HomeContributorsFundamental AnalysisCanadian Trade Balance Improves Les Than Expected

Canadian Trade Balance Improves Les Than Expected

‘A strong first indicator on March GDP suggests there could be some decent momentum heading into the second quarter.’ – Nick Exarhos, CIBC

Canada’s trade deficit narrowed less than expected last month, official figures revealed on Thursday. Statistics Canada reported that the country’s trade gap came in at C$0.1B in March, down from the prior month’s deficit of C$1.1B. However, the reading missed expectations for a C$0.3B trade surplus. Exports rose 3.8% to C$46.98B, as export volumes and prices climbed 2.5% and 1.3%, respectively. The trade balance report suggested that the economy finished the Q2 of 2017with solid growth. Energy exports contributed most to the March rise, posting a 7.0% gain. Imports rose 1.7% to C$47.11B amid higher inflows of metal and non-metallic products from Japan. In volume terms, imports fell 0.2%, while import prices jumped 1.9%. Higher imports pointed to improvement in business investment and inventories, contributors to GDP growth. In April, the Bank of Canada revised down its export growth forecast to 2.5% over the next three-month period, compared to a 3.0% growth estimate in January due to the high degree of uncertainty in the US and weak global investment.

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