USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY’s strong rebound last week confirms short term bottoming at 140.25, on bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD. Nevertheless, price actions from there are likely just correcting the fall from 151.89. While further rally cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 151.89 to 140.25 at 147.44. On the downside, below 143.17 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 140.25 low.

In the bigger picture, for now, fall from 151.89 is still seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.89. Another decline through 140.25 will target 61.8% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 136.63. Sustained break there will pave the way to 127.20 support (2022 low). However, firm break of 147.44 fibonacci resistance will dampen this view and bring retest of 151.89 instead.

In the long term picture, as long as 125.85 resistance turned support holds (2015 high), up trend from 75.56 (2011 low) is still in favor to continue through 151.93 (2022 high) at a later stage.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.38; (P) 144.11; (R1) 145.37; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside at this point. Rise from 140.25 is in progress for 61.8% retracement of 151.89 to 140.25 at 147.44, even as a corrective move. On the downside, below 144.45 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will now stay on the upside as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 143.05) holds.

In the bigger picture, stronger than expected rebound from 140.25 is mixing up outlook. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 145.72) will argue that fall from 151.89 is merely a correction to the up trend from 127.20 (2022 low). This rally is still in progress for 151.93 and above at a later stage. Nevertheless, break of 140.25 will revive the case that corrective pattern from 151.93 has already started the third leg, back towards 127.20.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.38; (P) 144.11; (R1) 145.37; More…

USD/JPY’s break of 144.94 resistance argues that fall from 151.89 has completed. Intraday bias stays on the upside at this point. Rebound from 140.25 would target 61.8% retracement of 151.89 to 140.25 at 147.44, even as a corrective move. On the downside, below 144.45 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will now stay on the upside as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 142.96) holds.

In the bigger picture, stronger than expected rebound from 140.25 is mixing up outlook. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 145.72) will argue that fall from 151.89 is merely a correction to the up trend from 127.20 (2022 low). This rally is still in progress for 151.93 and above at a later stage. Nevertheless, break of 140.25 will revive the case that corrective pattern from 151.93 has already started the third leg, back towards 127.20.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.18; (P) 142.96; (R1) 144.07; More…

USD/JPY’s rebound from 140.25 short term bottom accelerates higher today and met 38.2% retracement of 151.89 to 140.25 at 144.69 already. Intraday bias will stay on the upside as long as 142.84 minor support holds. Sustained break of 144.94 resistance will bring further rally to 61.8% retracement at 147.44. On the downside, though, break of 142.84 minor support will bring retest of 140.25 instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 151.89 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 136.63, sustained break there will pave the way to 127.20 support (2022 low). However, break of 144.94 resistance will dampen this bearish view and argue that fall from 151.89 is a correction to rise from 127.20 only.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.18; (P) 142.96; (R1) 144.07; More…

USD/JPY’s rebound from 140.25 short term bottom is in progress. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 38.2% retracement of 151.89 to 140.25 at 144.69. On the downside, below 142.21 minor support will bring retest of 140.25 low instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 151.89 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 136.63, sustained break there will pave the way to 127.20 support (2022 low). This will now remain the favored as long as 144.94 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.13; (P) 141.67; (R1) 142.54; More…

USD/JPY’s break of 142.84 minor resistance indicates short term bottoming at 140.25, on bullish divergence condition in 4H MACD. Intraday bias is back on the upside for stronger rebound to 38.2% retracement of 151.89 to 140.25 at 144.69. On the downside, below 141.85 minor support will bring retest of 140.25 low instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 151.89 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 136.63, sustained break there will pave the way to 127.20 support (2022 low). This will now remain the favored as long as 144.94 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.13; (P) 141.67; (R1) 142.54; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral, and further decline is in favor as long as 142.84 minor resistance holds. Break of 140.25 will resume fall from 151.89 and target 136.63 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, break of 142.84 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 151.89 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 136.63, sustained break there will pave the way to 127.20 support (2022 low). This will now remain the favored as long as 144.94 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.58; (P) 141.25; (R1) 141.69; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral as recovery from 140.25 extends. Further decline will remain in favor as long as 142.84 minor resistance holds. Break of 140.25 will resume fall from 151.89 and target 136.63 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, break of 142.84 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 151.89 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 136.63, sustained break there will pave the way to 127.20 support (2022 low). This will now remain the favored as long as 144.94 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.58; (P) 141.25; (R1) 141.69; More…

USD/JPY continues to lose downside momentum as seen in 4H MACD. But further decline will remain in favor as long as 142.84 minor resistance holds. Current fall from 151.89 would target 136.63 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, break of 142.84 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 151.89 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 136.63, sustained break there will pave the way to 127.20 support (2022 low). This will now remain the favored as long as 144.94 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.50; (P) 141.16; (R1) 142.08; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. Current fall from 151.89 would target 136.63 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 142.84 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral gain. But recovery should be limited below 144.94 resistance to bring another decline.

