USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.01; (P) 138.71; (R1) 139.41; More…

USD/JPY is extending the consolidation from 137.22 and intraday bias stays neutral. Upside of recovery should be limited by 55 4H EMA (now at 140.06) and bring another decline. Break of 137.22 and sustained trading below 137.90 resistance turned support will confirm the larger bearish case, and target 127.20 and below.

In the bigger picture, fall from 145.06 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Sustained break of 137.90 resistance turned support should confirm this case and target 127.20 (2023 low) and below. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 145.06 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.01; (P) 138.71; (R1) 139.41; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 137.22 is extending. Upside of recovery should be limited by 55 4H EMA (now at 140.18) and bring another decline. Break of 137.22 and sustained trading below 137.90 resistance turned support will confirm the larger bearish case, and target 127.20 and below.

In the bigger picture, fall from 145.06 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Sustained break of 137.90 resistance turned support should confirm this case and target 127.20 (2023 low) and below. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 145.06 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.63; (P) 138.40; (R1) 139.55; More…

USD/JPY’s consolidation from 137.22 is extending and intraday bias remains neutral. Upside of recovery should be limited by 55 4H EMA (now at 140.45) and bring another decline. Break of 137.22 and sustained trading below 137.90 resistance turned support will confirm the larger bearish case, and target 127.20 and below.

In the bigger picture, fall from 145.06 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Sustained break of 137.90 resistance turned support should confirm this case and target 127.20 (2023 low) and below. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 145.06 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.63; (P) 138.40; (R1) 139.55; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral for consolidation above 137.22. Upside of recovery should be limited by 55 4H EMA (now at 140.56) and bring another decline. Break of 137.22 and sustained trading below 137.90 resistance turned support will confirm the larger bearish case, and target 127.20 and below.

In the bigger picture, fall from 145.06 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Sustained break of 137.90 resistance turned support should confirm this case and target 127.20 (2023 low) and below. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 145.06 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY’s fall from 145.06 extended to as low as 137.22 last week, but recovered after breaching 137.90 resistance turned support briefly. Initial bias is turned neutral for consolidations first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 55 4H EMA (now at 140.80) and bring another decline. Sustained break of 137.90 will confirm the larger bearish case, and target 127.20 and below.

In the bigger picture, fall from 145.06 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Sustained break of 137.90 resistance turned support should confirm this case and target 127.20 (2023 low) and below. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 145.06 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, price action from 151.93 is seen as developing into a corrective pattern to up trend from 75.56 (2011 low). While deeper decline cannot be ruled out, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 75.56 to 151.93 at 122.75.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.86; (P) 140.66; (R1) 141.16; More…

Intraday bias in is turned neutral for the moment, as USD/JPY lost momentum after briefly breaching 137.90 resistance turned support. Some consolidations could be seen, but recovery should be limited by 55 4H EMA (now at 141.03) and bring another decline. Sustained break of 137.90 will confirm the larger bearish case, and target 127.20 and below.

In the bigger picture, current downside acceleration, as seen in daily MACD, argues that fall from 145.06 is already the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Sustained break of 137.90 resistance turned support should confirm this case and target 127.20 (2023 low) and below. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 145.06 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.86; (P) 140.66; (R1) 141.16; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays on the downside with focus on 137.90 resistance turned support. Decisive break there will confirm the larger bearish case, and target 127.20 and below. On the upside, above 139.74 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, current downside acceleration, as seen in daily MACD, argues that fall from 145.06 is already the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Sustained break of 137.90 resistance turned support should confirm this case and target 127.20 (2023 low) and below. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 145.06 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.86; (P) 140.66; (R1) 141.16; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside for the moment as fall from 145.06 is in progress. Decisive break of 137.90 resistance turned support will confirm the larger bearish case, and target 127.20 and below. On the upside, above 139.74 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, current downside acceleration, as seen in daily MACD, argues that fall from 145.06 is already the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Sustained break of 137.90 resistance turned support should confirm this case and target 127.20 (2023 low) and below. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 145.06 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.86; (P) 140.66; (R1) 141.16; More…

USD/JPY reaches as low as 138.75 so far today as fall from 145.06 continues today. Next target is 137.90 resistance turned support. Decisive break there will confirm the larger bearish case. On the upside, above 142.06 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, current downside acceleration, as seen in daily MACD, argues that fall from 145.06 is already the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Sustained break of 137.90 resistance turned support should confirm this case and target 127.20 (2023 low) and below. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 145.06 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.86; (P) 140.66; (R1) 141.16; More…

USD/JPY’s fall from 145.06 is in progress today and intraday bias stays on the downside for 137.90 resistance turned support. Decisive break there will confirm the larger bearish case. On the upside, above 142.06 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, current downside acceleration, as seen in daily MACD, argues that fall from 145.06 is already the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Sustained break of 137.90 resistance turned support should confirm this case and target 127.20 (2023 low) and below. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 145.06 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.74; (P) 141.87; (R1) 142.47; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside as fall from 145.06 is in progress for 137.90 resistance turned support. Decisive break there will confirm the larger bearish case. On the upside, above 142.06 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, current downside acceleration, as seen in daily MACD, argues that fall from 145.06 is already the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Sustained break of 137.90 resistance turned support should confirm this case and target 127.20 (2023 low) and below. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 145.06 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.74; (P) 141.87; (R1) 142.47; More…

