USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8925; (P) 0.8956; (R1) 0.9016; More

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook and intraday bias stays neutral with immediate focus on on 0.8993 resistance. Decisive break there will confirm short term bottoming at 0.8818, on bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.9052) and possibly above. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9058 from 0.9439 at 0.8767, which is close to 0.8756 long term support, to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal. Sustained break of 0.9058 support turned resistance will be the first sign of medium term bottoming. However, decisive break of 0.8756 will carry larger bearish implications.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9786; (P) 0.9824; (R1) 0.9881; More

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as further rally is expected as long as 0.9691 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.9884 resistance will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 1.0063 high. On the downside, however, break of 0.9691 minor support will dampen this view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9469 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9953; (P) 0.9972; (R1) 0.9986; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and more sideway consolidations could be seen. Further rise is expected as long as 0.9843 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.0027 will target 78.6% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9659 at 1.0113 next. Break will target retest on 1.0237 high.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.9659 already, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9067; (P) 0.9098; (R1) 0.9130; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is neutral for the moment as some consolidations could be seen above 0.9050. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9241 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.9050 will resume larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 0.9467 to 0.9056 from 0.9241 at 0.8987, and then 100% projection at 0.8830. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.9241 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). Current development suggests that such pattern is still extending. Sustain trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF dipped to 0.9541 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Corrective pattern from 0.9901 might still extend lower. But in that case, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9647 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9874 first.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9765; (P) 0.9792; (R1) 0.9847; More

USD/CHF’s rise from 0.9541 is still in progress. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 0.9866 key resistance level, 61.8% retracement of 1.0067 to 0.9541 at 0.9866. Decisive break there will bring retest of 1.0067 high. On the downside, below 0.9736 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, focus is now back on 0.9866 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will suggests that pull back from 1.0067 has completed at 0.9541. And larger rise from 0.9186 low is ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.0067 will pave the way to 1.0342 key resistance next. Meanwhile, break of 0.9541 will extend the decline but we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low even in that case.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9602; (P) 0.9627; (R1) 0.9674; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Rebound from 0.9541 short term bottom would target 0.9757 resistance first. Firm break there will target 0.9866 key resistance level, 61.8% retracement of 1.0067 to 0.9541 at 0.9866. On the downside, below 0.9604 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9541 low instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and possibly below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggest that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9788; (P) 0.9804; (R1) 0.9832; More….

USD/CHF formed a temporary low at 0.9776 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Another fall is expected as long as 0.9946 resistance holds. Below 0.9776 will extend the decline from 1.0037 to 61.8% retracement of 0.9420 to 1.0037 at 0.9656. We’ll look for bottoming again below 0.9656 and above 0.9420. On the upside, break of 0.9946 resistance will indicate that the decline from 1.0037 has completed and bring retest of this resistance.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8766; (P) 0.8822; (R1) 0.8851; More

While further decline could be seen in USD/CHF, strong support is expected from 0.8756 to contain downside. On the upside, break of 0.8900 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for rebound. However, decisive break of 0.8756 will carry larger bearish implication.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). While further decline cannot be ruled out, strong support is expected from 0.8756 long term support to bring reversal. Firm break of 0.9146 resistance should confirm medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF stayed in consolidation above 0.9009 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. As long as 0.9197 resistance holds, outlook remains bearish for further fall. Break of 0.9009 will resume larger down trend for 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9181 from 0.9901 at 0.8845. On the upside, though, break of 0.9197 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low), which is still extending. Sustained trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF’s fall from 0.9884 extended lower last week and outlook is unchanged. Such decline is seen as a falling leg of the consolidation from 1.0063. Initial bias stays on the downside for 0.9493 support. On the upside, though, above 0.9738 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9884 resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target is 1.0342 (2016 high). Sustained break there will resume long term up trend from 0.7065 (2011 low). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds.

