USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.82; (P) 110.98; (R1) 111.27; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral at this point. Fall from 111.82 might extend lower. But after all, price actions from 113.17 are viewed as a corrective pattern. Downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 109.90 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 111.82 will resume the rebound from 109.76 and target a test on 113.17 high.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY rebounded to 111.82 last week but retreated sharply since then. Deeper decline cannot be ruled out this week. But after all, price actions from 113.17 are viewed as a corrective pattern. Downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 109.90 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 111.82 will resume the rebound from 109.76 and target a test on 113.17 high.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.

In the long term picture, the rise from 75.56 (2011 low) long term bottom to 125.85 top is viewed as an impulsive move, no change in this view. Price actions from 125.85 are seen as a corrective move which could still extend. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77. Up trend from 75.56 is expected to resume at a later stage for above 135.20/147.68 resistance zone.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 111.23; (P) 111.53; (R1) 111.98; More…

USD/JPY’s rebound from 109.76 could have completed at 111.82 already. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 109.76 low. For now, we’d still expect 109.36/76 key support to hold and bring rebound. But decisive break there will carry larger bearish implications. On the upside, above 111.13 will turn bias back to the upside for 111.82. Break there will revive the bullish case and target a retest on 113.17 high.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 111.23; (P) 111.53; (R1) 111.98; More…

USD/JPY’s breach of 110.93 minor support argues that the rebound from 109.76 might be finished. It also dampened out bullish view. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 109.76 support. For now, we’d still expect 109.36/76 key support to hold and bring rebound. But decisive there will carry larger bearish implications. on the upside, above 111.82 will revive the bullish case and target a retest on 113.17 high.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 111.23; (P) 111.53; (R1) 111.98; More…

USD/JPY retreats notably after hitting 111.82 and with 4 hour MACD crossed below signa line, intraday bias is turned neutral first. We’re holding on to the bullish case as long as 110.93 minor support holds. That is, correction from 113.17 should have completed at 109.76 already. On the upside, above 111.82 will target 112.14 resistance first. Break there should bring retest of 113.17 high. On the downside, however, break of 110.93 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn focus back to 109.76 instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 111.23; (P) 111.53; (R1) 111.98; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside as rebound from 109.76 is in progress for 112.14 resistance. Note again that correction from 113.17 should have completed at 109.76 already. Break of 112.14 should target a test on 113.17 high. On the downside, however, break of 110.93 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn focus back to 109.76 instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook (update)

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.98; (P) 111.17; (R1) 111.39; More…

USD/JPY’s break of 111.48 suggests that rebound from 109.76 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 112.14 resistance. Note again that correction from 113.17 should have completed at 109.76 already. Break of 112.14 should target a test on 113.17 high. On the downside, however, break of 110.93 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn focus back to 109.76 instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.98; (P) 111.17; (R1) 111.39; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral at this point. We’re holding on to the view that correction from 113.17 should have completed at 109.76 already. Above 111.48 will turn bias to the upside for 112.14. Break will pave the way to retest 113.17 high. Meanwhile, below 110.74 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn focus back to 109.76 instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.98; (P) 111.17; (R1) 111.39; More…

USD/JPY is staying in tight range below 111.48 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral. We maintains the view that correction from 113.17 should have completed at 109.76 already. Above 111.48 will turn bias to the upside for 112.14. Break will pave the way to retest 113.17 high. Meanwhile, below 110.74 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn focus back to 109.76 instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.88; (P) 111.12; (R1) 111.30; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral at this point. Outlook is unchanged that correction from 113.17 should have completed at 109.76 already. With 110.74 minor support intact, further rally is expected in the pair. Above 111.48 will turn bias to the upside for 112.14. Break will pave the way to retest 113.17 high. Meanwhile, below 110.74 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn focus back to 109.76 instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.88; (P) 111.12; (R1) 111.30; More…

