HomeContributorsFundamental AnalysisMarkets Await BOJ Announcement Tomorrow

Markets Await BOJ Announcement Tomorrow

  • General Trend: Asian equity markets trade mostly lower, in line with Friday’s US session
  • Chinese equities move between gains and losses
  • Shares of Tencent hit lowest level since Dec, decline over 2% on session
  • Nasdaq Futures extend losses
  • BMW raised prices in China on tariff impact
  • Cautious trading for the Nikkei ahead of Tuesday’s BoJ decision and forecasts
  • BoJ acts again to slow rise in yields
  • PBOC skipped OMO for the 7th straight session, says month-end fiscal spending to support liquidity
  • PBoC set the yuan weaker: The Chinese currency faces increasing short-term depreciation risk (Chinese press)
  • There is renewed speculation that China might cut the RRR in H2 (Chinese Press)
  • Japanese companies which may today report earnings include Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Aozora Bank, Daiwa Securities, Mitsubishi Electric, Japan Exchange, Oriental Land, TDK, TEPCO, Shionogi and Capcom.
  • China official July PMI data due on Tuesday

Headlines/Economic Data

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened -0.4%
  • (JP) BOJ AGAIN CONDUCTS FIXED-RATE JGB PURCHASE OPERATION FOR an unlimited amount of 5-10-YR JGBs at 0.10% (3rd operation within the past week)
  • TOPIX Retail Trade index -0.7%, Information and Communications -0.6%, Real Estate -0.6%; Marine Transportation +0.8%
  • Japanese megabanks outperform ahead of earnings from Sumitomo Mitsui and BoJ policy decision
  • (JP) Japan Jun Retail Sales m/m: 1.5% v 1.5%e; Retail Trade y/y: 1.8% v 1.7%e
  • Inpex, 1605.JP Notes start of gas production at the Ichthys project, sees start of shipments towards the end of H1 FY18
  • JGB (JP) Japan 10-year JGB yield near 0.105%
  • Mitsubishi Electric, Reports Q1 Net ¥47.6B v ¥56.9B y/y; Op ¥61.6B v ¥75.5B y/y; Rev ¥1.05T v ¥1.03T y/y; Affirms guidance

Korea

  • Kospi opened -0.2%
  • E-Mart, 139480.KR New discount store seeing an avg of 10K customers per day; sales have easily exceeded initial target in 1st month of opening – Korean press
  • (KR) South Korea Industry Min Paik announces KRW1.5T investment over the next 10-yrs to maintain chip industry competitiveness – Korean press
  • (KR) South Korea Jun Department Store Sales y/y: 5.4% v 1.8% prior; Discount Store Sales y/y: +0.2% v -4.5% prior

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened -0.6%, Shanghai Composite -0.1%
  • Hang Seng Info Tech index -2.3%, Consumer Goods -1.6%, Services -0.9%, Energy -0.6%, Financials -0.5%
  • (CN) China Securities Journal Commentary: PBoC may lower the reserve ratio requirement (RRR) in Q3
  • (CN) China CNY currency (Yuan) faces increasing depreciation risk in the short-term – China Securities Journal
  • (CN) China targeted policy does not mean boost for property market – Chinese Press
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Skips OMO for the 7th consecutive session; Net drains CNY130B v drains CNY0B prior
  • (CN) China PBoC sets yuan reference rate at 6.8131 v 6.7942 prior
  • USD/CNY trades above 6.84 for the first time since late June 2017
  • (CN) China State Councillor Wang Yi: China and US should solve trade frictions in WTO framework; China remains open to dialogue

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened -0.0%
  • ASX 200 Resources index -0.8%, Financials -0.6%; Telecom +1%
  • (AU) Australia held special elections in 4 states to fill seats emptied by dual citizenship issues, results saw no changes and general election in 2018 less likely
  • RMS.AU Guides initial FY19 gold production 200-220K ozs at AISC of A$1,150-1,250/oz, Guides Q1 50-54K ozs at AISC A$1,250/oz
  • (AU) Moody’s: Smaller Australia banks raising home loan rates opening door for major banks to follow
  • Pacific Edge, [+23%], PEB.NZ Accepted NZ$2.6M investment offer from Manchester Management Company, to issue ~8.2M shares at NZ$0.32/share

North America

  • (US) US Supreme Court Justice Ginsburg has indicated she expects to remain on the court for 5 years or more – CNN
  • (US) President Trump said to have told aides he “hates wind power” – US press
  • (US) US Fed Researchers said to study metro-area data for clues on inflation during periods of low unemployment – US financial press
  • (US) Canada, EU, Japan, Mexico and South Korea to meet in Geneva next week to discuss their response to Trump’s threat to impose tariffs on foreign auto imports – press
  • CBS [CBS]: May create special committee of board to oversee investigation of accusations against CEO Les Mooves, board may discuss whether Moonves should ‘step aside’ pending a probe into the harassment allegations – US financial press

Europe

  • (IT) Italy Deputy Prime Minister (PM) Di Maio said a referendum on whether Italy should leave the euro is not in the governing contract and will not be pursued – financial press
  • BMW.DE To raise the prices of the X5 by 4% and X6 by 7% made in the US and sold in China in response to tariffs, effective July 30th – FT
  • (UK) Foreign Sec Hunt: China and UK agree to explore post-Brexit free trade deal – Comments alongside China Foreign Min Wang Yi

Levels as of 01:30ET

  • Hang Seng -0.8%; Shanghai Composite -0.3%; Kospi -0.2%; Nikkei225 -0.7%; ASX 200 -0.4%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 -0.3%; Nasdaq100 -0.5%, Dax -0.2%; FTSE100 -0.1%
  • EUR 1.1650-1.1665; JPY 110.90-111.16; AUD 0.7386-0.7406;NZD 0.6792-0.6804
  • Aug Gold -0.3% at $1,219/oz; Sept Crude Oil +0.3% at $68.89/brl; Sept Copper -0.7% at $2.78/lb
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