Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9634; (P) 0.9659; (R1) 0.9686; More…

USD/CHF’s fall from 1.0048 resumes today and deeper decline could be seen. But it’s seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.0063. Strong support should be seen at around 0.9543 to contain downside to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9731 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.0063 resistance.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 1.0237/0342 resistance zone. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 0.9471 will extend long term range trading with another falling leg.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9162; (P) 0.9189; (R1) 0.9212; More…

Further decline is mildly in favor in USD/CHF with 0.9244 minor resistance intact. Corrective rebound from 0.8998 could have completed with three waves up to 0.9304 already. Deeper fall would be seen to retest 0.8998 low. On the upside, break of 0.9244 will likely resume the rebound through 0.9304, to 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8998 at 0.9343.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9376 support turned resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9205; (P) 0.9219; (R1) 0.9244; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the upside, as rise form 0.9017 is targeting a test on 0.9273 resistance. Sustained break there will resume rise from 0.8925 to 100% projection of 0.8925 to 0.9273 from 0.9017 at 0.9365. On the downside, break of 0.9193 minor support will mixed up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9184) retains medium term bearish in USD/CHF. Break of 0.8925 support should resume the whole decline form 1.0342 (2016 high) through 0.8756 low. However, break of 0.9273 resistance and sustained trading above 55 week EMA will be an early sign of bullish trend reversal. Focus will then turn to 0.9471 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9672; (P) 0.9704; (R1) 0.9761; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside for 0.9082 resistance. Break will target a test on 0.9901 resistance. On the downside, below 0.9681 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. Overall, consolidation from 0.9901 is still in progress and could extend. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9783; (P) 0.9813; (R1) 0.9831; More…

Further decline is expected in USD/CHF with 0.9876 resistance intact, Current fall from 1.0023 should target test on 0.9659 low. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9876 will indicate short term bottoming. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.9899) and above.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8967; (P) 0.8982; (R1) 0.9010; More….

USD/CHF is staying in range above 0.8952 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, below 0.8952 will target a test on 0.8886 support first. Break there will resume whole decline from 0.9243 to 0.8815 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9111 will resume the rebound from 0.8886 instead, and target 0.9243 resistance.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up by the deeper than expected pull back from 0.9243. Yet there was no follow through selling after hitting 0.8886. On the upside, break of 0.9243 resistance will revive the case of medium term bottoming at 0.8851, and turn outlook bullish. However, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815 will argue that larger decline from 1.0146 is ready to resume through 0.8551 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9977; (P) 0.9989; (R1) 1.0007; More…

USD/CHF rises to as high as 1.0019 so far. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 1.0027 resistance first. Break will resume whole rise from 0.9659. Next upside target will be 61.8% projection of 0.9659 to 1.0027 from 0.9869 at 1.0095. On the downside, below 0.9980 minor support will delay the bullish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9875; (P) 0.9898; (R1) 0.9927; More…

USD/CHF’s rally resumes today and reaches as high as 0.9950 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.0037 resistance next. Firm break there will pave the way to key resistance level at 1.0342. On the downside, below 0.9869 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again and bring consolidation, before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 0.9648 resistance turned support holds, even in case of pull back.

