USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.76; (P) 113.07; (R1) 113.28; More…

At this point, intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral with focus on 38.2% retracement of 110.37 to 114.54 at 112.94. On the upside, above 113.55 will suggest that the pull back from 114.54 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 114.54 and 114.73 key resistance. Nonetheless, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 110.37 to 114.54 at 112.94 will target 61.8% retracement at 111.96.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.76; (P) 113.07; (R1) 113.28; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral with focus on 38.2% retracement of 110.37 to 114.54 at 112.94. On the upside, above 113.55 will suggest that the pull back from 114.54 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 114.54 and 114.73 key resistance. Nonetheless, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 110.37 to 114.54 at 112.94 will target 61.8% retracement at 111.96.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.72; (P) 113.33; (R1) 113.86; More…

USD/JPY recovers after drawing support from 38.2% retracement of 110.37 to 114.54 at 112.94 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, above 113.55 will suggests that the pull back from 114.54 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 114.54 and 114.73 key resistance. Nonetheless, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 110.37 to 114.54 at 112.94 will target 61.8% retracement at 111.96.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.72; (P) 113.33; (R1) 113.86; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside as this point as correction fall from 114.54 might extend. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 110.37 to 114.54 at 112.94 will target 61.8% retracement at 111.96. On the upside, above 113.55 minor resistance will bring retest on 114.54 and 114.73 key resistance first.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 113.49; (P) 113.79; (R1) 114.03; More…

USD/JPY’s pull back from 114.54 short term top extended lower and intraday bias is mildly on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 110.37 to 114.54 at 112.94. We’d expect strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 113.55 minor resistance will bring retest on 114.54 and 114.73 key resistance first. However, break of 112.94 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 111.96.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 113.49; (P) 113.79; (R1) 114.03; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. A short term top could be in place at ahead of 114.73 resistance, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. On the downside, break of 113.51 minor support will bring deeper pull back to 38.2% retracement of 110.37 to 114.54 at 112.94. We’d expect strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, decisive break of 114.73 will confirm larger bullish case. Next target will be 118.65 resistance.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY rose to as high as 114.54 last week but lost momentum ahead of 114.73 key resistance. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, a short term top is possibly formed. Initial bias this week is neutral first. Break of 113.51 will bring deeper pull back to 38.2% retracement of 110.37 to 114.54 at 112.94. We’d expect strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, decisive break of 114.73 will confirm larger bullish case. Next target will be 118.65 resistance.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.

In the long term picture, the rise from 75.56 (2011 low) long term bottom to 125.85 top is viewed as an impulsive move, no change in this view. Price actions from 125.85 are seen as a corrective move which could still extend. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77. Up trend from 75.56 is expected to resume at a later stage for above 135.20/147.68 resistance zone.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 113.53; (P) 114.04; (R1) 114.45; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 114.54 temporary top. As long as 113.51 support holds, further rise is still expected. On the upside, decisive break of 114.73 will confirm larger bullish case. Next target will be 118.65 resistance. Nonetheless, break of 113.51 will indicate short term topping, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and bring lengthier consolidation first.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 113.53; (P) 114.04; (R1) 114.45; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 114.54 temporary top. As long as 113.51 support holds, further rise is still expected. On the upside, decisive break of 114.73 will confirm larger bullish case. Next target will be 118.65 resistance. Nonetheless, break of 113.51 will indicate short term topping and bring lengthier consolidation first.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 113.85; (P) 114.21; (R1) 114.91; More…

USD/JPY lost momentum ahead of 114.73 resistance and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further rise is expected as long as 113.51 support holds. Decisive break of 114.73 will confirm larger bullish case. Next target will be 118.65 resistance. Nonetheless, break of 113.51 will indicate short term topping and bring lengthier consolidation first.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 113.85; (P) 114.21; (R1) 114.91; More…

USD/JPY’s rally resumed after brief consolidation and reaches as high as 114.54 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 114.73 key resistance. Decisive break there will confirm larger bullish case. Next target will be 118.65 resistance. On the downside, break of 113.51 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 113.46; (P) 113.75; (R1) 113.98; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 114.05 temporary top is extending. Another fall could be seen. But in that case, downside should be contained above 112.55 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 114.05 will target 114.73 key resistance. Decisive break there will confirm larger bullish case. Next target will be 118.65 resistance.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 113.46; (P) 113.75; (R1) 113.98; More…

USD/JPY is staying in consolidation from 114.05 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral. Deeper pull back cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained above 112.55 support to bring another rally. Above 114.05 will target 114.73 key resistance. Decisive break there will confirm larger bullish case. Next target will be 118.65 resistance.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 113.74; (P) 113.93; (R1) 114.16; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 114.05 temporary top. Some consolidations would be seen but downside should be contained above 112.55 support to bring another rally. Above 114.05 will target 114.73 key resistance. Decisive break there will confirm larger bullish case. Next target will be 118.65 resistance.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 113.74; (P) 113.93; (R1) 114.16; More…

A temporary top is in place at 114.05 in USD/JPY with today’s retreat. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidations would be seen but downside should be contained above 112.55 support to bring another rally. Above 114.05 will target 114.73 key resistance. Decisive break there will confirm larger bullish case. Next target will be 118.65 resistance.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 113.43; (P) 113.57; (R1) 113.83; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Current rally from 104.62 should target 114.73 resistance next. Decisive break there will confirm larger bullish case. Next target will be 118.65 resistance. On the downside, below 113.31 minor support will turn bias neutral first and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 113.43; (P) 113.57; (R1) 113.83; More…

USD/JPY’s rally continues today and reaches as high as 113.96 so far. Intraday bias stays on the upside. Current rally from 104.62 should target 114.73 resistance next. Decisive break there will confirm larger bullish case. On the downside, below 113.31 minor support will turn bias neutral first and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY surged to as high as 113.70 last week. The break of 113.17 resistance confirms resumption of whole rise from 104.62. Initial bias stays on the upside for 114.73 resistance next. Decisive break there will confirm larger bullish case. On the downside, break of 112.55 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.

In the long term picture, the rise from 75.56 (2011 low) long term bottom to 125.85 top is viewed as an impulsive move, no change in this view. Price actions from 125.85 are seen as a corrective move which could still extend. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77. Up trend from 75.56 is expected to resume at a later stage for above 135.20/147.68 resistance zone.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.82; (P) 113.15; (R1) 113.73; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Rise from 104.62 has just resumed. Further rally should be seen to 114.73 key resistance next. Decisive break there will should confirm larger bullish case. On the downside, break of 112.55 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 112.82; (P) 113.15; (R1) 113.73; More…

USD/JPY rises to as high as 113.63 so far today. The break of 113.17 resistance confirms resumption of whole rally from 104.62. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 114.73 key resistance next. Decisive break there will should confirm larger bullish case. On the downside, break of 112.55 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.76 support holds.