USD/CHF stayed in consolidation below 0.9954 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral first. As a short term bottom was formed at 0.9376, another rise will be mildly in favor. On the upside, break of 0.9554 will target 55 day EMA (now at 0.9626). Sustained trading above there will pave the way back to 0.9901 resistance. Though, on the downside, break of 0.9376 will resume the fall from 0.9901 instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9190; (P) 0.9226; (R1) 0.9243; More…

USD/CHF’s decline is still in progress today and hits as low as 0.9166 so far. 0.9181 support is breached and there is not sign of bottoming yet. Intraday bias stays on the downside for next fibonacci projection level at 0.9081. On the upside, above 0.9260 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9362 support turned resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). Current development suggests that such pattern is still extending. Based on current down side momentum, break of 0.9181 will target 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081. Firm break there will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9362 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming too.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8830; (P) 0.8874; (R1) 0.8897; More…

USD/CHF’s decline continues today and breaks 0.8818 and intraday bias stays on the downside. But while further decline could be seen, strong support is expected from 0.8756 to contain downside. On the upside, above 0.8900 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for rebound. first. However, decisive break of 0.8756 will carry larger bearish implication.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). While further decline cannot be ruled out, strong support is expected from 0.8756 long term support to bring reversal. Firm break of 0.9146 resistance should confirm medium term bottoming.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9415; (P) 0.9454; (R1) 0.9489; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for 0.9376 support. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 0.9901. Next downside target will be 100% projection of 0.9901 to 0.9502 from 0.9736 at 0.9337. On the upside, though, above 0.9493 minor resistance will argue that fall from 0.9554 is just a pull back and has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.9554 and above to resume the rebound from 0.9376.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound from 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8518; (P) 0.8550; (R1) 0.8569; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with current recovery, and some consolidations should be seen first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8665 support turned resistance holds. Below 0.8513 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 0.9111 to 0.8665 from 0.8819 at 0.8373 next.

In the bigger picture, break of 0.8551 support indicates resumption of whole decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 from 0.9243 at 0.8257. Sustained break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.7648. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9095; (P) 0.9130; (R1) 0.9168; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. Outlook stays bearish with 0.9161 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.8998 support will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9181 from 0.9901 at 0.8845. However, sustained break of 0.9161 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound, to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9228) and above.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low), which is still extending. Sustained trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF’s fall from 0.9192 extended slightly lower last week. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 0.8982 support first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend. On the upside, above 0.9148 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9192/9207 resistance zone instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9304 resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into along term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9571; (P) 0.9604; (R1) 0.9631; More…

Dollar’s strong rebound today now put 0.9648 resistance in focus. Decisive break there and sustained trading above 0.9626 key fibonacci level will add to the case of larger reversal. In that case, rise from 0.9186 will target next fibonacci level at 0.9900. On the downside, again, break of 0.9533 minor support should indicate rejection by 0.9626 key fibonacci resistance. Intraday bias would then be turned to the downside side for 0.9432 support. Further break there will turn near term outlook bearish for retesting 0.9186 low.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 (2016 high) to 0.9186 (2018 low) at 0.9626. Sustained break there will add to the case of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9900 and above. However, rejection from 0.9626 will maintain medium term bearishness for another low below 0.9186.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9462; (P) 0.9493; (R1) 0.9554; More….

USD/CHF’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Next target is 0.9591 medium term projection level. On the downside, below 0.9432 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rally will remain in favor as long as 0.9372 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) could have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 0.9591. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 0.9864. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9149 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9322; (P) 0.9340; (R1) 0.9365; More….

USD/CHF’s strong rally and break of 0.9380 resistance suggests that correction from 0.9459 has completed with three waves down to 0.9193. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 0.9459 resistance first. Break there should resume larger rise from 0.8756 to 61.8% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 0.9591. For now, further rise will remain in favor as long as 0.9258 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that whole down trend form 1.0342 (2016 high), has completed with waves down to 0.8756. A medium term up trend should be set up to target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone.