USD/JPY’s fall from 145.06 continues today and and breaches 140.90 resistance turned support. There is no clear sign of bottoming yet, and intraday bias stays on the downside for 137.90 next. On the upside, above 142.06 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, current downside acceleration, as seen in daily MACD, argues that fall from 145.06 is already the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Sustained break of 137.90 resistance turned support should confirm this case and target 127.20 (2023 low) and below. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 145.06 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.42; (P) 142.81; (R1) 143.54; More…

USD/JPY’s decline from 145.06 temporary top continues today and intraday bias stays on the downside for 140.90 resistance turned support. Firm break there will raise the chance that whole rebound from 127.20 has completed. Deeper decline should then be seen to 137.90 resistance turned support for confirmation. On the upside, above 142.99 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 127.20 is seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 high. Further rally could still be seen as long as 137.90 resistance turned support holds, to retest 151.93. But strong resistance should be seen there to limit upside. However, Break of 137.90 will indicate that the third leg has started back towards 127.20.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.42; (P) 142.81; (R1) 143.54; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 145.06 short term top should target 140.90 resistance turned support. Firm break there will raise the chance that whole rebound from 127.20 has completed. Deeper decline should then be seen to 137.90 resistance turned support for confirmation. On the upside, above 143.54 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 145.06 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 127.20 is seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 high. Further rally could still be seen as long as 137.90 resistance turned support holds, to retest 151.93. But strong resistance should be seen there to limit upside. However, Break of 137.90 will indicate that the third leg has started back towards 127.20.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY’s steep decline last week confirmed short term topping at 145.06, in bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD. Initial bias is now on the downside this week for 140.90 resistance turned support. Firm break there will raise the chance that whole rebound from 127.20 has completed. Deeper decline should then be seen to 137.90 resistance turned support for confirmation. On the upside, above 143.54 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 145.06 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 127.20 is seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 high. Further rally could still be seen as long as 137.90 resistance turned support holds, to retest 151.93. But strong resistance should be seen there to limit upside. However, Break of 137.90 will indicate that the third leg has started back towards 127.20.

In the long term picture, price action from 151.93 is seen as developing into a corrective pattern to up trend from 75.56 (2011 low). While deeper decline cannot be ruled out, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 75.56 to 151.93 at 122.75.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.53; (P) 144.10; (R1) 144.63; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is back on the downside with break of 143.54 temporary low. Deeper decline would be seen as corrective fall from 145.06 extends. But still, overall outlook remains bullish with 140.90 resistance turned support intact. Break of 145.06 will resume larger rise to 161.8% projection of 127.20 to 137.90 from 129.62 at 146.93.

In the bigger picture, rise from 127.20 is currently seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 high. Further rally is expected as long as 138.75 support holds, to retest 151.93. But strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside. Break of 138.75 will indicate the the third leg has started back towards 127.20.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.53; (P) 144.10; (R1) 144.63; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral at this point. Correction from 145.06 is in progress and break of 143.54 will turn bias to the downside for deeper fall. Still, overall outlook remains bullish with 140.90 resistance turned support intact. Break of 145.06 will resume larger rise to 161.8% projection of 127.20 to 137.90 from 129.62 at 146.93.

In the bigger picture, rise from 127.20 is currently seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 high. Further rally is expected as long as 138.75 support holds, to retest 151.93. But strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside. Break of 138.75 will indicate the the third leg has started back towards 127.20.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.26; (P) 144.49; (R1) 144.91; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral again as it recovered quickly after dipping to 143.54. Overall outlook remains bullish with 140.90 resistance turned support intact. Break of 145.06 will resume larger rise to 161.8% projection of 127.20 to 137.90 from 129.62 at 146.93. On the downside, break of 143.54 will turn bias to the downside for deeper correction.

In the bigger picture, rise from 127.20 is currently seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 high. Further rally is expected as long as 138.75 support holds, to retest 151.93. But strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside. Break of 138.75 will indicate the the third leg has started back towards 127.20.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.26; (P) 144.49; (R1) 144.91; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is now on the downside with break of 55 4H EMA (now at 143.90). Correction from 145.06 is extending lower, but near term outlook will remain mildly bullish as long as 140.90 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, break of 145.06 will resume larger rise to 161.8% projection of 127.20 to 137.90 from 129.62 at 146.93.

In the bigger picture, rise from 127.20 is currently seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 high. Further rally is expected as long as 138.75 support holds, to retest 151.93. But strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside. Break of 138.75 will indicate the the third leg has started back towards 127.20.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.22; (P) 144.47; (R1) 144.72; More…

Range trading continues in USD/JPY and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, break of 55 4H EMA (now at 143.85) could trigger deeper correction. But further rally will remain in favor as long as 140.90 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, break of 145.06 will resume larger rise to 161.8% projection of 127.20 to 137.90 from 129.62 at 146.93.

In the bigger picture, rise from 127.20 is currently seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 high. Further rally is expected as long as 138.75 support holds, to retest 151.93. But strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside. Break of 138.75 will indicate the the third leg has started back towards 127.20.