In the long term picture, current development argues that the correction from 1.0342 (2016 high) has completed at 0.8756 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.7065 (2011 low) might be ready to resume. Firm break of 1.0342 will confirm and target 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 (2000 high) to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0007; (P) 1.0018; (R1) 1.0037; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation below 1.0028 temporary top. In case of deeper retreat, downside should be contained by 0.9908 to bring another rally. As noted before, corrective decline from 1.0128 should have completed at 0.9716 already, after hitting trend line support. On the upside, above 1.0028 will resume the rise from 0.9716 to retest 1.0128 high first.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9716 will dampen this bullish view and at least bring deeper fall to 0.9541 key support.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8947; (P) 0.8987; (R1) 0.9024; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the upside at this point. Rise from 0.8818 short term bottom is at least corrective whole down trend from 1.0146. Sustained break of 55 D EMA (now at 0.9042) will confirm this case and target 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8818 at 0.9325. On the downside, below 0.8918 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal. Sustained break of 0.9058 support turned resistance will be the first sign of medium term bottoming. However, decisive break of 0.8756 will carry larger bearish implications.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9390; (P) 0.9415; (R1) 0.9444; More….

USD/CHF’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Current rise from 0.8756 should target 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464. Break there will target 0.9901 resistance next. On the downside, below 0.9369 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But overall outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.9221 support holds.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.8756, on bullish condition in daily and weekly MACD. Current rally from 0.8756 should target 0.9901 resistance first. Break there will target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9679; (P) 0.9699; (R1) 0.9716; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for now. Consolidation from 0.9613 might extend but upside should be limited by 0.9762 resistance to bring down trend resumption. Below 0.9661 minor support will bring retest of 0.9613 low first. Break will target 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9659 from 1.0023 at 0.9445. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9762 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bullish for stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9781).

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9272; (P) 0.9312; (R1) 0.9337; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for the moment. Fall from 0.9901 should target a test on 0.9181 low. We’ll looking for bottoming around there. On the upside, break of 0.9362 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But break of 0.9467 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still staying in long term range pattern from 1.0342, (2016 high). While deeper fall could be seen, we do not expect a firm break of 0.9181/86 support zone (2018 and 2020 low). Hence, we’d look for bottoming signal as it approaches this zone. However, sustained break there will carry long term bearish implications for next key support at 0.8336.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9881; (P) 0.9896; (R1) 0.9912; More

Outlook in USD/CHF remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral first. Consolidation from 1.0027 might extend further through 0.9851. In that case, deeper fall could be seen back towards 0.9659 low. On the upside, break of 0.9978 will target 1.0027 first.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9801; (P) 0.9811; (R1) 0.9833; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with a temporary top formed at 0.9826. Focus says on 38.2% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9613 at 0.9851 first. Decisive break there will add to the case of bullish near term reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9999 next. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9851, will indicate that fall from 1.0237 is not finished. Break of 0.9741 support will bring retest of 0.9613 low instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF’s edged higher to 1.0169 last week but continued to lose upside moment. Bearish divergence is seen in 4 hour MACD. But retreat was contained well above 1.0008 support so far. The development is so far consistent with our view that while rise from 0.9860 might extend, there is no evidence to support breaking 1.0342 high.

USD/CHF Weekly Chart

Initial bias in USD/CHF remains neutral this week for. Further rise is expected with 1.0008 intact. Above 1.0169 will turn bias to the upside to extend rise from 0.9860. However, based on neutral medium term outlook, we’d be cautious on topping below 1.0342. On the downside, break of 1.0008, however, will indicate completion of the rebound from 0.9860. And intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 0.9860.

USD/CHF Monthly Chart

In the bigger picture, prior rejection from 1.0327 resistance argues that USD/CHF is staying in a medium term sideway pattern. In any case, decisive break of 1.0342 resistance is needed to confirm underlying strength. Otherwise, we’ll stay neutral in the pair first. In case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.9443/9548 support zone.

USD/CHF Weekly Chart

Meanwhile firm break of 1.0342 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

USD/CHF Monthly Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8973; (P) 0.8998; (R1) 0.9020; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral as consolidations continue above 0.8952 temporary low. On the downside, below 0.8952 will target a test on 0.8886 support first. Break there will resume whole decline from 0.9243 to 0.8815 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9111 will resume the rebound from 0.8886 instead, and target 0.9243 resistance.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up by the deeper than expected pull back from 0.9243. Yet there was no follow through selling after hitting 0.8886. On the upside, break of 0.9243 resistance will revive the case of medium term bottoming at 0.8851, and turn outlook bullish. However, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815 will argue that larger decline from 1.0146 is ready to resume through 0.8551 low.