In the bigger picture, fall from 151.89 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 136.63, sustained break there will pave the way to 127.20 support (2022 low). This will now remain the favored as long as 146.58 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.31; (P) 142.08; (R1) 142.61; More…

USD/JPY’s break of 140.94 indicates resumption of fall from 151.89. Intraday bias is now on the downside. Next target is 136.63. fibonacci level. On the upside, above 142.84 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral gain. But recovery should be limited below 144.94 resistance to bring another decline.

In the bigger picture, fall from 151.89 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 136.63, sustained break there will pave the way to 127.20 support (2022 low). This will now remain the favored as long as 146.58 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.31; (P) 142.08; (R1) 142.61; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral despite today’s decline. Sideway trading could still continue in range above 140.94. But in case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 144.94 resistance. On the downside, firm break of 140.94 will resume the whole fall from 151.89. Next target will be next fibonacci level at 136.63.

In the bigger picture, fall from 151.89 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 136.63, sustained break there will pave the way to 127.20 support (2022 low). This will now remain the favored as long as 146.58 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.11; (P) 142.37; (R1) 142.64; More…

USD/JPY is staying in sideway consolidation and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited below 146.58 resistance. On the downside, firm break of 140.94 will resume the whole fall from 151.89. Next target will be next fibonacci level at 136.63.

In the bigger picture, fall from 151.89 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 136.63, sustained break there will pave the way to 127.20 support (2022 low). This will now remain the favored as long as 146.58 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.11; (P) 142.37; (R1) 142.64; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral at this point as sideway consolidations continue above 140.94. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited below 146.58 resistance. On the downside, firm break of 140.94 will resume the whole fall from 151.89. Next target will be next fibonacci level at 136.63.

In the bigger picture, fall from 151.89 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 136.63, sustained break there will pave the way to 127.20 support (2022 low). This will now remain the favored as long as 146.58 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.57; (P) 142.60; (R1) 143.14; More…

USD/JPY is still bounded in consolidation from 140.94 and intraday bias stays neutral. Also, outlook will remain bearish as long as 146.58 resistance holds. Firm break of 140.94 will resume the whole fall from 151.89. Next target will be next fibonacci level at 136.63.

In the bigger picture, fall from 151.89 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 136.63, sustained break there will pave the way to 127.20 support (2022 low). This will now remain the favored as long as 146.58 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.57; (P) 142.60; (R1) 143.14; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 140.94 is extending. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 146.58 resistance holds. Firm break of 140.94 will resume the whole fall from 151.89. Next target will be next fibonacci level at 136.63.

In the bigger picture, fall from 151.89 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 136.63, sustained break there will pave the way to 127.20 support (2022 low). This will now remain the favored as long as 146.58 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.18; (P) 143.64; (R1) 144.02; More…

USD/JPY’s fall from 144.94 extends lower today but it’s staying above 140.94 support so far. Intraday bias remains neutral and more range trading could still be seen. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 146.58 resistance holds. Firm break of 140.94 will resume the whole fall from 151.89. Next target will be next fibonacci level at 136.63.

In the bigger picture, fall from 151.89 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 136.63, sustained break there will pave the way to 127.20 support (2022 low). This will now remain the favored as long as 146.58 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 143.18; (P) 143.64; (R1) 144.02; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral for the moment, as consolidation from 140.94 is extending. Upside of current recovery should be limited below 146.58 resistance to bring another decline. Firm break of 140.94 will resume the whole fall from 151.89. Next target will be next fibonacci level at 136.63.

In the bigger picture, fall from 151.89 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 136.63, sustained break there will pave the way to 127.20 support (2022 low). This will now remain the favored as long as 146.58 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.41; (P) 143.68; (R1) 145.12; More…

Outlook in USD/JPY is unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral at this point. Upside of current recovery should be limited below 156.48 resistance to bring another decline. Firm break of 140.94 will resume the whole fall from 151.89. Next target will be next fibonacci level at 136.63.

In the bigger picture, fall from 151.89 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 136.63, sustained break there will pave the way to 127.20 support (2022 low). This will now remain the favored as long as 146.58 resistance holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.41; (P) 143.68; (R1) 145.12; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral and outlook is unchanged. Upside of current recovery should be limited below 156.48 resistance to bring another decline. Firm break of 140.94 will resume the whole fall from 151.89. Next target will be next fibonacci level at 136.63.

In the bigger picture, fall from 151.89 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 136.63, sustained break there will pave the way to 127.20 support (2022 low). This will now remain the favored as long as 146.58 resistance holds.