USD/JPY is staying in tight range below 111.48 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral. Outlook is unchanged that correction from 113.17 should have completed at 109.76 already. On the upside, above 111.48 will extend the rebound from 109.76 to 112.14 first. Break will target a test on 113.17 high. Meanwhile, below 110.74 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn focus back to 109.76 instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 111.09; (P) 111.29; (R1) 111.47; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral at this point. Outlook is unchanged that we’re still favoring the case that correction from 113.17 has completed at 109.76 already. On the upside, above 111.48 will extend the rebound from 109.76 to 112.14 first. Break will target a test on 113.17 high. Meanwhile, below 110.74 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn focus back to 109.76 instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 111.09; (P) 111.29; (R1) 111.47; More…

With today’s retreat, intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral first. We’re still favoring the case that correction from 113.17 has completed at 109.76 already. On the upside, above 111.48 will extend the rebound from 109.76 to 112.14 first. Break will target a test on 113.17 high. Meanwhile, below 110.74 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn focus back to 109.76 instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

Despite dipping to 109.76 last week, USD/JPY drew solid support from 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 109.90 and rebounded. break of 111.42 suggests that correction from 113.17 has completed at 109.76 already. Initial bias stays mildly on the upside this week for 112.14 first. Break will target a test on 113.17 high. Meanwhile, below 110.74 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn focus back to 109.76 instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.

In the long term picture, the rise from 75.56 (2011 low) long term bottom to 125.85 top is viewed as an impulsive move, no change in this view. Price actions from 125.85 are seen as a corrective move which could still extend. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77. Up trend from 75.56 is expected to resume at a later stage for above 135.20/147.68 resistance zone.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.77; (P) 111.04; (R1) 111.57; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside for 112.14 resistance. As noted before, the correction from 113.17 should have completed at 109.76 already. Break of 112.14 will bring retest of 113.17 high. On the downside, below 110.74 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 109.76 again. But after all, we’d continue to expect strong support around 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 109.90 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.77; (P) 111.04; (R1) 111.57; More…

USD/JPY’s rebound from 109.76 extends to as high as 111.48 so far. Break of 111.42 minor resistance argues that the correction from 113.17 has completed at 109.76 already. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 112.14 first. Break will bring retest of 113.17 high. On the downside, below 110.74 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 109.76 again. But after all, we’d continue to expect strong support around 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 109.90 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.15; (P) 110.39; (R1) 110.79; More…

At this point, USD/JPY is staying below 114.42 resistance and intraday bias remains neutral first. No change in the view that price actions from 113.17 are a corrective pattern. We’d continue to expect strong support around 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 109.90 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 111.42 will turn bias back to the the upside for retesting 113.17 first. However, sustained break of 109.90 will put 109.36 key support level in focus. Break of 109.36 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.15; (P) 110.39; (R1) 110.79; More…

USD/JPY’s rebound from 109.76 extends higher today but it’s staying below 111.42 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Price actions from 113.17 are viewed as a correction. We’d continue to expect strong support around 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 109.90 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 111.42 will turn bias back to the the upside for retesting 113.17 first. However, sustained break of 109.90 will put 109.36 key support level in focus. Break of 109.36 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.84; (P) 110.20; (R1) 110.62; More…

USD/JPY is staying in range above 109.76 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral first. At this point, we’d still expect strong support around 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 109.90 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 111.42 will turn bias back to the the upside for retesting 113.17 first. However, sustained break of 109.90 will put 109.36 key support level in focus. Break of 109.36 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 109.84; (P) 110.20; (R1) 110.62; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral as it drew support from 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 109.90 and recovered. At this point, we’d still expect strong support around 109.90 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 111.42 will turn bias back to the the upside for retesting 113.17 first. However, sustained break of 109.90 will put 109.36 key support level in focus. Break of 109.36 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds. However, decisive break of 109.36 will mix up the outlook again. And deeper fall should be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 107.88 and below.