USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.69; (P) 111.09; (R1) 111.49; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Correction from 114.73 could have completed with three waves down to 110.18, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 107.31 to 114.73 at 110.14. Above 111.47 will target 113.38 resistance first. Break of 113.38 should confirm this bullish case. However, below 110.18 will extend the correction lower. But we’d again look for bottoming signal in next fall.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that correction from 118.65 is completed at 107.31. And medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is going to resume soon. Sustained break of 114.73 should affirm our view and send USD/JPY through 118.65. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this view and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.69; (P) 111.09; (R1) 111.49; More…

USD/JPY failed to take out 4 hour 55 EMA and retreated. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Correction from 114.73 could have completed with three waves down to 110.18, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 107.31 to 114.73 at 110.14. Above 111.47 will target 113.38 resistance first. Break of 113.38 should confirm this bullish case. However, below 110.18 will extend the correction lower. But we’d again look for bottoming signal in next fall.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that correction from 118.65 is completed at 107.31. And medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is going to resume soon. Sustained break of 114.73 should affirm our view and send USD/JPY through 118.65. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this view and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.55; (P) 110.94; (R1) 110.70; More…

At this point, further rise is still mildly in favor in USD/JPY for 113.38 resistance. Correction from 114.73 could have completed with three waves down to 110.18, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 107.31 to 114.73 at 110.14. Break of 113.38 should confirm this bullish case. However, below 1101.8 will extend the correction lower. But we’d again look for bottoming signal in next fall.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that correction from 118.65 is completed at 107.31. And medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is going to resume soon. Sustained break of 114.73 should affirm our view and send USD/JPY through 118.65. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this view and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.55; (P) 110.94; (R1) 110.70; More…

Break of 111.26 minor resistance now argues that USD/JPY has bottomed at 110.18, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 107.31 to 114.73 at 110.14. Intraday bias is turned back tot he upside for 113.38 resistance. Break there will confirm completion of the corrective pull back from 114.73 and turn outlook bullish. Below 1101.8 will extend the correction lower. But we’d again look for bottoming signal in next fall.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that correction from 118.65 is completed at 107.31. And medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is going to resume soon. Sustained break of 114.73 should affirm our view and send USD/JPY through 118.65. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this view and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.14; (P) 110.56; (R1) 110.88; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral at this point. In case of another fall, we’d look for bottoming again below 61.8% retracement of 107.31 to 114.73 at 110.14. Meanwhile, on the upside, break of 111.26 support turned resistance will suggest that USD/JPY has bottomed slightly earlier than expected. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 113.38 resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the corrective pull back from 114.73 and turn outlook bullish.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that correction from 118.65 is completed at 107.31. And medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is going to resume soon. Sustained break of 114.73 should affirm our view and send USD/JPY through 118.65. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this view and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.14; (P) 110.56; (R1) 110.88; More…

USD/JPY dipped to 110.18 but quickly recovered ahead of 61.8% retracement of 107.31 to 114.73 at 110.14. Intraday bias stays neutral first. At this point, further decline cannot be ruled out. But we’d look for bottoming again below 110.14 fibonacci level. Meanwhile, on the upside, break of 111.26 support turned resistance will suggest that USD/JPY has bottomed slightly earlier than expected. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 113.38 resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the corrective pull back from 114.73 and turn outlook bullish.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that correction from 118.65 is completed at 107.31. And medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is going to resume soon. Sustained break of 114.73 should affirm our view and send USD/JPY through 118.65. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this view and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.17; (P) 110.68; (R1) 111.03; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 110.32 temporary low. Outlook stays bearish as long as 113.38 resistance holds and deeper fall is expected. Break of 110.32 will extend the whole decline from 114.73 to 61.8% retracement of 107.31 to 114.73 at 110.14. We’d look for bottoming signal again below 110.14.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that correction from 118.65 is completed at 107.31. And medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is going to resume soon. Sustained break of 114.73 should affirm our view and send USD/JPY through 118.65. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this view and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.17; (P) 110.68; (R1) 111.03; More…

A temporary low is in place at 110.32 in USD/JPY. Intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidations. But outlook will stays bearish as long as 113.38 resistance holds and deeper fall is expected. Break of 110.32 will extend the whole decline from 114.73 to 61.8% retracement of 107.31 to 114.73 at 110.14. We’d look for bottoming signal again below 110.14.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that correction from 118.65 is completed at 107.31. And medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is going to resume soon. Sustained break of 114.73 should affirm our view and send USD/JPY through 118.65. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this view and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.71; (P) 111.20; (R1) 111.49; More…

USD/JPY’s reaches as low as 110.53 so far. Break of 110.83 indicates resumption of whole decline from 114.73. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 107.31 to 114.73 at 110.14. We’d look for bottoming signal again below 110.14. On the upside, 111.27 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 113.38 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that correction from 118.65 is completed at 107.31. And medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is going to resume soon. Sustained break of 114.73 should affirm our view and send USD/JPY through 118.65. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this view and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.91; (P) 111.39; (R1) 111.74; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside for 110.83 support. As noted before, current development argues that fall from 114.73 is resuming. Break of 110.83 will target 61.8% retracement of 107.31 to 114.73 at 110.14. We’d look for bottoming signal again below 110.14. On the upside, above 112.05 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that correction from 118.65 is completed at 107.31. And medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is going to resume soon. Sustained break of 114.73 should affirm our view and send USD/JPY through 118.65. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this view and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.86; (P) 111.82; (R1) 112.38; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside for 110.83 support. As noted before, current development argues that fall from 114.73 is resuming. Break of 110.83 will target 61.8% retracement of 107.31 to 114.73 at 110.14. We’d look for bottoming signal again below 110.14. On the upside, above 112.05 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that correction from 118.65 is completed at 107.31. And medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is going to resume soon. Sustained break of 114.73 should affirm our view and send USD/JPY through 118.65. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this view and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.28; (P) 112.72; (R1) 113.09; More…

