USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.40; (P) 147.59; (R1) 148.76; More…

USD/JPY’s decline accelerates further to as low as 142.17 so far today There is no sign of bottoming yet. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 140.25 support next. On the upside, above 146.40 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 55 W EMA (now at 149.98) argue that fall from 161.94 medium term is correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 W EMA (now at 149.98) holds.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY’s fall from 161.94 accelerated lower last week and there is no sign of bottoming yet. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 140.25 support next. On the upside, above 150.88 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 55 W EMA (now at 149.98) argue that fall from 161.94 medium term is probably correcting whole up trend from 102.58 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26, which is close to 140.25 support. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 156.04) holds.

In the long term picture, it’s still early to conclude that up trend from 75.56 (2011 low) has completed. However, a medium term corrective phase should have commenced, with risk of deep correction towards 55 M EMA (now at 132.81).

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.42; (P) 151.16; (R1) 152.72; More…

USD/JPY’s steep decline from 161.94 reaccelerates to as low as 147.01 so far. There is no sign of bottoming yet and intraday bias stays on the downside. Next target is 140.25 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 150.88 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, fall from 161.94 medium term top is seen as correcting the whole rise from 127.20 (2023 low) at least. With 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 161.94 at 148.66, taken out, next target is 140.25 cluster support, which is close to 61.8% retracement at 140.47. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 156.07) holds, in case of strong rebound.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.42; (P) 151.16; (R1) 152.72; More…

No change in USD/JPY’s outlook and intraday bias stays on the downside at this point. Strong support could be seen from 148.66 fibonacci level to bring consolidations. On the upside, above 151.93 support turned resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger recovery. Nevertheless, sustained break of 148.66 will pave the way to next support at 140.25.

In the bigger picture, considering the depth and momentum of the current decline, 161.94 should be a medium term top already. Fall from there is seen as correcting the whole rise from 127.20 (2023 low) at least. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 161.94 at 148.66. Decisive break there will pave the way to 140.25 support next. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 156.14) holds, in case of rebound.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.42; (P) 151.16; (R1) 152.72; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. Strong support could be seen from 148.66 fibonacci level to bring consolidations. On the upside, above 151.93 support turned resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger recovery. Nevertheless, sustained break of 148.66 will pave the way to next support at 140.25.

In the bigger picture, considering the depth and momentum of the current decline, 161.94 should be a medium term top already. Fall from there is seen as correcting the whole rise from 127.20 (2023 low) at least. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 161.94 at 148.66. Decisive break there will pave the way to 140.25 support next. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 156.42) holds, in case of rebound.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.42; (P) 151.16; (R1) 152.72; More…

USD/JPY’s fall from 161.94 is still in progress and hit 148.66 fibonacci level already. Strong support could be seen from the current level, which is close to medium term channel support (now at 148.22) to bring rebound. However, break of 155.21 resistance is needed to confirm short term bottoming. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, considering the depth and momentum of the current decline, 161.94 should be a medium term top already. Fall from there is seen as correcting the whole rise from 127.20 (2023 low) at least. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 161.94 at 148.66. Decisive break there will pave the way to 140.25 support next. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 156.42) holds, in case of rebound.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.86; (P) 153.54; (R1) 154.43; More…

USD/JPY’s fall from 161.94 accelerates lower again to as low as 149.77 so far. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 148.66 fibonacci level, which is close to medium term channel support (now at 148.22). Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound. But break of 155.21 resistance is needed to confirm short term bottoming. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, considering the depth and momentum of the current decline, 161.94 should be a medium term top already. Fall from there is seen as correcting the whole rise from 127.20 (2023 low) at least. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 161.94 at 148.66. Decisive break there will pave the way to 140.25 support next. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 156.90) holds, in case of rebound.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 151.86; (P) 153.54; (R1) 154.43; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is back on the downside with breach of 151.93 temporary low. decisive break of 151.89 resistance turned support will argue that large scale correction is underway to 148.66 fibonacci level. On the upside, break of 155.21 resistance will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, considering the depth and momentum of the current decline, 161.94 should be a medium term top already. Fall from there is seen as correcting the whole rise from 127.20 (2023 low) at least. Break of 151.89 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 161.94 at 148.66. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 157.06) holds, in case of rebound.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.25; (P) 153.80; (R1) 154.58; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral at this point. Further decline is in favor as long as 155.36 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, decisive break of 151.89 resistance turned support will argue that large scale correction is underway to 148.66 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, break of 155.36 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 55 D EMA (now at 157.06).

In the bigger picture, considering the depth and momentum of the current decline, 161.94 should be a medium term top already. Fall from there is seen as correcting the whole rise from 127.20 (2023 low) at least. Break of 151.89 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 161.94 at 148.66. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 157.06) holds, in case of rebound.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.25; (P) 153.80; (R1) 154.58; More…

USD/JPY’s recovery from 151.93 extended higher today but stays below 155.36 support turned resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral and further decline is in favor. On the downside, decisive break of 151.89 resistance turned support will argue that large scale correction is underway to 148.66 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, break of 155.36 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 55 D EMA (now at 157.06).

