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Asian Indices Decline Ahead Of Fed Decision

General Trend:

  • Samsung Electronics declines over 3%, said visibility is ‘low’ on Japan’s trade measures
  • Hang Seng underperforms amid continued focus on the protests in HK; Decliners include financials and gaming firms.
  • Financials also weigh on the Shanghai Composite
  • Japanese securities brokers decline ahead of earnings from Daiwa and Nomura
  • Nintendo declines over 3% following earnings report and guidance
  • Apple rose over 4% in afterhours trading following earnings report
  • Australia Q2 CPI above ests on auto fuel prices, data remains below RBA’s target; Analysts continue to see additional easing by the RBA
  • Kiwi declines as business confidence worsened
  • China’s manufacturing PMI remained in contraction in July, services PMI below ests
  • North Korea’s short-range missile launches have little initial impact on FX markets
  • US Fed decision seen later today
  • BoJ expected to issue the Aug daily bond purchase schedule later today
  • US companies expected to report earnings during the NY morning include Johnson Controls, ADP, GE, Garmin, Humana, Moody’s, Spotify, Spirit Aerosystems, Stratasys, Molson Coors, Triumph Group

Headlines/Economic Data

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened -0.1%
  • (AU) AUSTRALIA Q2 CPI Q/Q: 0.6% V 0.5%E; Y/Y: 1.6% V 1.5%E
  • ABC.AU Cuts FY19 (A$) underlying Net 120-130M (prior -15% to -10% y/y); to record impairment of A$100M, will not declare interim dividend
  • (NZ) New Zealand July ANZ Business Confidence: -44.3 v -38.1 prior; Activity Outlook: 5.0 v 8.0 prior

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened -0.8%
  • (JP) Japan Chief Cabinet Sec Suga: Nothing has been decided on whether Japan will remove South Korea from White List, no schedule decided on removal from White List
  • (JP) Japan PM Abe: No impact on Japan’s security following North Korea missile launch

Korea

  • Kospi opened -0.1%
  • 005930.KR Reports Final Q2 (KRW) Net 5.1T v 11.0T y/y; Op 6.6T v 6.5T prelim; Rev 56.1T v 56.0T prelim
  • (KR) North Korea again fires multiple short range ballistic missiles this morning into the East Sea – Yonhap
  • 066570.KR Reports final Q2 (KRW) Net 106B v 326.5B y/y; Op 652B v 652.2B prelim; Rev 15.6T v 15.6T prelim (after the close)
  • (KR) US and North Korea officials met in DMZ last week, North Koreans expressed a willingness to resume working-level nuclear talks very soon – Yonhap
  • (KR) South Korea June Industrial Production M/M: 0.2% v 0.3%e ; Y/Y: -2.9% v -2.0%e
  • (KR) South Korea June Retail Sales M/M: -1.6% v +0.9% prior; Y/Y: 1.2% v 3.4% prior
  • (KR) South Korea Defense Min Jeong Kyeong-doo: North Korea is the enemy is they provoke and threaten S. Korea

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened -0.8%; Shanghai Composite opened -0.3%
  • (CN) Pres Trump: reiterates seeks a ‘great deal’ with China or no deal at all; trade talks are going well; Not sure I’ll accept China’s offer in talks; it’s up to me not China for a deal to be reached
  • (US) Pres Trump: I recently spoke to China Pres Xi; we will see what happens in China trade talks
  • (CN) CHINA JULY OFFICIAL MANUFACTURING PMI: 49.7 V 49.6E (3rd consecutive contraction or reading below 50, lowest level since Nov); Non-Manufacturing: PMI: 53.7 v 54.0e; Composite: 53.1 v 53.0 prior
  • (CN) China Politburo makes plan for H2 economic work; reviews economic condition at meeting; To deal with trade issues with effective measures – Xinhua
  • (CN) Trump administration is monitoring build up of China forces on the Hong Kong border
  • (CN) China said to increase scrutiny of shareholders of small banks, notes concerns about loans made by these banks to large investors – financial press
  • (CN) China PBOC sets yuan reference rate: 6.8841 v 6.8862 prior
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Skips for 7th consecutive session; Net CNY0B drained v CNY0B drained prior
  • (CN) US Team for trade talks with China includes Mnuchin, Lighthizer and 3 others; China’s side has Liu He and 5 others

Other Asia

  • (TW) Taiwan Defense Ministry: Request to buy new US fighters is progressing normally

North America

  • AAPL Reports Q3 $2.18 v $2.10e, Rev $53.8B v $53.3Be
  • (IR) US said to be preparing to reissue waivers related to Iran nuclear sanctions – Press

Europe

  • (UK) July GfK Consumer Confidence: -11 v -13e
  • (IE) Ireland Central Bank: Raises 2019 and 2020 GDP growth forecasts
  • (IR) US said to be preparing to reissue waivers related to Iran nuclear sanctions – Press
  • (UK) UK PM Johnson: Reiterates the UK under no circumstances will have checks on the Northern Irish and Irish border

Levels as of 1:20 ET

  • Nikkei 225, -0.7%, ASX 200 -0.4%, Hang Seng -1.1%; Shanghai Composite -0.6%; Kospi -0.3%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.2%; Nasdaq100 +0.4%, Dax +0.3%; FTSE100 flat
  • EUR 1.1160-1.1147 ; JPY 108.65-108.49 ; AUD 0.6891-0.6862 ;NZD 0.6620-0.6586
  • Gold flat at $1,429/oz; Crude Oil +0.7% at $58.46/brl; Copper +0.3% at $2.685/lb
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