari: Japan to act quickly to address any sales tax hike fallout, will do best to not raise tax again
  • 7012.JP Issues 3-year targets: FY21 Targets: Op profit of at least ¥100B; at least 6% op margin and at least 10% pre-tax ROIC

Korea

  • Kospi opened -0.7%
  • (KR) South Korea Fin Min Hong: Will be difficult to achieve the 2019 GDP projections of 2.4-2.5% – speaking in Parliament
  • (KR) Chairmen of the Joint Chiefs of Staff of South Korea, the United States and Japan held a trilateral meeting in Washington today about South Korea decision to pull out of intelligence sharing agreement – Yonhap
  • (US) US and North Korea reportedly agreed to hold working level talks on Oct 5th – North Korean press
  • (KR) North Korea launched a missile – Japan and Korean Press
  • (KR) Follow Up: North Korea may have fired submarine based ballistic missiles – Yonhap

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened -0.7%; Shanghai Composite closed
  • (HK) Hong Kong protesters vow to step up action after police shot teenager in the chest yesterday – SCMP
  • (HK) Hong Kong Bar Association said to be experiencing cooling relations with China, with reports of a total breakdown in communication with mainland authorities – SCMP

Other Asia

  • (ID) Indonesia Central Bank (BI) Hendarsah: Will guard the stability of currency, will carry out bold intervention in bonds if outflows are seen

North America

  • (US) SEPT ISM MANUFACTURING: 47.8 V 50.0E; PRICES PAID: 49.7 V 50.5E (lowest since June 2009)
  • AMTD Announces $0 commissions for online stock, ETF, and option trades; expects impact to Rev of $220-240M/quarter
  • JNJ Reaches combined $10M Settlement Agreement with Two Ohio Counties Ahead of Upcoming Opioid Trial

Europe

  • (UK) PM Johnson plans to announce tomorrow a ‘two borders for four years’ Brexit idea – UK’s Telegraph
  • (UK) Fin Min Javid expected to delay budget release until after Oct 31 no deal Brexit deadline – FT
  • (IE) Ireland Min: UK Brexit proposal as reported is unacceptable
  • (RU) Russia Energy Min Novak: OPEC+ output cuts arent permanent, Russia will join in these cuts when necessary – Russian press

Levels as of 01:20ET

  • Hang Seng -0.1% ; Shanghai Composite closed; Kospi -1.5%; Nikkei225 -0.5%; ASX 200 -1.3%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.3%; Nasdaq100 +0.3%, Dax +0.1%; FTSE100 -0.4%
  • EUR 1.0942-1.0929; JPY 107.89-107.64 ; AUD 0.6719-0.6698; NZD 0.6255-0.6234
  • Commodity Futures: Gold -0.4% $1,482/oz; Crude Oil +1.3% at $54.33/brl; Copper +0.7% at $2.583/lb
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