Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8768; (P) 0.8792; (R1) 0.8809; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746. Decisive break there will pave the way to long term projection level at 0.8639. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8918 resistance holds, even in case of strong recovery.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9304 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF edged lower to 0.9058 last week, but quickly rebounded just ahead of 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9355 from 0.9545 at 0.9056. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 0.9287 resistance will confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will then be back on the upside for 0.9407 resistance and above. On the downside, however, sustained break of 0.9056 will resume the whole fall from 1.0146 to 100% projection at 0.8754, which is close to 0.8756 long term support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 should be a medium term down trend itself. Next target is a test on 0.8756 low. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Still, further decline will now be expected as long as 0.9407 resistance holds, in any case.

In the long term picture, long term sideway pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high) is extending and it’s probably in another medium term down leg. Downside will likely be contained by 0.8756 support in case of deeper fall. Overall, range trading should continue until further development.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9901; (P) 0.9933; (R1) 0.9969; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point while range trading continues inside 0.9855/9991. On the downside, below 0.9855 will resume the corrective decline from 1.0056, likely through 0.9787 support. But downside should be contained by 0.9722/4 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724, 100% projection of 1.0056 to 0.9787 from 0.9991 at 0.9722) to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 0.9991 will target a test on 1.0056 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9186 is seen as a leg inside the long term range pattern. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds. Above 1.0056 will target 1.0342 (2016 high). In that case, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. However, sustained break of 0.9724 will dampen this bullish view and would at least bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9518.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9925; (P) 0.9950; (R1) 0.9981; More…

USD/CHF’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside. Current rise from 0.9541 should target t 1.0067 key resistance and then 61.8% projection of 0.9541 to 0.9954 from 0.9848 at 1.0103. On the downside, break of 0.9848 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, further rally will be expected even in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the pullback from 1.0067 has completed at 0.9541 already. And rise from 0.9186 is likely resuming. Firm break of 1.0067 will pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside to bring another medium term fall to extend long term range trading.

USD/CHF’s deeper than expected fall last week suggest that rise from 0.9926 has possibly completed at 1.0124 already, ahead of 1.0128 resistance. Initial bias stays mildly on the downside for 0.9926. Break will carry larger bearish implication. On the upside, though, break of 1.0063 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.0124 instead.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9926 support will be the first signal of medium term reversal and bring another test on the trend line.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9632; (P) 0.9701; (R1) 0.9738; More….

USD/CHF’s decline from 1.0037 continues today and reaches as low as 0.9627 so far. 61.8% retracement of 0.9420 to 0.1.0037 at 0.9656 is firmly taken out and downside momentum remains strong. Intraday bias remains on the downside and further fall could be seen back to 0.9420 low. On the upside, above 0.9684 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9844 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9383; (P) 0.9419; (R1) 0.9458; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral at this point. Considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9545 will indicate short term bottoming at 0.9325. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.9652). On the downside, below 0.9325 will target 0.9287 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 might be a medium term down trend itself. Break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 1.0146 at 0.9287 will pave the way to 0.8756. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9690) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9678; (P) 0.9699; (R1) 0.9734; More…..

Further decline is still expected in USD/CHF with 0.9807 resistance intact. Current fall from 1.0342 should target 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9860 from 1.0099 at 0.9617. We’ll start to look for reversal signal below there. Meanwhile, break of 0.9807 will be the first sign of near term reversal. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.9860 support turned resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9969; (P) 0.9983; (R1) 1.0001; More…

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as it’s staying in consolidation from 1.0027. Intraday bias remains neutral for some more sideway trading. Further rise is expected as long as 0.9843 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.0027 will target 78.6% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9659 at 1.0113 next. Break will target retest on 1.0237 high.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.9659 already, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9161; (P) 0.9184; (R1) 0.9230; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside for 0.9273 resistance. Sustained break there will resume rise from 0.8925 to 100% projection of 0.8925 to 0.9273 from 0.9017 at 0.9365. On the downside, break of 0.9193 minor support will mixed up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9183) retains medium term bearish in USD/CHF. Break of 0.8925 support should resume the whole decline form 1.0342 (2016 high) through 0.8756 low. However, break of 0.9273 resistance and sustained trading above 55 week EMA will be an early sign of bullish trend reversal. Focus will then turn to 0.9471 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9276; (P) 0.9299; (R1) 0.9323; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Consolidations from 0.9374 should be relatively brief with 0.9256 minor support intact. On the upside, break of 0.9374 will resume recent rise to 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464. On the downside, break of 0.9256 will bring deeper pull back. But overall, further rally is expected as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that fall from 1.0237 has completed at 0.8756, on bullish condition in daily and weekly MACD. Current rally from 0.8756 should target 0.9901 resistance first. Break there will target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9632; (P) 0.9653; (R1) 0.9677; More……

