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China And US Said To Have Dialogue On Trade

General Trend:

  • Asian equities rise, Shanghai Composite trades higher by over 1%
  • Valuations of China A-shares are at historic lows, according to China’s official Xinhua
  • ZTE rises over 19%, US Commerce Dept signed escrow agreement with the company, allowing for ban on US suppliers to be lifted (press)
  • Fast Retailing gains over 1% ahead of earnings report, expected after today’s market close
  • Softbank rallies over 6%, Tiger Global said to acquire stake
  • Bank of Korea (BoK) left rates unchanged (as expected) and trimmed its 2018 GDP forecast, 1 member voted for rate hike
  • China PBoC fixed the yuan (CNY) weaker, yuan midpoint has largest 1-day pct decline since early 2017
  • Offshore Yuan (CNH) tracks gains in the equity market
  • USD/JPY extends gain after hitting 6-month high on Wed
  • AUD/USD rises after decline on yesterday’s session
  • China cut soybean imports forecast amid trade impact
  • China June trade balance tentatively scheduled for release on Friday’s session
  • Singapore prelim Q2 GDP due for release on Friday

Headlines/Economic Data

Japan

  • Nikkei 225 opened +0.5%
  • TOPIX Info & Communication index +2.3%, Marine Transportation -0.5%
  • Japanese automakers trade generally higher after USD/JPY hit 6-month high
  • (JP) Japan Investors Net Buying of Foreign Bonds: +¥817.9B v -¥293.4B prior: Foreign Net Buying of Japan Stocks: +¥74.3B v -¥299.8B prior (1st week of buying after 6 consecutive weeks of selling Japan equities)
  • Kobe Steel, 5406.JP Police officials expected to refer the co’s case by as soon as next week – Japanese Press
  • Softbank, 9984.JP Tiger Global acquires $1B stake, sees Softbank as under valued
  • (JP) Japan MoF sells ¥1.0T v ¥1.0T indicated in 0.5% (prior 0.50%) 20-yr bonds; avg yield 0.4920% v 0.5030% prior; bid to cover 4.54x v 4.23x prior

Korea

  • Kospi opened +0.2%
  • (KR) BANK OF KOREA (BOK) LEAVES RATES UNCHANGED AT 1.50% (AS EXPECTED)
  • (KR) Korea Blockchain Association approved the cybersecurity standards of 12 cryptocurrency exchanges in Korea, including Bithumb, Coinone, Korbit and Gopax
  • (KR) South Korea analysts see opportunity amid China/US trade war; the tariffs are expected to have a limited impact on Korea’s exports in the short term – Korean press

China/Hong Kong

  • Hang Seng opened -0.2%, Shanghai Composite -0.2%
  • Hang Seng Industrial Goods index +1.9%, Services +1.8%, Consumer Goods +1.7%, Property/Construction +1.4%, Financials +1.2%, Utilities +1.1%, Materials +1%, Info Tech +1%
  • (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO): Injects CNY30B in 7-day reverse repos v skips prior (1st injection after 5 consecutive skips): Net: CNY0B drain v CNY40B drain prior
  • (CN) China PBoC set yuan reference rate at 6.6726 v 6.6234 prior
  • (CN) China Vice President Wang Qishan met with Chicago mayor Rahm Emanuel, issues discussed included US/China ties – Xinhua
  • ZTE, 763.HK US Commerce Dept signs escrow agreement with ZTE, allowing for ban on US suppliers to be lifted – press
  • (CN) China banks expected to show increased lending in June, as crackdown on shadow banking flows over into more official channels – press
  • (CN) China Vice Min of Commerce Wang Shouwen: Needs to be a resolution to the conflict between USand China, via a new round of new bilateral negotiations
  • 1114.HK BMW said to raise stake in JV with Brilliance to at least 75% – German Press

Australia/New Zealand

  • ASX 200 opened flat
  • ASX 200 REIT index +1.6%, Financials +1.5%; Energy -1.1%, Resources -0.6%
  • Sonic Healthcare, [+5%], SHL.AU CEO Goldschmidt: in light of press speculation invited US medical regulators to inspect its main laboratory in Austin, Texas; inspection was completed with no significant issues found
  • LYC.AU CEO Lacaze: If there is a full-blown trade war, I can’t believe that the China wouldn’t use rare earths as part of that – US press
  • BHP.AU Says it has made new wage offer to workers at Escondida copper mine in Chile, offered salaries that are inflation adjusted
  • (AU) Australia Treasury Sec John Fraser to resign, to be replaced by Philip Gaetjens
  • (NZ) New Zealand June Food Prices m/m: 0.5% v 0.0% prior
  • (NZ) New Zealand sells NZ$250M in 3% 2029 bonds; avg yield 2.8597%

North America

  • US equity markets ended lower: Dow -0.9%, S&P500 -0.7%, Nasdaq -0.6%, Russell 2000 -0.7%
  • S&P500 Energy -2.1%, Materials -1.7%
  • (US) Fed’s Williams (moderate, voter): immigration is important to US growth and innovation
  • (US) White House Aide: US has held high level talks with China, open to further discussions
  • CA Broadcom confirms to acquire co. for $18.9B in cash or $44.50/share; Broadcom sees the deal as immediately accretive to non-GAAP EPS , closing expected in fourth calendar quarter of 2018

Europe

  • SKY.UK Comcast raises cash offer for Sky plc to £14.75/shr for £26B implied value (had offered £12.50/shr)
  • 21st Century Fox issues statement in response to increased offer for Sky by Comcast: notes announcement made by Comcast
  • CNP [CNP.FR]: Says CEO Lavenir has resigned, cites personal reasons
  • (UK) June RICS House Price Balance: +2% v -4%e

Levels as of 01:30ET

  • Hang Seng +0.9%; Shanghai Composite +2.3%; Kospi +0.6%; Nikkei225 +1.2%; ASX 200 +1.0%
  • Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.4%; Nasdaq100 +0.5%, Dax +0.4%; FTSE100 +0.4%
  • EUR 1.1670-1.1686; JPY 111.92-112.38; AUD 0.7360-0.7484;NZD 0.6748-0.6765
  • Aug Gold 0.0% at $1,244/oz; Aug Crude Oil +0.7% at $70.89/brl; Sept Copper +1.2% at $2.78/lb
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