Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9158; (P) 0.9188; (R1) 0.9210; More….

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 0.9156 will target 0.9084 support. Firm break there should confirm that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed, and suggests that fall from 0.9471 is resuming. Deeper decline would be seen through 0.8925. Nevertheless, break of 0.9271 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 0.9372.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF rose further to 0.9691 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Triangle correction from 1.0063 could have completed at 0.9369 already. Above 0.9691 will resume the rise from 0.9369 and target 0.9884 resistance next. Break there will argue that larger up trend is ready for resumption through 1.0063. On the downside, below 0.9551 minor support will dampen this view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9369 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, outlook is mixed with deeper than expected fall from 1.0063, but some support is seen from 55 week EMA (now at 0.9433). Overall, though, USD/CHF is seen as in sideway pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). Range trading should continue until further development.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9711; (P) 0.9735; (R1) 0.9770; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside for the moment. Current rise from 0.9186 should target 0.9900 fibonacci level next. On the downside, below 0.9702 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.9576 support holds.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. The break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 (2016 high) to 0.9186 (2018 low) at 0.9626 suggests that it’s likely completed at 0.9186 already. Further rally would be seen back to 61.8% retracement at 0.9900 and above. Sustained break there would pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance next. This will now be the preferred case as long as 0.9576 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8893; (P) 0.8909; (R1) 0.8920; More….

USD/CHF’s break of 0.8889 suggest resumption of fall from 0.9044. As noted before, corrective rise from 0.8756 should have completed with three waves up to 0.9044. Intraday bias is now on the downside for 0.8847 and then 0.9756 low. On the upside, though, break of 0.8939 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside, and could extend the corrective rise from 0.8756 through 0.9044.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9295 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF dropped further to as low as 0.9500 last week. Further fall cannot be ruled out. But price actions from 1.0063 high are still viewed as a consolidation pattern. Hence, strong support should be seen from 0.9471 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9598 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for recovery towards 55 day EMA (now at 0.9663) and above. However, sustained break of 0.9471 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9193 support next.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target is 1.0342 (2016 high). Sustained break there will resume long term up trend from 0.7065 (2011 low). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds. However, firm break of 0.9471 will raise the chance that such up trend is over.

In the long term picture, current development argues that the correction from 1.0342 (2016 high) has completed at 0.8756 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.7065 (2011 low) might be ready to resume. Firm break of 1.0342 will confirm and target 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 (2000 high) to 0.7065 at 1.1359. However, sustained break of 0.9471 resistance turned support will argue that long term sideway trading from 1.0342 is still extending.

USD/CHF edged higher to 0.9884 last week but retreated again. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 0.9754 minor support will argue that corrective pattern from 1.0063 is extending with another falling leg. Intraday bias will be on the downside for 0.9493 support. On the upside, break of 0.9884 will resume the rise from 0.9493 to retest 1.0063 high.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Next target is 1.0342 (2016 high). Sustained break there will resume long term up trend from 0.7065 (2011 low). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds.

In the long term picture, current development argues that the correction from 1.0342 (2016 high) has completed at 0.8756 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.7065 (2011 low) might be ready to resume. Firm break of 1.0342 will confirm and target 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 (2000 high) to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9888; (P) 0.9906; (R1) 0.9938; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 0.9929 resistance will resume the choppy rise from 0.9659 to 0.9975 resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.9798 will revive the case that recovery from 0.9659 has completed at 0.9929. Further fall should then be seen to 0.9713 support.

In the bigger picture, the structure of the fall from 1.0237 suggests that it’s a corrective move. Break of 0.9975 will argue that such correction has completed at 0.9659, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8921; (P) 0.8948; (R1) 0.8985; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral as sideway trading continues. Break of 0.8900 will resume the fall from 0.9146 to 0.8818 low or below. But for now, strong support is still expected from 0.8756 long term support to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9011 will bring stronger rise towards 0.9146 resistance.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high), which might have completed at 0.8818 already, just ahead of 0.8756 long term support. Sustained trading above 0.9058 support turned resistance should confirm medium term bottoming.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8878; (P) 0.8903; (R1) 0.8945; More…

Breach of 0.8858 support indicates resumption of recent down trend in USD/CHF. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Current fall from 1.0146 should target 1.0146 to 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9058 from 0.9439 at 0.8767, which is close to 0.8756 long term support. Strong support is expected there to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. On the upside, above 0.8926 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. Further break of 0.9001 should confirm short term bottoming.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is in progress for 0.8756 support (2021 low). But overall, this fall is still seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal. Sustained break of 0.9058 support turned resistance will be the first sign of medium term bottoming. However, decisive break of 0.8756 will carry larger bearish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9205; (P) 0.9225; (R1) 0.9244; More….