USD/CHF recovers mildly today as consolidation from 0.9551 is still in progress. In case of further rise, upside should be limited by 0.9770 resistance and bring fall resumption. Break of 0.9551 will extend the whole fall from 1.0342 and target 0.9443 key support level next. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.9770 will indicate near term reversal, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level. However, sustained break of 0.9443 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9 handle.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0028; (P) 1.0047; (R1) 1.0069; More…..

With 1.0007 minor support intact, intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the upside for further rally. We mentioned before that corrective decline fall from 1.0342 should have finished with three waves down to 0.9812 already. Rise from 0.9812 is expected to taken 1.0169 resistance next. Break of 1.0169 should confirm this bullish case and target a test on 1.0342 high. On the downside, below 1.0007 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring retreat before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is staying in medium term sideway pattern between 0.9443/1.0342. In any case, decisive break of 1.0342 resistance is needed to confirm underlying strength. Otherwise, we’ll stay neutral in the pair first. In case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.9443/9548 support zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8809; (P) 0.8860; (R1) 0.8892; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the downside for the moment. Rise from 0.8332 could have completed at 0.9223, ahead of 0.9243 key resistance. Further decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8672 next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.8992 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom are seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Rejection by 0.9243 resistance affirms this case, and maintains medium term bearishness. While more range trading could be seen between 0.8332/0.9243 first, downside break out is mildly in favor at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9788; (P) 0.9820; (R1) 0.9840; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. As noted before, fall from 1.0128 is seen as correcting whole rise from 0.9186. Deeper fall is in favor. On the downside, break of 0.9716 will target 0.9541 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0128 at 0.9546). Nevertheless, firm break of 0.9963 will suggest that the pull back is completed. Near term outlook will be turned bullish for 1.0128 .

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 has possibly completed with three waves up to 1.0128 already. Decline from 1.0128 could either be correcting this move, or reversing the trend. As long as 0.9541 support holds, we’d slightly favor the former scenario, and expect another rise through 1.0128 at a later stage. However, sustained break of 0.9541 will confirm trend reversal and bring deeper fall back to 0.9186 low.

USD/CHF’s breach of 0.9640 last week suggests that larger decline from 1.0067 is resuming. Further fall is expected this week as long as 0.9688 minor resistance holds. The pair may now target 0.9523 fibonacci level next. On the upside, above 0.9688 minor resistance will dampen this bearish case and turn bias neutral first. Break of 0.9757 resistance will indicate near term reversal and bring stronger rebound back to 0.9866 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggests that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9738; (P) 0.9759; (R1) 0.9788; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for 0.9613 low. Corrective rise from there should have completed at 0.9848, after rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9613 at 0.9851. Firm break of 0.9613 will resume larger fall from 1.0237, for 0.9541 support. On the upside, above 0.9751 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9848 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9131; (P) 0.9164; (R1) 0.9201; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 0.9241 resistance should resume the rise from 0.8925 through 0.9273. On the downside, break of 0.9098 will target 0.9017 support first. Further break there will likely resume the decline from 0.9471 through 0.8925 low.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9184) retains medium term bearish in USD/CHF. Break of 0.8925 support should resume the whole decline form 1.0342 (2016 high) through 0.8756 low. However, break of 0.9273 resistance and sustained trading above 55 week EMA will be an early sign of bullish trend reversal. Focus will then turn to 0.9471 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9185; (P) 0.9232; (R1) 0.9273; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the downside, sustained break of 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9355 from 0.9545 at 0.9056 will pave the way to 100% projection at 0.8754, which is close to 0.8756 long term support. Nevertheless, on the upside, break of 0.9407 should confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 should be a medium term down trend itself. Next target is a test on 0.8756 low. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Still, further decline will now be expected as long as 0.9407 resistance holds, in any case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9809; (P) 0.9836; (R1) 0.9858; More…

With 0.9863 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside. Rebound from 0.9659 should have completed already. Deeper fall would be seen to retest this low. On the upside, above 0.9863 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.