Dollar Falls as Trump Considers Sector-Specific Tariffs Over Blanket Approach
Dollar weakened significantly, while stock futures rebounded, amid reports suggesting that the incoming Trump administration may scale back its plans for sweeping tariffs. According to The Washington Post, discussions among President-elect Donald Trump’s aides now lean toward imposing tariffs only on critical sectors tied to national or economic security,...
Yen Weakens Despite Risk-Off Sentiment,Jobs and Inflation Data to Drive Markets Ahead
Yen struggles today even as risk aversion set the tone across Asian markets. Nikkei extended its retreat after briefly breaching 40k psychological level last week, as the rally proved unsustainable for investors. Adding to Yen's woes, December PMI Services data highlighted only marginal growth, failing to provide a meaningful...
Dollar Starts Strong vs Europe, Sets Sights on Yen and Commodity Currencies Next
Dollar Index started the new year with a pronounced surge. Sterling, Euro, and Swiss Franc bore the brunt of this strength, reflecting the sluggish economic outlook in Europe and ongoing concerns about the impact of new US tariffs. Despite these gains, Dollar's performance against other currencies, including Yen and...
Manufacturing Stabilization Supports Dollar, European Struggle Continues
Dollar strengthened modestly following the latest ISM Manufacturing PMI, which indicated some stabilization in the US manufacturing sector toward the end of 2024. Despite the improvement, the sector continues to face challenges, with half of its industries still contracting.
The ISM report did little to shift expectations that Fed will...
Euro and Pound Struggle Amid Energy Price Shock and US Trade Threats
European currencies remain on the defensive as the new trading year unfolds, with Euro struggling near its lowest level against Dollar since 2022 and Sterling hovering close to a nine-month low. Dollar, while firm, is holding steady in narrow ranges against Yen and commodity-linked currencies, with traders awaiting fresh...
Sterling Leads European Losses as Economic Weakness and Trade Risks Mount
Sterling to leads declines among European currencies, with its selloff accelerating as US markets open. Downward revisions to December’s PMI manufacturing data reaffirm the grim economic outlook for both Eurozone and UK. While these revisions offered no new surprises, they underline the widespread challenges confronting major European economies. Weak...
Markets Poised for High-Stakes January Amid Fed and Trump Policy Shifts
As global markets return from the New Year holiday, trading remains subdued with light activity expected until next week when full operations resume. Today’s focus will be on Eurozone and UK PMI manufacturing finals alongside US jobless claims, while tomorrow’s US ISM Manufacturing Index could provide an early glimpse...
European Majors Dip in Holiday Calm, China’s PMIs Next
The forex markets remain subdued as traders maintain a cautious stance ahead of the New Year. European major are notably weaker, with Swiss Franc leading the declines. Euro is also under pressure, while Sterling has shown resilience, managing to avoid sharper losses.
Meanwhile, Yen has staged a modest recovery, supported...
Commodity Currencies Recover as Markets Eye China Data, NZD/USD Presses Key Fibonacci Level
Commodity currencies are starting the week with a modest recovery as Aussie, Kiwi, and Loonie attempt to pare steep losses from earlier in the month. Gains remain limited in the subdued holiday trading environment, but these currencies could see further upside if China’s NBS PMIs due tomorrow deliver an...
Euro Finds Mild Strength Amid German Bond Selloff, Aussie Dips on China Trade Concerns
Euro is having a modest rebound as markets enter the final US session of the holiday week, supported by a notable rise in Germany’s 10-year benchmark yield. Investors dumped German bonds after President Frank-Walter Steinmeier dissolved the lower house of parliament, paving the way for snap elections on February...
Yen Slides on BoJ Caution and Soft Inflation, Verbal Intervention Curbs Losses
Yen saw broad declines during Asian session, briefly falling below 158 against Dollar, but the selloff was quickly mitigated by verbal intervention, as least partially.
The decline was triggered by weaker-than-expected Tokyo inflation data. Stripping out energy and food prices, core-core inflation remained relatively stable, signaling limited urgency for BoJ...
Dollar Firm Despite Durable Order Miss, Aussie Awaits RBA Minutes
Dollar edged higher in subdued holiday trading, maintaining its recent strength but staying within a narrow range below last week’s highs against major currencies. Markets largely brushed aside the disappointing US durable goods orders data, as the series is known for its volatility. Moreover, traders are prioritizing labor market...
Dollar Holds Ground Amid Quiet Holiday Forex Markets
As markets wind down for the year-end holiday period, forex trading activity turns subdued, with limited momentum across major pairs. Dollar, while maintaining its position as the strongest currency of the month, is facing challenges in decisively breaking last month’s highs against European majors. However, the greenback still made...
Dollar to Pause for Consolidation After Failing to Break Euro Resistance Post-Fed
The financial markets were jolted by Fed’s hawkish rate cut last week, sending ripples across stocks, bonds, currencies, precious metals, and even cryptocurrencies. Fed’s indication of prolonged restrictive monetary policy fueled risk aversion, pushing Dollar to end the week as the strongest performer in the currency markets, supported by...
Dollar Pauses After PCE Miss, Markets Digest Fed Comments
Dollar's strong rally paused in early US trading after PCE inflation data came in below expectations, easing concerns that Fed might maintain higher rates for an extended period. Markets are also digesting remarks from Fed officials following the hawkish rate cut earlier in the week.
Most notably, Cleveland Fed President...
Yen Recovers Slightly on Japan’s Inflation and Verbal Intervention, But Dollar Remains Unstoppable
Yen, which has been one of the weakest currencies this week, showed a modest recovery during today’s Asian session. The rebound came on the back of stronger-than-expected inflation data and renewed verbal intervention from Japan’s Finance Ministry. November’s inflation figures revealed a sharp reacceleration, driven by significant increases in...
Sterling and Yen Underperform After BoE and BoJ
Both Sterling and Japanese yen are among the weakest-performing currencies today, following their respective central banks meetings. BoE left rates unchanged at 4.75%, but the surprise came from a dovish shift in the MPC, with three members voting for a cut. While BoE reiterated that a "gradual approach" to...
Market Chaos Unfolds Despite Widely Expected Fed Hawkish Cut
Fed’s hawkish rate cut overnight sparked an outsized market reaction, with DOW plunging over -1100 points and NASDAQ losing -3.5%. Fed’s messages didn't deviate from expectations leading to the meeting, indicating a slower easing path in 2025 with likely just two more rate cuts and a terminal rate near...
Markets Hold Steady with Fed’s Rate Cut and 2025 Outlook in Focus
The forex and stock markets are holding steady today, with limited volatility as traders anticipate FOMC rate decision and updated economic projections. A 25bps rate cut, reducing the target range to 4.25–4.50%, is virtually certain. However, the market’s focus lies on the tone and guidance Fed delivers. Critical questions...
Dollar Awaits Fed Clarity on Easing, Sterling Shrugs Strong Inflation Data
Dollar has strengthened against commodity currencies this week but remains range-bound against Euro and Pound, as markets await Fed’s rate decision to gauge the next move. While a 25bps rate cut is fully expected in with no chance of deviation, the focus is on how hawkish Fed's messaging will...