In the bigger picture, considering the depth and momentum of the current decline, 161.94 should be a medium term top already. Fall from there is seen as correcting the whole rise from 127.20 (2023 low) at least. Break of 151.89 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 161.94 at 148.66. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 157.06) holds, in case of rebound.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.96; (P) 153.85; (R1) 154.59; More…

No change in USD/JPY’s outlook and intraday bias remains neutral for consolidation above 151.93. Further decline is expected as long as 155.36 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, decisive break of 151.89 resistance turned support will argue that large scale correction is underway to 148.66 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, break of 155.36 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, considering the depth and momentum of the current decline, 161.94 should be a medium term top already. Fall from there is seen as correcting the whole rise from 127.20 (2023 low) at least. Break of 151.89 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 161.94 at 148.66. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 157.04) holds, in case of rebound.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.96; (P) 153.85; (R1) 154.59; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 151.93. Further decline is expected as long as 155.36 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, decisive break of 151.89 resistance turned support will argue that large scale correction is underway to 148.66 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, break of 155.36 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, considering the depth and momentum of the current decline, 161.94 should be a medium term top already. Fall from there is seen as correcting the whole rise from 127.20 (2023 low) at least. Break of 151.89 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 161.94 at 148.66. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 157.04) holds, in case of rebound.

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY’s fall from 161.94 extended to as low as 151.93 last week, but recovered after breaching 151.98 resistance turned support briefly. Initial bias remains neutral this week for consolidations. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 155.36 support turned resistance holds. Decisive break of 151.89 resistance turned support will argue that large scale correction is underway to 148.66 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, break of 155.36 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, considering the depth and momentum of the current decline, 161.94 should be a medium term top already. Fall from there is seen as correcting the whole rise from 127.20 (2023 low) at least. Break of 151.89 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 161.94 at 148.66. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 157.17) holds, in case of rebound.

In the long term picture, as long as 140.25 support holds, up trend from 75.56 (2011 low) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 75.56 (2011 low) to 125.85 (2015 high) from 102.58 at 172.08.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.48; (P) 153.40; (R1) 154.86; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral as consolidations continue above 151.93 temporary low. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 155.36 support turned resistance holds. Decisive break of 151.89 resistance turned support will argue that large scale correction is underway to 148.66 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, break of 155.36 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, considering the depth and momentum of the current decline, 161.94 should be a medium term top already. Fall from there is seen as correcting the whole rise from 127.20 (2023 low) at least. Break of 151.89 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 161.94 at 148.66. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 157.25) holds, in case of rebound.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.48; (P) 153.40; (R1) 154.86; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral for consolidations above 151.93 temporary low. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 155.36 support turned resistance holds. Decisive break of 151.89 resistance turned support will argue that large scale correction is underway to 148.66 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, break of 155.36 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, considering the depth and momentum of the current decline, 161.94 should be a medium term top already. Fall from there is seen as correcting the whole rise from 127.20 (2023 low) at least. Break of 151.89 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 161.94 at 148.66. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 157.25) holds, in case of rebound.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.68; (P) 154.33; (R1) 155.56; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral first with current recovery, and some consolidations would be seen above 151.93 temporary low. But risk will remain on the downside as long as 155.36 support turned resistance holds. Decisive break of 151.89 resistance turned support will argue that large scale correction is underway to 148.66 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, break of 155.36 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, considering the depth and momentum of the current decline, 161.94 should be a medium term top already. Fall from there is seen as correcting the whole rise from 127.20 (2023 low) at least. Break of 151.89 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 161.94 at 148.66. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 157.25) holds, in case of rebound.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.68; (P) 154.33; (R1) 155.56; More…

USD/JPY’s fall from 161.94 continues today and there is no sign of bottoming. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 151.89 resistance turned support. Decisive break there will argue that large scale correction is underway to 148.66 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 154.09 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, considering the depth and momentum of the current decline, 161.94 should be a medium term top already. Fall from there is seen as correcting the whole rise from 127.20 (2023 low) at least. Break of 151.89 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 161.94 at 148.66. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 157.25) holds, in case of rebound.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.06; (P) 156.08; (R1) 156.60; More…

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the downside with focus on 38.2% retracement of 140.25 to 161.94 at 153.65. Some support could be seen there to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 157.85 resistance holds, even in case of strong recovery. Sustained break of 153.65 would pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 148.53.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.89 resistance turned support holds, long term up trend could still continue through 161.94 at a later stage. Next target will depend on the depth of the current correction from 161.94. However, sustained break of 151.89 will argue that larger scale correction or trend reversal is underway.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.06; (P) 156.08; (R1) 156.60; More…

USD/JPY’s fall from 161.94 resumed by breaking through 155.36 today and intraday bias is back on the downside. Further decline should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 140.25 to 161.94 at 153.65. Some support could be seen there to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 157.85 resistance holds, even in case of strong recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.89 resistance turned support holds, long term up trend could still continue through 161.94 at a later stage. Next target will depend on the depth of the current correction from 161.94. However, sustained break of 151.89 will argue that larger scale correction or trend reversal is underway.

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.37; (P) 156.99; (R1) 157.69; More…

No change in USD/JPY’s outlook as range trading continues. Intraday bias stays neutral and further decline is expected with 158.85 resistance intact. Below 155.36 will target 38.2% retracement of 140.25 to 161.94 at 153.65. On the upside, above 158.85 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.89 resistance turned support holds, long term up trend could still continue through 161.94 at a later stage. Next target will depend on the depth of the current correction from 161.94. However, sustained break of 151.89 will argue that larger scale correction or trend reversal is underway.