USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.46; (P) 149.10; (R1) 150.19; More…

USD/JPY retreated after hitting 55 4H EMA (now at 149.62) holds. Intraday bias is turned neutral first, and further decline is expected. Break of 147.14 will resume the fall from 151.89 and target medium term channel support at 146.00 next. Nevertheless, sustained break of 55 4H EMA will revive near term bullishness, and target a retest on 151.89/93 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, rise from 127.20 (2023 low) is seen as the second leg of the pattern from 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Decisive break of 145.06 resistance turned support will confirm that this second leg has completed, after rejection by 151.93. Deeper fall would be seen through 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 142.45 to 61.8% retracement at 136.63. Nevertheless strong bounce from 145.06 will retain medium term bullishness for another test on 151.93 at a later stage.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.51; (P) 148.05; (R1) 148.94; More…

USD/JPY’s recovery from 147.14 extends higher, but risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 149.68 holds. Below 147.14 will target medium term channel support at 146.00 next. Nevertheless, sustained break of 55 4H EMA will revive near term bullishness, and target a retest on 151.89/93 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, rise from 127.20 (2023 low) is seen as the second leg of the pattern from 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Decisive break of 145.06 resistance turned support will confirm that this second leg has completed, after rejection by 151.93. Deeper fall would be seen through 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 142.45 to 61.8% retracement at 136.63. Nevertheless strong bounce from 145.06 will retain medium term bullishness for another test on 151.93 at a later stage.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.51; (P) 148.05; (R1) 148.94; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral first with current recovery. Some consolidations would be seen above 147.14 temporary low first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 149.73) holds. Below 147.14 will target medium term channel support at 146.00 next. Nevertheless, sustained break of 55 4H EMA will revive near term bullishness, and target a retest on 151.89/93 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, rise from 127.20 (2023 low) is seen as the second leg of the pattern from 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Decisive break of 145.06 resistance turned support will confirm that this second leg has completed, after rejection by 151.93. Deeper fall would be seen through 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 142.45 to 61.8% retracement at 136.63. Nevertheless strong bounce from 145.06 will retain medium term bullishness for another test on 151.93 at a later stage.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.68; (P) 148.83; (R1) 149.55; More…

USD/JPY’s fall from 151.89 is still in progress. Intraday bias stays on the downside for medium term channel support at 146.00 next. On the upside, above 148.67 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring recovery. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 151.89 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, rise from 127.20 (2023 low) is seen as the second leg of the pattern from 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Decisive break of 145.06 resistance turned support will confirm that this second leg has completed, after rejection by 151.93. Deeper fall would be seen through 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 142.45 to 61.8% retracement at 136.63. Nevertheless strong bounce from 145.06 will retain medium term bullishness for another test on 151.93 at a later stage.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.68; (P) 148.83; (R1) 149.55; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 151.89 should target medium term channel support at 146.00 next. On the upside, above 148.67 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring recovery. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 151.89 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, rise from 127.20 (2023 low) is seen as the second leg of the pattern from 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Decisive break of 145.06 resistance turned support will confirm that this second leg has completed, after rejection by 151.93. Deeper fall would be seen through 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 142.45 to 61.8% retracement at 136.63. Nevertheless strong bounce from 145.06 will retain medium term bullishness for another test on 151.93 at a later stage.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.91; (P) 149.85; (R1) 150.49; More…

USD/JPY’s fall from 151.89 extends to as low as 148.00 so far, and there is no sign of bottoming yet. Intraday bias stays on the downside for medium term channel support at 145.80 next. On the upside, break of 149.97 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 127.20 (2023 low) is seen as the second leg of the pattern from 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Decisive break of 145.06 resistance turned support will confirm that this second leg has completed, after rejection by 151.93. Deeper fall would be seen through 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 142.45 to 61.8% retracement at 136.63. Nevertheless strong bounce from 145.06 will retain medium term bullishness for another test on 151.93 at a later stage.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.91; (P) 149.85; (R1) 150.49; More…

