USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 104.29; (P) 104.78; (R1) 105.05; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral and focus remains on on 104.39 resistance turned support. Decisive break there will indicate that rebound from 102.58 has completed at 105.76. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 103.31 support first. Though, rebound from current level, followed by break of 105.76 will target 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016), and there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Though, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 105.90) will be the first sign of reversal and turn focus to channel resistance (now at 110.31).

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 104.29; (P) 104.78; (R1) 105.05; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral with focus on 104.39 resistance turned support. Decisive break there will indicate that rebound from 102.58 has completed at 105.76. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 103.31 support first. Though, rebound from current level, followed by break of 105.76 will target 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016), and there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Though, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 105.90) will be the first sign of reversal and turn focus to channel resistance (now at 110.31).

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 105.02; (P) 105.35; (R1) 105.54; More..

USD/JPY is holding above 104.39 resistance turned support and intraday bias remains neutral first. Another rise is still in favor. On the upside, break of 105.76 will resume the rebound from 102.58, for 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06. However, decisive break of 104.39 will indicate that the rebound has completed, and bring retest of 102.58 low.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016), and there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Though, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 105.90) will be the first sign of reversal and turn focus to channel resistance (now at 110.31).

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 105.02; (P) 105.35; (R1) 105.54; More..

USD/JPY’s pull back from 105.67 extends lower today but outlook is unchanged. We’d expect down side to be contained above 104.39 resistance turned support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 105.76 will resume the rebound from 102.58, for 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06. However, decisive break of 104.39 will indicate that the rebound has completed, and bring retest of 102.58 low.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016), and there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Though, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 105.90) will be the first sign of reversal and turn focus to channel resistance (now at 1110.31).

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 105.23; (P) 105.50; (R1) 105.66; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral for consolidation below 105.76 temporary top. In case of deeper retreat, downside should be contained above 104.39 resistance turned support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 105.76 will resume the rebound from 102.58, for 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016), and there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Though, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 105.90) will be the first sign of reversal and turn focus to channel resistance (now at 1110.31).

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 105.23; (P) 105.50; (R1) 105.66; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for some consolidations first. Downside of retreat should be contained above 104.39 resistance turned support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 105.76 will resume the rebound from 102.58, for 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016), and there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Though, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 105.90) will be the first sign of reversal and turn focus to channel resistance (now at 1110.31).

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY’s rise accelerated to as high as 105.76 last week but formed a temporary top there. Initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. Further rally is expected as long as 104.39 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, break of 105.76 will resume the rebound from 102.58, for 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016), and there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Though, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 105.90) will be the first sign of reversal and turn focus to channel resistance (now at 1110.31).

In the long term picture, the rise from 75.56 (2011 low) long term bottom to 125.85 (2015 high) is viewed as an impulsive move, no change in this view. Price actions from 125.85 are seen as a corrective pattern which could still extend. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77. Up trend from 75.56 is expected to resume at a later stage for above 135.20/147.68 resistance zone.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 105.16; (P) 105.37; (R1) 105.75; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Rise from 102.58 is at least correcting the down trend from 111.71. Further rally should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06. On the downside, break of 104.96 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first, and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016), and there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Though, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 105.97) will be the first sign of reversal and turn focus to channel resistance (now at 110.31).

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 105.16; (P) 105.37; (R1) 105.75; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Rise from 102.58 is at least correcting the down trend from 111.71. Further rally should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06. On the downside, break of 104.96 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first, and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016), and there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Though, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 105.97) will be the first sign of reversal and turn focus to channel resistance (now at 110.31).

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 104.93; (P) 105.02; (R1) 105.12; More..

USD/JPY’s rally continues today and reaches as high as 105.37 so far. Current rise from 102.58 short term bottom is at least correcting the down trend from 111.71. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06. On the downside, break of 104.96 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first, and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016), and there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Though, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 105.97) will be the first sign of reversal and turn focus to channel resistance (now at 110.31).

