The financial markets remain in risk on mode today. Yen, Swiss Franc and Dollar continue to feel tremendous selling pressure. Meanwhile, commodity currencies are generally the strongest. Euro and Sterling are mixed for now as it's still unsure where Brexit uncertainty is heading to. The common currency's rally attempt...
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products (ex. SPR) stocks sank -4.95 mmb to 1299.1 mmb in the week ended August 30. Crude oil inventory declined -4.77 mmb to 422.98 mmb (consensus: -2.49 mmb). Inventories decreased in ALL 5...
Risk appetite is general strong today on rather positive news. Firstly, US and China both confirmed that trade negotiations are continuing and both teams are in preparing for a high-level face to face meeting in October. There is no specific date for the meeting yet. But with new tariffs...
Asian markets are generally lifted by confirmation that US-China trade talk is going to resume next month. Commodity currencies gain most as led by Australian Dollar. Swiss Franc and Yen are pressured in risk seeking environment naturally. But Sterling also turns softer on overnight condition. It's getting much more...
BOC left the policy rate unchanged at1.75%. Policymakers’ monetary policy stance was less dovish than previously anticipated. While showing more concerns about US-China trade war and downplaying GDP growth in the second quarter, the members described the current monetary policy as appropriate. They also appeared upbeat about the situation...
Yen drops broadly today, as stock markets rally on supposed easing tension in Hong Kong. After more than two months of continuing protests, Hong Kong leader Carrie Lam finally announced withdrawal of the controversial extradition bill today. HSI closed up 3.9% on rumors leading to the announcement while HK...
The Brexit drama continues. The bill that allows MPs to take over the parliamentary business on September 4 was passed with a 328-301 vote. This has paved the way for debate on whether MPs reject a “no-deal” Brexit. This motion proposes that PM Boris Johnson would have to seek...
Australian Dollar rebounds notably today as GDP data met market expectations while services data showed improvement. Though, upside is capped so far as RBA is still on track to another rate cut later in the year. Sterling is the second strongest after lawmakers cleared a hurdle to block no-deal...
Sterling and UK treasury are the major focuses today as all eyes are on Brexit again. UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson has indicated that he will call an election on October if the MP's bill to seize control of the Commons timetable to force Brexit delay is passed. The...
As expected, RBA left the cash rate unchanged at 1% in September. The accompany gin statement is largely unchanged from the previous one. RBA has not made any hints about a rate cut next month. Policymakers might want to take more time to observe after seeing positive signs from...
Sterling's selloff continues today as UK is entering into two crucial days regarding Brexit, and general election cold be called. Euro also follows as the second weakest on ECB easing expectations. On the other hand, Dollar is the strongest one as markets are awaiting more news on US-China trade...
Sterling drops sharply today as after poor manufacturing data. Also, political and Brexit uncertainties remain in UK. There are "very strong" rumors that a general election could be called this week that could take place before Brexit date of October 31. Australian Dollar follows as the second weakest for...
Dollar and Yen firm up mildly in Asian session as markets started the month mixed. New round of US-China tariffs took effect over the weekend but market reactions are muted so far. Australian Dollar softens mildly, followed by Swiss Franc and then Sterling. But overall, major forex pairs and...
Although the market generally expects RBA to leave the cash rate unchanged at 1% this week, the chance of a surprise cut is not negligible. Despite mild pickup in confidence after the back-to back rate cuts in June and July, risks to economic outlook remains to the downside. Policymakers...
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended August 27, NET LENGTH in USD Index added +398 contracts to 29 897. Speculative long positions dropped -961 contracts while short positions fell -1 359 contracts during the week. Traders trimmed bets on the greenback. Concerning...
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended August 20, NET LENGTH for crude oil futures slumped -22 985 contracts to 391 650 for the week. Speculative long positions declined -15 504 contracts and shorts gained +7 481 contracts. As we mentioned in our previous...
Dollar ended as the strongest major currency last week, largely thanks to late buying before weekly close. It remains to be proved whether that was due to month end flows. But somewhat receding risk of US-China decoupling and expectations of aggressive Fed cut could have provided some help too....
Markets turned a bit mixed as month end approaches. European stocks are generally higher while DOW up over 100pts at open. Meanwhile, treasury yields are steady tough, with German 10-year yield slightly lower, but US 10-year yield is recovering. In the currency markets, Canadian Dollar is notably stronger after...
japan's inflation has stayed very weak. Despite hopes that the upcoming increase in consumption tax could boost the general price levels, the impact this time is likely limited.
Tokyo CPI signals that Japan’s inflation outlook remains dismal.Although consumption tax hike in October might boost inflation, the impact is expected to...
Asian markets opened higher earlier today following the strong close in US markets. China appeared to be backing down on further tariff retaliation, and there's hope for continuation in US-China trade negotiation. But sentiments turned sour quickly on escalating tensions in Hong Kong.
Two prominent activists in HK are arrested...