USD/CHF’s fall from 0.9459 extended to 0.9193 last week but quickly recovered again. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Still, further decline is expected as long as 0.9380 resistance holds. On the downside, below 0.9193 will resume the decline from 0.9459 to 0.9149 support. Firm break there will turn near term outlook bearish for 0.9090 support and below. On the upside, above 0.9380 resistance will flip bias back to the upside for 0.9459 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that whole down trend form 1.0342 (2016 high), has completed with waves down to 0.8756. A medium term up trend should be set up to target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into a long term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF’s down trend resumed last week and hit as low as 0.8855. A temporary low could be in place and initial bias is neutral for some consolidation first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.8982 support turned resistance to bring another decline. On the downside, break of 0.8885 will target 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746 next.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9304 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into a long term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8983; (P) 0.8992; (R1) 0.9007; More….

USD/CHF is still bounded in range of 0.8925/9052 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further decline is expected as long as 0.9052 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8925 will resume the fall from 0.9471 to retest 0.8756 low. However, firm break of 0.9052 resistance will now confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9522; (P) 0.9572; (R1) 0.9601; More…

USD/CHF retreated after hitting 0.9650 and intraday bias is turned neutral. On the upside, break of 0.9650, and sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 0.9650) will raise the chance that corrective pattern from 1.0063 has completed. Further rally should then be seen to 0.9884 resistance next. However, decisive break of 0.9471 support will carry larger bearish implication.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target is 1.0342 (2016 high). Sustained break there will resume long term up trend from 0.7065 (2011 low). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds. However, firm break of 0.9471 will raise the chance that such up trend is over. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 0.9424) could bring deeper medium term fall back to 0.9149 support and below.

USD/CHF’s decline from 1.0146 resumed last week and broke 0.8756 long term support decisively. But as a temporary low was formed at 0.8564 with subsequent recovery, initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. Upside of recovery should be limited below 0.8818 support turned resistance to bring another fall. Break of 0.8564 will target 100% projection of 0.9439 to 0.8818 from 0.9146 at 0.8525 next.

In the bigger picture, the break of 0.8756 (2021 low) indicates break out from the long term range pattern. For now, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9146 resistance holds. Further fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317 next.

In the long term picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 1.8305 (2000 high) has completed. With 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359 intact, outlook is neutral at best. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317 will bring retest of 0.7065 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9815; (P) 0.9831; (R1) 0.9842; More…

USD/CHF’s breach of 0.9805 temporary low suggests resumption of fall from 1.0023. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for retesting 0.9659 low. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9876 will indicate short term bottoming. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.9900) and above.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF’s fall from 0.9901 extended lower last week. Further fall could be seen initially this week with focus on 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456. Sustained break there will target a test on 0.9181/6 key support zone. Nevertheless, break of 0.9655 minor resistance will indicate completion of the pull back. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.9901 next.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Further rise could be seen to retest 1.0237 high. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some time.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9159; (P) 0.9196; (R1) 0.9255; More…

Outlook in USD?CHF remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, firm break of 0.9289 resistance will confirm short term bottoming at 0.9058, and bring stronger rise to 0.9407 resistance. On the downside, however, sustained break of 0.9058 will resume larger decline from 1.0146 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 should be a medium term down trend itself. Next target is a test on 0.8756 low. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Still, further decline will be expected as long as 0.9407 resistance holds, in any case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9303; (P) 0.9339; (R1) 0.9365; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral as range trading continues. On the downside, below 0.9293 will extend the pull back from 0.9459 to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9254). On the upside, above 0.9381 minor resistance will flip bias back to the upside. Firm break of 0.9471 will resume the rise from 0.8756 to 61.8% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9090 at 0.9532.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that whole down trend form 1.0342 (2016 high), has completed with waves down to 0.8756. A medium term up trend should be set up to target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8377; (P) 0.8463; (R1) 0.8517; More….

USD/CHF’s decline accelerates lower and intraday bias stays on the downside. Sustained break of 100% projection of 0.9111 to 0.8665 from 0.8819 at 0.8373 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8203. On the upside, above 0.8513 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8665 support turned resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, break of 0.8551 support indicates resumption of whole decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 from 0.9243 at 0.8257. Sustained break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.7648. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.