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 104.93; (P) 105.02; (R1) 105.12; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Current rise from 102.58 short term bottom is at least correcting the down trend from 111.71. Further rally should target 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06. On the downside, break of 104.82 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first, and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016), and there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Though, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 105.97) will be the first sign of reversal and turn focus to channel resistance (now at 110.31).

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 104.82; (P) 105.00; (R1) 105.16; More..

With 104.59 minor support intact, intraday bias in USD/JPY remains mildly on the upside, Current rise from 102.58 short term bottom is at least correcting the down trend from 111.71. Further rally should target 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06. On the downside, break of 104.59 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first, and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016), and there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Though, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 105.97) will be the first sign of reversal and turn focus to channel resistance (now at 110.31).

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 104.82; (P) 105.00; (R1) 105.16; More..

USD/JPY is losing some upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But intraday bias stays on the upside with 104.59 minor support intact. Current rise from 102.58 short term bottom is at least correcting the down trend from 111.71. Further rally should target 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06. On the downside, break of 104.59 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first, and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016), and there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Though, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 105.97) will be the first sign of reversal and turn focus to channel resistance (now at 110.31).

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 104.69; (P) 104.87; (R1) 105.12; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Current rise from 102.58 short term bottom is at least correcting the down trend from 111.71. Further rally should target 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06. On the downside, break of 104.59 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first, and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016), and there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Though, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 105.97) will be the first sign of reversal and turn focus to channel resistance (now at 110.31).

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 104.69; (P) 104.87; (R1) 105.12; More..

USD/JPY’s rebound from 102.58 short term bottom is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside. Such rebound should at least be correcting the down trend from 111.71. Further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06. On the downside, break of 104.59 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first, and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016), and there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Though, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 105.97) will be the first sign of reversal and turn focus to channel resistance (now at 110.31).

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 104.33; (P) 104.63; (R1) 105.04; More..

USD/JPY’s rise from 102.58 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Such rebound should should at least be correcting the down trend from 111.71. Further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06. On the downside, break of 104.16 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016), and there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Though, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 105.97) will be the first sign of reversal and turn focus to channel resistance (now at 110.31).

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 104.33; (P) 104.63; (R1) 105.04; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Rebound from 102.58 should at least be correcting the down trend from 111.71. Further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06. On the downside, break of 104.16 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016), and there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Though, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 105.97) will be the first sign of reversal and turn focus to channel resistance (now at 110.31).

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY surged to as high as 104.93 last week, breaking both falling channel resistance and 55 day EMA decisively. The development argues that down trend from 111.71 has completed at 102.58, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Initial bias remains on the upside this week for 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06. On the downside, break of 104.16 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016), and there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. Though, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 105.97) will be the first sign of reversal and turn focus to channel resistance (now at 1110.31).

In the long term picture, the rise from 75.56 (2011 low) long term bottom to 125.85 (2015 high) is viewed as an impulsive move, no change in this view. Price actions from 125.85 are seen as a corrective pattern which could still extend. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77. Up trend from 75.56 is expected to resume at a later stage for above 135.20/147.68 resistance zone.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 104.06; (P) 104.26; (R1) 104.45; More..

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Current development argues that whole down trend from 111.71 has completed, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rally would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06. On the downside, break of 104.16 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Hence, there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. The down trend could still extend through 101.18 low. On the upside, break of 105.67 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 104.06; (P) 104.26; (R1) 104.45; More..

USD/JPY’s break of 104.39 resistance suggests resumption rise from 102.58 short term bottom. More importantly, current development argues that whole down trend from 111.71 has completed, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 38.2% retracement of 111.71 to 102.58 at 106.06. On the downside, however, break of 103.92 minor support will dampen this bullish view and turn bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, USD/JPY is still staying in long term falling channel that started back in 118.65 (Dec. 2016). Hence, there is no clear indication of trend reversal yet. The down trend could still extend through 101.18 low. On the upside, break of 105.67 resistance is needed to be the first signal of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.