USD/CHF dropped to as low as 0.9840 last week but drew support from 0.9848 support and rebound. The development affirmed the case that price action from 1.0128 are merely a correction, and larger rise from 0.9541 is in progress. Intraday bias is neutral for now. On the upside, break of 0.9989 resistance will argue that such correction is completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.0128 high. In case of another dip, downside should be contained by 0.9848 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the medium term rally from 0.9186 hasn’t completed yet. Break of 1.0128 will target 1.0342 key resistance next (2016 high). On the downside, firm break of 0.9848 support will dampen this bullish view and turn focus back to 0.9541 key support instead.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9605; (P) 0.9641; (R1) 0.9670; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9691 is still in progress. Outlook is unchanged that triangle correction from 1.0063 could have completed at 0.9369 already. Above 0.9691 will resume the rise from 0.9369 and target 0.9884 resistance next. Break there will argue that larger up trend is ready for resumption through 1.0063. On the downside, below 0.9551 minor support will dampen this view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9369 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9240; (P) 0.9266; (R1) 0.9281; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral at this point. On the upside, above 0.9328 will resume the rally from 0.9084 for 0.9367 resistance. On the downside, below 0.9236 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 0.9084 instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9134; (P) 0.9146; (R1) 0.9160; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Current development suggests that pull back from 0.9223 has completed already. Above 0.9157 will bring retest of 0.9223. However, break of 0.9077 support will bring retest of 0.8987. Break there will resume the fall from 0.9223 to 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom are tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Rejection by 0.9243 resistance, followed by sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883 will strengthen this case, and maintain medium term bearishness. However, decisive break of 0.9243 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish for 1.0146.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9082; (P) 0.9110; (R1) 0.9161; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral for the moment. Strong rebound from current level, followed by 0.9287 resistance, should confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside. On the downside, sustained break of 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9355 from 0.9545 at 0.9056 will resume the whole fall from 1.0146 to 100% projection at 0.8754, which is close to 0.8756 long term support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 should be a medium term down trend itself. Next target is a test on 0.8756 low. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Still, further decline will now be expected as long as 0.9407 resistance holds, in any case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9117; (P) 0.9137; (R1) 0.9156; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation continues above 0.9084. Further decline is expected as long as 0.9174 resistance holds. Break of 0.9084 will resume the fall from 0.9367 to 0.9017 support, and then 0.8925. On the upside, however, break of 0.9174 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8587; (P) 0.8648; (R1) 0.8690; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the downside for 0.8487 minor support. Break there will argue that rebound from 0.8332 has completed at 0.8727, after rejection by 55 D EMA (now at 0.8686). Deeper fall would be seen to retest 0.8332 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.8727 will resume the rebound to 61.8% retracement of 0.9243 to 0.8332 at 0.8995.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.8332 could be strong, there is no clear sign of medium term bottoming yet. This rebound is tentatively seen as a corrective move for now. Also, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9243 resistance holds. Larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) should resume through 0.8332 low at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8666; (P) 0.8685; (R1) 0.8700; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral, with focus on 38.2% retracement of 0.9243 to 0.8332 at 0.8680, which coincides 55 D EMA (now at 0.8687). Decisive break there will turn near term outlook bullish for 61.8% retracement 0.8995. Nevertheless, break of 0.8565 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8332 low.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.8332 could be strong, there is no clear sign of medium term bottoming yet. This rebound is tentatively seen as a corrective move for now. Also, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9243 resistance holds. Larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) should resume through 0.8332 low at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9900; (P) 0.9914; (R1) 0.9938; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the upside at this point. Corrective fall from 1.0027 could have completed after drawing support from 0.9843. Further rise would be seen to retest 1.0027. However, on the downside, sustained break of 0.9843 support will indicate that choppy rebound from 0.9659 has completed at 1.0027. Deeper fall should be seen to 0.9659 support and below.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.9659 already, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8922; (P) 0.8951; (R1) 0.8967; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and further fall is in favor with 0.9000 resistance intact. Below 0.8914 will bring retest of 0.8825 low. However, break of 0.9000 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9049 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.9243 resistance intact, medium term outlook in USD/CHF is neutral at best. For now, more sideway trading is likely between 0.8332/9243. However, firm break of 0.9243 will indicate larger bullish trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8914; (P) 0.8943; (R1) 0.8979; More…

Break of 0.9000 resistance suggests that choppy fall from 0.9146 might have completed at 0.8900 already. Intraday bias is back on the upside for stronger rise to 0.9146 resistance. on the downside, though, break of 0.8900 will 0.8818 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high), which might have completed at 0.8818 already, just ahead of 0.8756 long term support. Sustained trading above 0.9058 support turned resistance should confirm medium term bottoming.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9699; (P) 0.9727; (R1) 0.9745; More…..

USD/CHF weakens further today after being rejected by 4 hour 55 EMA, but it’s staying in range of 0.9651/9975. Intraday bias stays neutral first. With 0.9775 intact, another decline is mildly in favor. On the downside, break of 0.9651 will target 200% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.8579 next. However, firm break of 0.9775 will be an early sign of near term reversal. That is, fall from 1.0067 could have completed. In this case, further rally would be seen back to 0.9866 support turned resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggests that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.