USD/JPY drops sharply today with a strong break of 112.02 support. The development now suggests that decline from 114.73 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 110.83 first. Break will target 61.8% retracement of 107.31 to 114.73 at 110.14. We’d look for bottoming signal again below 110.14. On the upside, above 112.05 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that correction from 118.65 is completed at 107.31. And medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is going to resume soon. Sustained break of 114.73 should affirm our view and send USD/JPY through 118.65. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this view and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.28; (P) 112.72; (R1) 113.09; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral as it’s bounded in range of 112.02/113.74.Also, outlook remains cautiously bullish as long as 112.02 holds and further rise is in favor. Break of 113.74 will resume the rebound from 110.83 and target 114.73 key resistance. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. However, break of 112.02 will likely extend the corrective pattern from 114.73 with another leg through 110.83 support.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that correction from 118.65 is completed at 107.31. And medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is going to resume soon. Sustained break of 114.73 should affirm our view and send USD/JPY through 118.65. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this view and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.85; (P) 113.11; (R1) 113.35; More…

USD/JPY is still staying in range of 112.02/113.74. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Also, outlook remains cautiously bullish as long as 112.02 holds and further rise is in favor. Break of 113.74 will resume the rebound from 110.83 and target 114.73 key resistance. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. However, break of 112.02 will likely extend the corrective pattern from 114.73 with another leg through 110.83 support.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that correction from 118.65 is completed at 107.31. And medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is going to resume soon. Sustained break of 114.73 should affirm our view and send USD/JPY through 118.65. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this view and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.85; (P) 113.11; (R1) 113.35; More…

USD/JPY drops sharply after hitting 113.38. But after all, it’s staying in range of 112.02/113.74. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Also, outlook remains cautiously bullish as long as 112.02 holds and further rise is in favor. Break of 113.74 will resume the rebound from 110.83 and target 114.73 key resistance. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. However, break of 112.02 will likely extend the corrective pattern from 114.73 with another leg through 110.83 support.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that correction from 118.65 is completed at 107.31. And medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is going to resume soon. Sustained break of 114.73 should affirm our view and send USD/JPY through 118.65. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this view and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.73; (P) 113.02; (R1) 113.32; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral at this point. Outlook remains cautiously bullish as long as 112.02 holds and further rise is in favor. Break of 113.74 will resume the rebound from 110.83 and target 114.73 key resistance. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. However, break of 112.02 will likely extend the corrective pattern from 114.73 with another leg through 110.83 support.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that correction from 118.65 is completed at 107.31. And medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is going to resume soon. Sustained break of 114.73 should affirm our view and send USD/JPY through 118.65. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this view and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.73; (P) 113.02; (R1) 113.32; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral at this point. Outlook remains cautiously bullish as long as 112.02 holds and further rise is in favor. Break of 113.74 will resume the rebound from 110.83 and target 114.73 key resistance. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. However, break of 112.02 will likely extend the corrective pattern from 114.73 with another leg through 110.83 support.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that correction from 118.65 is completed at 107.31. And medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is going to resume soon. Sustained break of 114.73 should affirm our view and send USD/JPY through 118.65. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this view and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY dipped to 112.05 last week but was supported above 112.02 and rebounded. As the pair stays in range of 112.02/113.74, initial bias remains neutral first. But again, outlook remains cautiously bullish as long as 112.02 holds and further rise is in favor. Break of 113.74 will resume the rebound from 110.83 and target 114.73 key resistance. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. However, break of 112.02 will likely extend the corrective pattern from 114.73 with another leg through 110.83 support.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that correction from 118.65 is completed at 107.31. And medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is going to resume soon. Sustained break of 114.73 should affirm our view and send USD/JPY through 118.65. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this view and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.

In the long term picture, the rise from 75.56 (2011 low) long term bottom to 125.85 top is viewed as an impulsive move, no change in this view. Price actions from 125.85 are seen as a corrective move which could still extend. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77. Up trend from 75.56 is expected to resume at a later stage for above 135.20/147.68 resistance zone.

USD/JPY 4 Hours Chart

USD/JPY Daily Chart

USD/JPY Weekly Chart

USD/JPY Monthly Chart

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.51; (P) 112.68; (R1) 112.92; More…

Despite the strong rebound from 112.05, USD/JPY is staying in range of 112.02/113.74 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Near term outlook stays bullish as long as 112.02 support holds and further rise is expected. Break of 113.74 will resume the rebound from 110.83 and target 114.73 key resistance. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. However, break of 112.02 will likely extend the corrective pattern from 114.73 with another leg through 110.83 support.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that correction from 118.65 is completed at 107.31. And medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is going to resume soon. Sustained break of 114.73 should affirm our view and send USD/JPY through 118.65. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this view and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.51; (P) 112.68; (R1) 112.92; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral at this point. And, near term outlook stays bullish as long as 112.02 support holds and further rise is expected. Break of 113.74 will resume the rebound from 110.83 and target 114.73 key resistance. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. However, break of 112.02 will likely extend the corrective pattern from 114.73 with another leg through 110.83 support.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that correction from 118.65 is completed at 107.31. And medium term rise from 98.97 (2016 low) is going to resume soon. Sustained break of 114.73 should affirm our view and send USD/JPY through 118.65. However, break of 107.31 will dampen this view and extend the medium term fall back to 98.97 low.