USD/CHF edges lower today but there is no follow through selling so far. Focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 0.8756 to 0.9471 at 0.9198. Sustained trading below this level will extend the fall from 0.9471 to 61.8% retracement at 0.9029. On the upside, break of 0.9258 minor resistance will argue that corrective pull back from 0.9471 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting this high.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.8756, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Current rally from 0.8756 should target 0.9901 resistance first. Break there will target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. However, sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 0.9192) will revive medium term bearishness for down trend extension through 0.8756 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9917; (P) 0.9936; (R1) 0.9964; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Corrective pull back from 1.0027 should have completed at 0.9841.Further rise is expected for retesting 1.0027 resistance. Break will resume whole rise from 0.9659. However, break of 0.9891 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9841 support instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.9659 already, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9570; (P) 0.9628; (R1) 0.9675; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays cautiously on the upside for the moment. Corrective pullback from 0.9901 could have completed at 0.9502 already. Further rise is mildly in favor to retest 0.9901. On the downside, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 will target a test on 0.9181/6 key support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Further rise could be seen to retest 1.0237 high. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some time.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9368; (P) 0.9396; (R1) 0.9449; More…

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation below 0.9428 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral. Break of 0.9428 will resume the rebound from 0.9058. But strong resistance could be seen at 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9058 at 0.9474 to limit upside. Break of 0.9289 resistance turned support will indicate completion of the rebound and turn bias back to the downside. However, decisive break of 0.9474 will carry larger bullish implications and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9730.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0146 is seen as part of a long term sideway pattern. As long as 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9058 at 0.9474 holds, another fall is in favor through 0.9058. However, sustained trading above 0.9474 will indicate that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up further rally to 61.8% retracement at 0.9730 and above.

USD/CHF’s decline continued last week and hit 0.9613, but recovered since then. Initial bias is neutral this week for consolidation first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.9762 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.9613 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9659 from 1.0023 at 0.9445. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9762 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bullish for stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9808).

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0127; (P) 1.0141; (R1) 1.0159; More…..

Upside momentum in USD/CHF is so far unconvincing. But with 1.0008 support intact, further rally is still expected. Rebound from 0.9860 would target a test on 1.0342 key resistance level. As noted before, based on neutral medium term outlook, we’d be cautious on topping at around 1.0342. On the downside, break of 1.0008, however, will indicate completion of the rebound from 0.9860. And intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 0.9860.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection from 1.0327 resistance argues that USD/CHF is staying in a medium term sideway pattern. In any case, decisive break of 1.0342 resistance is needed to confirm underlying strength. Otherwise, we’ll stay neutral in the pair first. In case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.9443/9548 support zone. Meanwhile firm break of 1.0342 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9114; (P) 0.9136; (R1) 0.9164; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as range trading continues. On the downside, firm break of 0.9084 support will argue that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed. Fall from 0.9471 might be ready to resuming. Further decline would be seen back to 0.8925 support first. On the upside, above 0.9276 will target 0.9372 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8552; (P) 0.8580; (R1) 0.8604; More…

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook. While further decline cannot be ruled out, based on loss of downside momentum as seen in 4H MACD, some support could be seen from 100% projection of 0.9439 to 0.8818 from 0.9146 at 0.8525 to bring rebound. Break of 0.8629 minor resistance will turn bias to the downside for 55 4H EMA (now at 0.8695) and above.

In the bigger picture, the break of 0.8756 (2021 low) indicates break out from the long term range pattern. For now, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9146 resistance holds. Further fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0054; (P) 1.0074; (R1) 1.0092; More…..

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation below 1.0107 temporary top. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Outlook is unchanged that corrective fall from 1.0342 should have finished with three waves down to 0.9812. Hence, downside of retreat should be contained by 0.9980 support and bring rally resumption. Above 1.0107 will target 1.0169 resistance. Decisive break there will confirm this bullish case and target 1.0342 key resistance next. However, below 0.9980 will dampen this bullish case and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9812 low.

In the bigger picture, we’re still maintain that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the cross. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 to 0.9812 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we’d now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8928; (P) 0.8959; (R1) 0.8978; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral first on today’s recovery. But outlook stays bearish as long as 0.9052 resistance holds. Current decline from 0.9471 should resume later, and target a test on 0.8756 low on next fall.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9882; (P) 0.9934; (R1) 0.9971; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the downside. As noted before, correction from 1.0056 is possibly resuming through 0.9787 support. But, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 to contain downside to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9989 will target a test on 1.0056 first. Break will resume whole rise from 0.9186.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds. However, sustained break of 0.9724 will dampen this bullish view and would at least bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9518.