General Trend:
- Japanese equities rise, electronics firms rise ahead of earnings from Nintendo and Sony
- Industrial Fanuc rises over 3%, raised outlook
- Tokyo Electron rises over 3%, South Korean companies said to rush orders for chip materials on concerns about additional export curbs by Japan (South Korean press)
- Australian equities hit record high ahead of upcoming CPI data; Interest rate sensitive sectors outperform (Utilities, Telecom)
- Hang Seng rises following declines on Monday; China Life and New China Life rise on financial guidance, tech shares rise ahead of US/China talks
- HK Property sector lags in the face of lingering protest concerns
- Texhong Textile declines over 3% in HK, said results to be hurt by US/China trade war
- Chinese equities rise in early trading as financials gain
- British pound adds to Monday’s losses, GBP/USD trades at lowest since March 2017; FT notes concerns about ‘no-deal’ Brexit
- Few surprises seen out of BoJ
- BoJ Gov Kuroda expected to hold post rate decision press conference at ~2:30 AM EST (6:30 GMT)
- US and China are due to hold trade talks in China on July 30-31 (Tuesday-Wed)
- Fed to hold policy meeting July 30-31 (Tues-Wed)
- Apple is due to report Q3 earnings after Tuesday’s NY close (July 30th)
- US companies expected to report earnings in the NY morning include Cummins, ConocoPhillips, Eaton, Corning, Huntsman, Ingersoll-Rand, Eli Lilly, MasterCard, Altria Group, Merck, Procter & Gamble, Ralph Lauren, Steve Madden, Sirius Xm, Under Armour, Xerox
Headlines/Economic Data
Australia/New Zealand
- ASX 200 opened +0.1%
- (AU) AUSTRALIA JUNE BUILDING APPROVALS M/M: -1.2% V 0.2%E; Y/Y: -25.6% V -24.3%E
- (NZ) New Zealand June Building Permits m/m: -3.9% v +13.5% prior
Japan
- Nikkei 225 opened +0.3%
- (JP) BOJ LEAVES INTEREST RATE ON EXCESS RESERVES (IOER) UNCHANGED AT -0.10%; AS EXPECTED; Won’t hesitate to ease if greater risk to price target rises
- (JP) JAPAN JUNE JOBLESS RATE: 2.3% V 2.4%E; Job-To-Applicant Ratio: 1.61 v 1.62e
- (JP) Japan June Preliminary Industrial Production M/M: -3.6% v -1.7%e; Y/Y: -4.1% v -2.0%e
- (JP) BOJ Quarterly Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices: Cuts some GDP and CPI outlooks
- (JP) More than 66% of listed Japan manufacturers have reported declines in quarterly profits so far this earnings season, the biggest decline since the global financial crisis – Nikkei
- (JP) Nikkei looks at impact of sales tax hike: Notes that Japan govt sees 2020 Real GDP at 1.2% while analysts see 0.5%; notes large discrepancy between Govt and outsider expectations of the economy and metrics after the hike
- 8604.JP Guides Q2 to record ¥73B one-time gain related to the sale of shares in Nomura Research Institute
- (JP) Japan Cabinet Office publishes its mid-year economic projections revises 2019 forecasts, Cuts FY19/20 Real GDP from 1.3% to 0.9%
Korea
- Kospi opened +0.3%
- (KR) South Korea Aug Business Manufacturing Survey: 71 v 75 prior; Non-Manufacturing Survey: 71 v 74 prior
- (KR) Sec of State Pompeo: there is ‘nothing in the works’ regarding third US-North Korea summit
- 005380.KR State Bank of India has stopped new lending to Hyundai dealers without collateral; wants security deposits from existing borrowers, according to a memo – press
- (KR) South Korea sells KRW1.45T v KRW1.45T indicated in 30-year bonds; avg yield 1.375% v 1.605% prior
China/Hong Kong
- Hang Seng opened -0.2%; Shanghai Composite opened +0.2%
- (HK) Hong Kong and Macau Affairs Office (HKMAO) under the China State Council comments on HK protesters: Watching situation closely; China central govt support suspension of extradition bill; China reiterates support for HK Chief Executive Lam; Reiterates stance to support one country, two systems in Hong Kong
- (CN) China’s Beijing Kunlun Tech restarting IPO of Grindr app after the US national security panel (CFIUS) has dropped opposition to the plan – Nikkei
- (CN) China PBOC sets yuan reference rate: 6.8862 v 6.8821 prior
- (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Skips for 6th consecutive session; Net CNY0B drained v CNY50B drained prior
- (CN) China National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC): China will support financial institutions to conduct market oriented debt for equity swaps on qualified private enterprises – Xinhua
Other
- (TW) Taiwan companies may repatriate NT$1.0T in investments – local press
North America
- (MX) Mexico Fin Min Herrera: Announces MXN485B fund for infrastructure and growth, all programs will have an immediate impact on 2019
- (MX) Mexico President Obrador: Want the central bank to not only focus on controlling inflation but also think about growth; Mexico has not accepted the ‘safe third country’ agreement – US financial press
- COF Announces Data Security Incident impacting 100M US customers and 6.0M in Canada on July 19th
Europe
- (UK) PM Johnson: Reiterates stance that is responsible to prepare for a no-deal Brexit outcome; Will come out on Oct 31st either with or without a deal
- (UK) PM Johnson said to refuse to meet EU leaders unless they scrap the backstop – financial press
Levels as of 1:20 ET
- Nikkei 225, +0.4%, ASX 200 +0.3%, Hang Seng +0.3%; Shanghai Composite +0.6%; Kospi +0.7%
- Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.1%; Nasdaq100 +0.2%, Dax +0.1%; FTSE100 +0.3%
- EUR 1.1149-1.1133 ; JPY 108.94-108.66 ; AUD 0.6909-0.6894 ;NZD 0.6635-0.6624
- Gold +0.2% at $1,423/oz; Crude Oil +0.5% at $57.17/brl; Copper +0.1% at $2.722/lb