General Trend:
- FT reports US and China have agreed to resume face-to-face trade talks
- Nikkei 225 outperforms on gains in in the trade sensitive transports sector , yen weakened on the China trade news
- Japanese healthcare company M3 rises over 11%, the company to be added to the Nikkei 225 index (as speculated)
- Nissan said to delay Yen-denominated bond sale as corporate governance concerns widen
- Shanghai rises above the 3,000 level in early trade; ZTE and Chinese telecom services firms gain on plan for US/China trade talks
- Financials also rise in Shanghai on easing speculation
- China listed Jinzi Ham raised all of its product prices by 10-30% amid the impact of the African swine fever on domestic pork prices.
- Hang Seng lags on today’s session; The index rose over 3.5% on Wednesday as Hong Kong’s Chief Lam announced the HK government would formally withdraw the extradition bill.
- Some are still waiting to see how the protesters in HK will respond to the move by Lam. Thus far, we have not seen any notable protest-related headlines on Thursday
- Philippines CPI moves below the central bank’s target (2-4%) for the first time since Feb
Headlines/Economic Data
Australia/New Zealand
- ASX 200 opened flat
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q2 VOLUME OF ALL BUILDINGS Q/Q: -1.5% V +1.3%E
- (AU) Australia July Trade Balance (A$): 7.3B v 7.0Be
- BHP.AU CEO: Remain more cautious amid trade tensions; would consider offers for thermal coal assets – investor webcast
- SIGMA.AU Reports H1 (A$) Net 2.5M v 13.4M y/y; Rev 1.88B v 1.96B y/y
- (AU) ANZ Economists now see Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cutting cash target rate by 75bps by May 2020 (prior 25bps)
Japan
- Nikkei 225 opened +0.7%
- (JP) Japan Aug Beer exports to South Korea $223K, -97% y/y; amid trade tensions – Japan press
- 7201.JP CEO admits misconduct regarding stock-related compensation; will return portion that was received wrongfully; auditors found the mistake and do not blame Saikawa – Japan Press
- 7201.JP To delay issuance of 4 straight bonds worth ÂĄ250B, first of which was scheduled for today
- 9064.JP To raise prices, cites expected sales tax increase in Japan in Oct
- 2413.JP To replace Tokyo Dome in Nikkei225, effective Oct 1
- (JP) Japan Investors Net Buying of Foreign Bonds: +ÂĄ1.5T v -ÂĄ910.3B prior week; Foreign Net Buying of Japan Stocks: -ÂĄ89.5B v +ÂĄ3.9B prior week
- JGB (JP) Japan MoF sells ÂĄ680B v ÂĄ700B indicated in 0.4% (prior 0.50%) coupon 30-year JGBs, avg yield: 0.1400% v 0.2920% prior, bid to cover 3.45x v 3.5x prior
Korea
- Kospi opened +0.3%
- (KR) South Korea considering dropping developing nation status at the WTO amid pressure from the US- Korea Press
- 005930.KR Samsung reportedly has begun using domestically produced hydrogen fluoride in chip production on a trial basis – Nikkei
China/Hong Kong
- Hang Seng opened flat; Shanghai Composite opened +0.5%
- (CN) CHINA COMMERCE MINISTRY: WILL HOLD TRADE TALKS WITH US IN EARLY OCT. IN WASHINGTON, DC; Mid-Sept talks to prepare for substantive talks in Oct
- (HK) HONG KONG CHIEF EXECUTIVE LAM CONFIRMS: TO FORMALLY WITHDRAW THE EXTRADITION BILL; hopes Govt measures could break the deadlock (as expected) – video release
- (CN) China Cabinet: Will implement broad and targeted cuts to RRR for banks in a “timely manner”; reiterates stance to continue prudent monetary policy and would fine-tune if needed at the appropriate time – Xinhua (overnight)
- (CN) There is continued speculation that PBOC may ease policy in Sept; China News reports analysts see ‘high’ probability of China RRR cut in Sept [follows recent statement from China’s Cabinet]
- (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO):Skips for 6th consecutive session; Net CNY0B drain v drain CNY60B prior
- (CN) China PBOC sets Yuan Reference Rate: 7.0852 v 7.0878 prior
- 002515.CN Announces raises all product prices by 10-30%, effective Sept 4th due to recent increase in pork prices and raw material costs
- 293.HK Appoints Patrick Healy as Chairman, effective November 6
- (CN) China Standing Committee to announce measures to accelerate issuance of special bonds for local governments to help maintain stable investment and expansion of domestic demand
- (CN) Provincial auditors in China said to have raised concerns about the local government debt maturities that are approaching – FT
Other Asia
- (PH) Philippines Aug CPI Y/Y: 1.7% v 1.8%e (1st reading below target since Feb, lowest level since July 2016)
North America
- (US) White House official confirms trade talks between China Liu and Mnuchin
- (US) Weekly API Oil Inventories: Crude: +0.4M v -11.1M prior
- (US) Pres Trump: not worried about the risk that China dumps US debt
- PANW Reports Q4 $1.47 v $1.42e, Rev $806M v $803Me; Guides initial FY20 $5.00-5.10 v $6.26, Rev $3.44-3.48B v $3.44Be
Europe
- (UK) Parliament rejects PM Johnson call for early elections; 298 voted in favor, 56 voted against (needed 434 lawmakers to vote in favor for early elections to move forward)
- (UK) House of Commons passes the Brexit delay law; vote 327-299; The law would extend the Brexit date to Jan 31, 2020 if no approved Brexit deal is in place by the current Oct 31 date
- (UK) All legislation required to halt no-deal Brexit will be completed by Friday 17:00 – UK Press
- (UK) Bank of England (BOE) Fixed Income Standards Chief Harvey resigns after investigation – FT
Levels as of 1:20 ET
- Nikkei 225, +2.4%, ASX 200 +1%, Hang Seng +0.4%; Shanghai Composite +1.7%; Kospi +1.2%
- Equity Futures: S&P500 +1%; Nasdaq100 +1.3%, Dax +0.9%; FTSE100 +0.6%
- EUR 1.1040-1.1026 ; JPY 106.75-106.32 ; AUD 0.6825-0.6793 ;NZD 0.6378-0.6354
- Gold -0.4% at $1,554/oz; Crude Oil +0.3% at $56.41/brl; Copper +0.5% at $2.608/lb