Dollar Slips, Euro Bounces, Aussie Awaits CPI
Dollar is once again under pressure as markets head into the US session, with its recent rebound losing steam in the absence of any clear-cut catalyst. While new headlines on tariffs continue to emerge almost daily, these “leaks” could only be seen as reflective of ongoing deliberations within the...
Yen Steadies on Hawkish BoJ Tone, USD/JPY Rally Pauses at Key 150 Level
Financial markets entered Tuesday on a subdued note, with the Asian session notably quiet. While US stocks managed a rebound overnight on speculation that the April 2 “Liberation Day” tariff rollout might be narrower in scope than initially feared, sentiment failed to fully carry into Asia. Equity indices across...
Markets Driven by PMI Data and Tariff Speculations, Silver at Risk of Reversal
Market sentiment today is largely influenced by a mix of global PMI releases and ongoing uncertainty around US tariff policy. There are reports suggesting the Trump administration may exclude a set of sector-specific tariffs from the sweeping reciprocal levies set to begin on April 2. US futures are pointing...
Yen Softens on Weak Japan PMIs Disappoints, Markets Tread Water Elsewhere
Yen weakened broadly in a relatively quiet Asian session, dragged down by disappointing PMI data. The worrying sign is that both manufacturing and services sectors are now in contraction, pointing to growing signs of weakness in Japan’s economy. Despite expectations that BoJ will raise interest rates further this year,...
Global Trends Hit Pause, Consolidations to Follow Until Trump’s Liberation Day
The dominant trends that shaped Q1 in global markets appear to have run their course, with most major assets entering consolidation phase last week.
US stocks staged a mild recovery from steep selloff since mid-February, but upside momentum was notably weak. Meanwhile, Dollar, which had been under pressure throughout March,...
Loonie Softens on Retail Sales Miss, But BoC Inflation Focus Limits Losses
Canadian Dollar weakened modestly in early US session following disappointing retail sales data. January’s figures showed a larger-than-contraction, and more importantly, an advance estimate points to another drop in February. This suggests consumer spending might be in a weakening trend, raising fresh concerns about Canada’s economic momentum heading into...
Dollar Recovery Remains Fragile While Bitcoin Struggles for Traction
Dollar continues to grapple with reversing its recent bearish trend, but momentum behind the rebound remains tentative at best. The greenback has received modest support from Fed’s stance, with policymakers emphasizing there’s no urgency to resume rate cuts. This, combined with a general reassessment of earlier bearish bets, has...
Sterling Holds Firm After BoE, But Dollar and Yen Outperform
Sterling is trading slightly firmer today, though it struggles against the rebounding Dollar and Yen. BoE's rate decision leaned slightly more hawkish than expected, with only one member of the MPC, the known dove Swati Dhingra, voting for a rate cut. The rest supported keeping rates on hold. The...
Yen Rebounds on Risk-Off Mood in Asia, Focus Shifts to SNB and BoE
Asian markets are showing signs of mild risk-off sentiment today, with Hong Kong and China stocks retreating from recent gains. The weaker regional tone contributed to a stronger Yen. Additionally, Yen’s rebound is also fueled by post-FOMC Dollar softness. The technical picture suggests that the recent pullback in Yen...
Dollar Recovers as Markets Await Fed Projections, Gold Loses Some Momentum
Dollar is recovering across the board as markets enter the US session, though the move appears to be more caution-driven than a shift in sentiment. With FOMC rate decision looming, traders are taking a more neutral stance rather than doubling down on Dollar’s recent weakness. Fed is widely expected...
Dollar Stays Weak as Markets Await Fed Guidance, Yen Softens After BoJ Hold
Dollar remains under pressure as markets await FOMC rate decision and, more crucially, the updated economic projections. While the central bank is widely expected to hold rates steady at 4.25-4.50%, traders are looking for any signs that Fed officials are adjusting their outlook in response to mounting trade tensions....
Canadian Dollar Gains on Inflation Surprise, But Growth Risks Keep Traders Cautious
Canadian Dollar edged higher in early US session after much stronger-than-expected inflation data. However, Loonie quickly lost momentum, as investors remained cautious about Canada’s broader economic outlook, particularly in the face of rising trade tensions with the US.
While higher-than-expected inflation reduces the likelihood of another immediate rate cut, Canada’s...
Asian Markets Stay Firm, German Vote and Canadian Inflation in Focus
Risk appetite in Asian markets has been solid this week, support by optimism surrounding China's latest measures to boost domestic consumption. Hong Kong stocks continue to lead gains in the region. Meanwhile, in the forex markets, both New Zealand and Australian Dollars are holding firm, though the Aussie is...
Dollar Edges Lower Post-Retail Sales, But Cautious Traders Keep Selling Momentum Limited
Dollar edged lower in early U.S. trading following weaker-than-expected retail sales data. However, the downside pressure remained limited, as investors took comfort in the fact that February’s sales growth marked a return to expansion after contraction in January. The data helped ease fears of an extended downturn in consumer...
China Stimulus Fuels Asian Rally, But Market Caution Persists on US Outlook
Asian markets opened the week on a positive note, buoyed by stronger-than-expected economic data from China and optimism surrounding Beijing’s latest efforts to boost domestic consumption. Investors welcomed China’s “special action plan” aimed at stimulating household spending, which aligns with Premier Li Qiang’s government report last week that named...
Currency Markets Consolidate as Trader Start Repositioning for Tariff Battles in April
The past week in the currency markets was marked more by consolidation than decisive moves, even as risk aversion deepened in US stock markets. Dollar’s selloff slowed and turned into a modest recovery, but there was no clear momentum for bullish trend reversal. Sentiment remained fragile, weighed down by...
Euro Rallies as Germany Said to Reach Landmark Debt Deal to Boost Growth
Euro jumped notably higher following reports that Germany’s political leaders have reached a crucial agreement on the historic debt deal. According to sources close to the negotiations, Chancellor-in-waiting Friedrich Merz and the Greens have agreed on a massive increase in state borrowing, just days before a decisive parliamentary vote...
Equities Extend Losses on Tariff Fears, But Forex Markets Hold Steady in Consolidation
US stock markets suffered another brutal session overnight, with NASDAQ leading the decline, shedding nearly -2%. All three major indexes closed below their respective 55 W EMAs, reinforcing the bearish case that the markets are now in a medium-term correction phase. This technical breakdown suggests that downside momentum is...
Greenback Strengthens as Euro Pulls Back and US-EU Trade Tensions Escalate
Dollar is staging a notable rebound as markets transition into US session, though the exact catalyst behind the move is unclear. Part of Dollar’s strength could be attributed to a broad pullback in Euro, as traders begin to take profits after this month's strong gain. Euro’s retreat is providing...
Forex Steadies Despite Fresh Tariff Escalations, Euro Starting to Retreat
Forex markets are holding steady in Asian session today, with major currency pairs and crosses all confined within yesterday’s ranges. This lack of movement comes despite a significant escalation in the US-led trade war, as newly effective 25% tariffs on all imported steel and aluminum products have prompted swift...