Dollar Firm after 10-yr Yield Breached 1.3, But Near Term Resistance Still Intact
The strong rally in US treasury yield overnight pushed Dollar notably higher. The greenback is indeed the second strongest one for the week, just next to Sterling. Canadian Dollar is following closely with support by resilience in oil prices. ON the other hand, overall risk-on sentiment is keeping Yen...
Dollar Strikes Back on Surging Yields, Gold Tumbles
Dollar is striking back today with some help from surging US yields. At the time of writing, 10-year yield is trading above 1.25 handle. Additionally, much stronger than expected manufacturing is support the greenback too. While European stocks are treading water, US futures point to higher open. Yen is...
Awaiting Overdue Rebound in USDCNY
Strengthening against US dollar for 8 consecutive months, Renminbi (Chinese yuan) has accumulated gains of about 10% since June 2020. We believe the rally is overextended as China's economic recovery has shown signs of losing steam while yield differential between US and China has narrowed over the past few...
Euro Weak With Dollar in as Stock Surge Further, Looks into German ZEW
Overall developments in the markets are unchanged as strong risk-on sentiments continue. Yen is currently the worst performer by a mile. Dollar, Euro and Swiss Franc are following behind. Sterling continue to stay strong together with commodity currencies. A focus today is on whether Germany ZEW economic sentiment and...
Sterling Surges as Johnson Promises Lockdown Exit Roadmap, Strong Risk-On Sentiment Continues
Strong risk-on sentiments continue today even though US and China are on holiday. Dollar and Yen are both suffering heavy selling pressure, more so the latter. Sterling is leading the way up as Prime Minister Boris Johnson promised to detail his roadmap for lockdown exit on February 22. Canadian...
Yen Accelerates Downward as Strong GDP Lifts Nikkei Above 30k
Yen and Dollar are under selling pressure today on strong risk-on markets. Nikkei closed above 30k handle for the first time in 30 years, as lifted by stronger than expected GDP data. Swiss Franc is following closely as third weakest. Sterling, is currently the best performer, on optimism of...
Dollar Tumbled on Risk-On Sentiments Again, Ignored Yield Strength
Dollar ended as the worst performing one, reversing much of prior week's rebound. Risk-on sentiments appeared to be leading the greenback lower again, and boosted Australian Dollar as the strongest one. But the development in other major currencies were less clear.
The strength in stocks and oil were not much...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – GBP Rallied for 5th Consecutive Week While Trading in USD Future Light
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended February 9, NET SHORT of USD Index futures dropped -955 contracts to 13 875. Trading in the futures was light with speculative long and short positions down -41 contracts and -996 contracts, respectively. Concerning European currencies,...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Platinum Catches Up with Precious Metals’ Rally
Crude oil price strengthened for the second consecutive week but the gain was last than the prior week. We expect to see more profit-taking in the coming weeks. Concerning the precious metal complex, silver retreated after rallying to the 8-year high in the prior week. The rally in precious...
Sterling Supported by GDP, Bitcoin Hits Record
Sterling appears to be one of the stronger after data showed larger than expected GDP growth in December and Q4. But for now. Mean while Dollar and Euro are following as the next better performer. The greenback attempted for a recovery earlier today. But apparently, there is now follow...
Dollar Decline Slowed Again in Quiet Trading, UK in Focus
Dollar's selloff slowed further in a very quiet Asian session, on lunar new year holiday. Activity might come back with a number of economic data featured from the UK. Upside surprises there could add to the upbeat outlook as painted by BoE chief economist. As for the week, the...
Dollar Selling Resumes after Jobless Claims, Yen Crosses Rising
Dollar is back in selloff mode in early US session after slightly worse than expected jobless claims numbers. Though, at the time of writing, Yen underperforms mildly. On the other hand, buying focus is back on commodity currencies today. Australian Dollar is leading others higher. European majors are generally...
Dollar Decline Slows But No Bottoming, Euro Softens
The forex markets are rather quite in Asia today, following subdued trading elsewhere. Dollar's decline is slowing but it remains the worst performing major currency so far, followed by commodity currencies. Sterling and Yen are the stronger ones this week, as both are supported by rallies in respective treasury...
Oil Price Retreated as Gasoline Inventory Jumped Unexpectedly
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products (ex. SPR) stocks slumped -11.17 mmb to 1313.63 mmb in the week ended February 5. Crude oil inventory sank -6.65 mmb (consensus: +0.99 mmb) to 469.01 mmb. Stockpile decreased in 4 out...
Dollar’s Fall Continues as Core CPI Slows, Sterling Rises With UK Yields
Dollar's selloff continues in early US session and it's extending after weaker than expected core CPI reading. Sterling is lifted by strength in UK yield today, with 10-year Gilt yield hitting as high as 0.494 so far. It could try to take on a pre-pandemic floor of around 0.50%....
Dollar Selloff Continues as Risk Sentiment Stabilizes, More Downside Likely
Dollar stays broadly weak in Asian session today even though general sentiments stabilizes. Risk-seeking trading is taking a breather somewhat after US stocks hit new intraday higher overnight. Euro is currently the stronger one for today, followed by Sterling. But Swiss Franc and Yen are currently the best performing...
Silver is Preferred to Gold as Global Economy Recovers and Green Energy Gains Attention
While silver’s retreat from the 8-year high suggests that the media-inspired short squeeze has failed and further correction is likely, the metal should benefit from the global economic recovery and the new US fiscal stimulus package in the longer-term. Although both are in the precious metal category, silver will...
Dollar Stays Weak but Buying Turns to Swiss Franc and Yen
Dollar stays generally weak entering into US session. But as risk appetite cools slightly, buying focus is turning to Swiss Franc and Yen. Euro is currently following the two as the next strongest. Canadian Dollar is following Dollar as second weakest, then Aussie and Kiwi.
Technically, focuses will be on...
Dollar Selling Takes Off as US Stocks Hit Records
Dollar's selloff finally took off overnight as US stocks were boosted further to new record highs on reflation trade and vaccine optimism. Selling is really broad based this time, as the greenback tumbled even against Yen and Swiss Franc. For now, New Zealand and Australian Dollars are the strongest...
Sterling Retreats, Dollar Looks into Strong US Stocks and Yields
Dollar and Yen are both recapturing some ground as risk appetite cools slightly in European session. Still, US stocks futures point to more record runs today while yields are firm. We'll see if the greenback to ride on the trend to resume near term rebound. Canadian Dollar is currently...