USD/JPY’s break of 149.17 support should confirm rejection by 151.93 resistance. Intraday bias is back on the downside for channel support medium term channel support at 145.80. On the downside, though, above 150.03 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Rejection by 151.93, followed by sustained break of 145.06 resistance turned support will argue that rise from 127.20 has completed, and turn outlook bearish for 137.22 support and below, as the third leg of the long term range pattern from 151.93. However, sustained break of 151.93 will confirm resumption of long term up trend.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY failed to break through 151.93 key resistance last week, and fell sharply since then. But downside is contained by 149.17 support so far. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, firm break of 149.17 will be a sign of bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 147.28 support first. Nevertheless, strong bounce from current level will retain near term bullishness. Firm break of 151.93 will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Rejection by 151.93, followed by sustained break of 145.06 resistance turned support will argue that rise from 127.20 has completed, and turn outlook bearish for 137.22 support and below. However, sustained break of 151.93 will confirm resumption of long term up trend.

In the long term picture, up trend from 75.56 (2011 low) is still in progress. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 102.58 to 151.93 from 127.20 at 157.69. This will remain the favored case as long as 127.20 support holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.20; (P) 150.82; (R1) 151.34; More…

While USD/JPY falls steeply today, it’s still holding above 149.17 support. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, decisive break of 151.93 resistance will confirm resumption of long term up trend. However, firm break of 149.17 will be a sign of bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 147.28 support first.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Rejection by 151.93, followed by sustained break of 145.06 resistance turned support will argue that rise from 127.20 has completed, and turn outlook bearish for 137.22 support and below. However, sustained break of 151.93 will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 102.58 (2021 low) to 151.93 from 127.20 at 157.69.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.20; (P) 150.82; (R1) 151.34; More…

Range trading continues in USD/JPY and intraday bias stays neutral. Further rally is in favor as long as 149.17 support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 151.93 resistance will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 157.69 projection level. However, firm break of 149.17 will be a sign of bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 147.28 support first.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Rejection by 151.93, followed by sustained break of 145.06 resistance turned support will argue that rise from 127.20 has completed, and turn outlook bearish for 137.22 support and below. However, sustained break of 151.93 will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 102.58 (2021 low) to 151.93 from 127.20 at 157.69.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.49; (P) 150.95; (R1) 151.86; More…

USD/JPY dips notably in early US session but stays well inside established range of 149.17/151.89. Intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. Further rally is in favor as long as 149.17 support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 151.93 resistance will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 157.69 projection level. However, firm break of 149.17 will be a sign of bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 147.28 support first.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Rejection by 151.93, followed by sustained break of 145.06 resistance turned support will argue that rise from 127.20 has completed, and turn outlook bearish for 137.22 support and below. However, sustained break of 151.93 will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 102.58 (2021 low) to 151.93 from 127.20 at 157.69.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.49; (P) 150.95; (R1) 151.86; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral as range trading continues. Further rally is in favor as long as 149.17 support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 151.93 resistance will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 157.69 projection level. However, firm break of 149.17 will be a sign of bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 147.28 support first.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Rejection by 151.93, followed by sustained break of 145.06 resistance turned support will argue that rise from 127.20 has completed, and turn outlook bearish for 137.22 support and below. However, sustained break of 151.93 will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 102.58 (2021 low) to 151.93 from 127.20 at 157.69.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.77; (P) 150.78; (R1) 151.39; More…

USD/JPY recovers today as range trading continues. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Further rally is in favor as long as 149.17 support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 151.93 resistance will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 157.69 projection level. However, firm break of 149.17 will be a sign of bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 147.28 support first.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Rejection by 151.93, followed by sustained break of 145.06 resistance turned support will argue that rise from 127.20 has completed, and turn outlook bearish for 137.22 support and below. However, sustained break of 151.93 will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 102.58 (2021 low) to 151.93 from 127.20 at 157.69.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.77; (P) 150.78; (R1) 151.39; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment and some more sideway trading could be seen. Further rally is in favor as long as 149.17 support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 151.93 resistance will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 157.69 projection level. However, firm break of 149.17 will be a sign of bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 147.28 support first.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Rejection by 151.93, followed by sustained break of 145.06 resistance turned support will argue that rise from 127.20 has completed, and turn outlook bearish for 137.22 support and below. However, sustained break of 151.93 will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 102.58 (2021 low) to 151.93 from 127.20 at 157.69.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.31; (P) 151.61; (R1) 152.02; More…

While USD/JPY dips notably, it’s holding well above 149.17 support. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point, and another rally is in favor. On the upside, decisive break of 151.93 resistance will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 157.69 projection level. However, firm break of 149.17 will be a sign of bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 147.28 support first.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Rejection by 151.93, followed by sustained break of 145.06 resistance turned support will argue that rise from 127.20 has completed, and turn outlook bearish for 137.22 support and below. However, sustained break of 151.93 will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 102.58 (2021 low) to 151.93 from 127.20 at 157.69.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.31; (P) 151.61; (R1) 152.02; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral again with 4H MACD crossed below signal line. On the upside, decisive break of 151.93 resistance will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 157.69 projection level. Meanwhile, near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 149.17 support holds, even in case of deep retreat.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Rejection by 151.93, followed by sustained break of 145.06 resistance turned support will argue that rise from 127.20 has completed, and turn outlook bearish for 137.22 support and below. However, sustained break of 151.93 will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 102.58 (2021 low) to 151.93 from 127.20 at 157.69.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.30 (P) 151.45; (R1) 151.68; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays on the upside at this point. Immediate focus is on 151.93 key resistance. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 157.69 projection level. On the downside, below 151.21 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 149.17 support holds, even in case of deep retreat.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Rejection by 151.93, followed by sustained break of 145.06 resistance turned support will argue that rise from 127.20 has completed, and turn outlook bearish for 137.22 support and below. However, sustained break of 151.93 will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 102.58 (2021 low) to 151.93 from 127.20 at 157.69.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.30 (P) 151.45; (R1) 151.68; More…

As USD/JPY’s rise from 149.17 extends, immediate focus is now on 151.93 key resistance. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 157.69 projection level. On the downside, below 151.21 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 149.17 support holds, even in case of deep retreat.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Rejection by 151.93, followed by sustained break of 145.06 resistance turned support will argue that rise from 127.20 has completed, and turn outlook bearish for 137.22 support and below. However, sustained break of 151.93 will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 102.58 (2021 low) to 151.93 from 127.20 at 157.69.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY rebounded strongly last week but upside is capped below 151.69 resistance so far. Consolidation from 151.69 could still extend further. Break of 150.75 will start a falling leg back towards 148.79 support. But overall, as long as 148.79 support holds, larger rise from 127.20 is expected to continue. Decisive break of 151.69 high will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Rejection by 151.93, followed by sustained break of 145.06 resistance turned support will argue that rise from 127.20 has completed, and turn outlook bearish for 137.22 support and below. However, sustained break of 151.93 will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 102.58 to 151.93 from 127.20 at 157.69.

In the long term picture, up trend from 75.56 (2011 low) is still in progress. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 102.58 to 151.93 from 127.20 at 157.69. This will remain the favored case as long as 125.85 resistance turned support holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.94; (P) 151.17; (R1) 151.56; More…

Range trading continues in USD/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Another falling leg could be seen as consolidation from 151.69 extends, but further rally is expected as long as 148.79 support holds. Firm break of 151.69 high will resume larger up trend. However, decisive break of 148.79 will indicate rejection by 151.93 key resistance, and bring deeper fall through 147.28 support.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is on 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Rejection by 151.93, followed by sustained break of 145.06 resistance turned support will argue that rise from 127.20 has completed, and turn outlook bearish for 137.22 support and below. However, sustained break of 151.93 will confirm resumption of long term up trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 102.58 to 151.93 from 127.20 at 157.69.